Zillow Group, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ZG) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 5.3x may look like a poor investment opportunity when you consider close to half the companies in the Real Estate industry in the United States have P/S ratios below 2.3x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.
What Does Zillow Group's Recent Performance Look Like?
Recent revenue growth for Zillow Group has been in line with the industry. It might be that many expect the mediocre revenue performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/S ratio from falling. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Zillow Group.
How Is Zillow Group's Revenue Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Zillow Group's to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 9.4%. Still, lamentably revenue has fallen 17% in aggregate from three years ago, which is disappointing. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 12% each year as estimated by the analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 12% per annum, which is not materially different.
With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Zillow Group's P/S is higher than its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly average growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
The Bottom Line On Zillow Group's P/S
We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
Given Zillow Group's future revenue forecasts are in line with the wider industry, the fact that it trades at an elevated P/S is somewhat surprising. When we see revenue growth that just matches the industry, we don't expect elevates P/S figures to remain inflated for the long-term. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. Our free balance sheet analysis for Zillow Group with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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Zillow Group, Inc. (納斯達克股票代碼:ZG) 的市銷率(或「P/S比率」)爲5.3倍,相對於美國房地產行業中近一半公司的P/S比率低於2.3倍來看,似乎不是一個好的投資機會。儘管如此,我們需要深入挖掘,判斷高達這麼多的P/S比率是否有合理的基礎。