The Intellicheck, Inc. (NASDAQ:IDN) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 40%. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 19% share price drop.
Since its price has dipped substantially, Intellicheck's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.1x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the wider Software industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 4.3x and even P/S above 11x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/S.
NasdaqGM:IDN Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 10th 2024
How Intellicheck Has Been Performing
Recent times haven't been great for Intellicheck as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this lacklustre revenue performance isn't going to get any better. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.
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What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Intellicheck would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 10%. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 44% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 6.8% as estimated by the four analysts watching the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 22% growth, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.
In light of this, it's understandable that Intellicheck's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.
The Final Word
Shares in Intellicheck have plummeted and its P/S has followed suit. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've established that Intellicheck maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider industry, as expected. Shareholders' pessimism on the revenue prospects for the company seems to be the main contributor to the depressed P/S. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Intellicheck, and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Intellicheck, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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