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Here's Why Xiangtan Electric Manufacturing (SHSE:600416) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

Here's Why Xiangtan Electric Manufacturing (SHSE:600416) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

爲什麼湘電股份(SHSE:600416)有重要的債務負擔?
Simply Wall St ·  08/09 18:20

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Xiangtan Electric Manufacturing Co. Ltd. (SHSE:600416) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

霍華德·馬克斯很好地闡述了這一觀點,他說,與其擔心股價波動性,不如擔心「永久性損失的可能性是我擔心的風險……我所知道的每個實際投資者都擔心這一點。」當我們考慮一家公司的風險時,我們總是喜歡看它的債務使用情況,因爲債務超載可能導致破產。我們注意到,湘電股份有限公司(SHSE:600416)的資產負債表上確實有債務。但是股東們應該擔心它的債務使用嗎?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

債務何時有危險?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

通常情況下,只有當公司無法輕鬆償還債務時,債務才成爲真正的問題,要麼通過籌集資本或利用自有現金流來償還。 如果情況變得非常糟糕,貸款人可以控制業務。 但更常見的情況是,公司合理管理債務並從中獲益,雖然痛苦但仍可承受。 在考慮公司債務水平的第一步是考慮其現金和債務。

How Much Debt Does Xiangtan Electric Manufacturing Carry?

湘電股份有多少債務?

As you can see below, at the end of March 2024, Xiangtan Electric Manufacturing had CN¥2.61b of debt, up from CN¥2.22b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have CN¥2.14b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥468.4m.

正如下圖所示,在2024年3月底,湘電股份的債務總額爲26.1億人民幣,較去年的22.2億人民幣增加。點擊圖片查看更多詳情。然而,它持有21.4億人民幣的現金抵銷了這一點,導致淨債務約爲4684萬人民幣。

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SHSE:600416 Debt to Equity History August 9th 2024
SHSE:600416負債與股本歷史記錄截至2024年8月9日

How Strong Is Xiangtan Electric Manufacturing's Balance Sheet?

湘電股份的資產負債表強不強大?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Xiangtan Electric Manufacturing had liabilities of CN¥5.88b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥1.13b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥2.14b as well as receivables valued at CN¥4.88b due within 12 months. So these liquid assets roughly match the total liabilities.

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, 我們可以看到,湘電股份有588億人民幣的債務在12個月內到期,113億人民幣的債務超過12個月到期。抵消了這些責任,它有214億人民幣的現金以及價值488億人民幣的應收賬款在12個月內到期。因此,這些流動資產大致匹配總負債。

Having regard to Xiangtan Electric Manufacturing's size, it seems that its liquid assets are well balanced with its total liabilities. So it's very unlikely that the CN¥13.4b company is short on cash, but still worth keeping an eye on the balance sheet.

考慮到湘電股份的規模,它似乎其流動資產和總負債的平衡相當。因此,1.34億人民幣的公司很可能不會缺錢,但仍值得關注其資產負債表。

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

我們通過將公司的淨債務與其息稅折舊攤銷前利潤(EBITDA)相除,並計算其息稅前利潤(EBIT)如何覆蓋其利息費用(利息覆蓋率)來衡量公司的債務負擔相對於其盈利能力。因此,我們同時考慮債務的絕對數量以及所支付的利率。

With net debt sitting at just 1.0 times EBITDA, Xiangtan Electric Manufacturing is arguably pretty conservatively geared. And this view is supported by the solid interest coverage, with EBIT coming in at 9.9 times the interest expense over the last year. In fact Xiangtan Electric Manufacturing's saving grace is its low debt levels, because its EBIT has tanked 43% in the last twelve months. When it comes to paying off debt, falling earnings are no more useful than sugary sodas are for your health. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Xiangtan Electric Manufacturing's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

淨債務僅佔EBITDA的1.0倍,可以說湘電股份的財務槓桿率相當保守。堅實的利息覆蓋證明了這一觀點,在過去一年中,EBIT是利息支出的9.9倍。事實上,湘電股份的救命稻草是其低債務水平,因爲在過去十二個月中,它的EBIT下滑了43%。當談到償還債務時,下降的盈利與對健康有害的含糖蘇打一樣無用。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中了解債務情況的最多。但是,湘電股份的盈利將影響資產負債表未來的表現。因此,如果您想更多地了解其盈利情況,不妨查看其長期盈利趨勢的圖表。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, Xiangtan Electric Manufacturing burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

最後,一家企業需要自由現金流來償還債務,會計利潤無法勝任。因此,邏輯上應該查看該EBIT配對的實際自由現金流佔比。在過去三年中,湘電股份燒了很多現金。雖然投資者無疑希望在適當的時候扭轉這種情況,但這顯然意味着它的債務使用更加風險。

Our View

我們的觀點

While Xiangtan Electric Manufacturing's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow makes us cautious about it, its track record of (not) growing its EBIT is no better. But at least its interest cover is a gleaming silver lining to those clouds. Taking the abovementioned factors together we do think Xiangtan Electric Manufacturing's debt poses some risks to the business. While that debt can boost returns, we think the company has enough leverage now. Over time, share prices tend to follow earnings per share, so if you're interested in Xiangtan Electric Manufacturing, you may well want to click here to check an interactive graph of its earnings per share history.

雖然湘電股份的EBIT轉爲自由現金流使我們對它持謹慎態度,但它在取得營業收入方面的記錄也並不好。但至少其利息覆蓋比是一個閃閃發光的優點。綜合考慮以上因素,我們認爲湘電股份的債務對企業帶來了一定的風險。雖然債務可以增加收益,但我們認爲該公司現在有足夠的槓桿。隨着時間的推移,股價往往會跟隨每股收益,因此,如果您對湘電股份感興趣,您可能希望單擊此處,查看其每股收益歷史記錄的交互式圖表。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

當然,如果您是那種喜歡購買沒有債務負擔的股票的投資者,那麼不要猶豫,立即發現我們獨家的淨現金增長股票列表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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