Is Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group) (SZSE:000029) Using Debt Sensibly?
Is Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group) (SZSE:000029) Using Debt Sensibly?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group) Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000029) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
傳奇基金經理盧李(Charlie Munger支持的人)曾經說過:「最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久性資本損失。」因此,看起來聰明的投資者知道,通常涉及破產的債務是評估公司風險的一個非常重要的因素。我們注意到深圳特區房地產(集團)股份有限公司(SZSE:000029)確實在其資產負債表上有債務。但是股東們是否應該擔心它對債務的使用?
When Is Debt A Problem?
什麼時候負債才是一個問題?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
一般來說,僅當公司無法輕鬆償還債務時,債務才會成爲真正的問題,無論是通過籌集資本還是通過自身現金流。如果情況變得非常糟糕,放貸人可以控制業務。然而,更常見的(但仍然昂貴)情況是公司必須以便宜的股票價格稀釋股東權益,只是爲了控制債務。當然,債務的好處在於它經常代表便宜的資本,尤其是當它用高回報率的再投資替換公司稀釋股份時。當我們考慮公司使用債務時,我們首先查看現金和債務。
How Much Debt Does Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group) Carry?
深圳特區房地產(集團)究竟承擔了多少債務?
As you can see below, at the end of March 2024, Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group) had CN¥227.0m of debt, up from CN¥121.6m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. But on the other hand it also has CN¥1.66b in cash, leading to a CN¥1.43b net cash position.
正如下面所示,在2024年3月底,深圳特區房地產(集團)的債務爲CN¥22700萬,相比一年前的CN¥12160萬有所增加。點擊圖像了解更多細節。但是,另一方面,它還擁有CN¥16.6億的現金,導致其淨現金頭寸爲CN¥14.3億。
How Healthy Is Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group)'s Balance Sheet?
深圳特區房地產(集團)的資產負債表有多健康?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group) had liabilities of CN¥2.51b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥182.4m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥1.66b and CN¥94.4m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total CN¥937.2m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
我們可以從最近的資產負債表中看到,深圳特區房地產(集團)有CN¥25.1億的短期到期負債,CN¥18240萬的長期負債。另一方面,它有CN¥16.6億現金和CN¥9440萬的應收賬款,短期內到期。因此,其負債總額比其現金和短期應收款的組合多出CN¥93720萬。
Given Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group) has a market capitalization of CN¥9.92b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group) boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group)'s earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
考慮到深圳特區房地產(集團)市值爲CN¥99.2億,我們很難相信這些負債會構成多大的威脅。但是,有足夠的負債,我們當然建議股東繼續關注資產負債表的情況。儘管有值得注意的負債,但深圳特區房地產(集團)有淨現金,因此可以說它的負債負擔不重!在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是開始的明顯地方。但是,深圳特區房地產(集團)的收益將影響資產負債表在未來的表現。因此,如果您渴望了解更多有關其收益的信息,可能值得查看其長期收益趨勢的圖表。
Over 12 months, Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group) reported revenue of CN¥481m, which is a gain of 2.1%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. That rate of growth is a bit slow for our taste, but it takes all types to make a world.
在過去的12個月中,深圳特區房地產(集團)報告的營業收入爲CN¥48100萬,增長了2.1%,儘管它沒有報告任何利息和稅前收益。對我們來說,這種增長速度有點慢,但是需要所有類型的公司來構成一個世界。
So How Risky Is Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group)?
那麼,深圳特區房地產(集團)的風險有多大?雖然深圳特區房地產(集團)在稅前收益(EBIT)層面上虧損了,但它的自由現金流達到了11億元。因此,考慮到淨現金狀況並且權衡利弊,我們認爲該股票在短期內不太冒險。由於營收增長令人感到不太興奮,我們確實需要在爲該業務感到熱情之前看到一些顯着的稅前收益。當你分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是需要關注的領域。但最終,每個公司都可能存在超出資產負債表範疇的風險。我們已經確定了深圳特區房地產(集團)的1個警示信號,並且了解這些警示信號應該成爲您的投資過程的一部分。
While Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group) lost money on an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) level, it actually generated positive free cash flow CN¥1.1b. So taking that on face value, and considering the net cash situation, we don't think that the stock is too risky in the near term. With revenue growth uninspiring, we'd really need to see some positive EBIT before mustering much enthusiasm for this business. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 1 warning sign with Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
如果您有興趣投資能夠在不負債的情況下增長利潤的企業,請查看這份免費列表,其中列出了在資產負債表上擁有淨現金的成長型企業。
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