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Here's Why Jinko Solar (SHSE:688223) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

Here's Why Jinko Solar (SHSE:688223) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

以下是Jinko Solar(SHSE:688223)能夠負責地管理其債務的原因
Simply Wall St ·  08/10 21:03

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Jinko Solar Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688223) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

傳奇基金經理李璐(受到查理·芒格支持)曾經說過:「最大的投資風險不是價格的波動性,而是是否會遭受資本的永久損失。」因此,看起來明智的投資者知道,債務(通常與破產有關)是評估一家公司風險程度時一個非常重要的因素。值得注意的是,晶科能源股份有限公司(SHSE:688223)確實有債務。但這個債務對股東來說是否令人擔憂呢?

When Is Debt A Problem?

什麼時候負債才是一個問題?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

通常情況下,只有當一家公司無法輕鬆償還債務時,債務才真正成爲一個問題,無論是通過募集資本還是藉助自身的現金流量來償還債務。如果情況變得非常糟糕,貸款人可能會接管企業。然而,更頻繁(但仍然代價高昂)的情況是公司必須以低於市場的價格發行股票,以永久性地稀釋股東的股份,以支撐其資產負債表。當然,債務在企業中也可以是一個重要的工具,特別是對於資產重度型企業。在考慮一家公司使用多少債務時,首先要做的就是查看其現金和債務情況。

What Is Jinko Solar's Debt?

晶科能源的債務是多少?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Jinko Solar had CN¥17.0b in debt in March 2024; about the same as the year before. But on the other hand it also has CN¥24.9b in cash, leading to a CN¥7.85b net cash position.

下面的圖表(你可以點擊以獲得更詳細的信息)顯示,2024年3月,晶科能源的債務達到170億元人民幣,與去年大致相同。但另一方面,它也有249億元人民幣的現金,形成了785億元人民幣的淨現金頭寸。

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SHSE:688223 Debt to Equity History August 11th 2024
SHSE:688223股債比歷史數據(2024年8月11日)

How Healthy Is Jinko Solar's Balance Sheet?

金可太陽能的資產負債表健康狀況如何?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Jinko Solar had liabilities of CN¥69.7b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥25.7b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥24.9b in cash and CN¥27.2b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥43.4b.

從最新的資產負債表數據來看,我們可以看到金可太陽能有697億人民幣的短期負債,以及257億人民幣的長期負債。與此相抵,它有249億人民幣的現金和272億人民幣的應收賬款,在12個月內到期。因此,其負債超過了現金和(短期)應收賬款的總和434億人民幣。

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of CN¥69.2b. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Jinko Solar also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

相對於金可太陽能692億人民幣的市值,這是一座巨大的槓桿。這意味着如果該公司需要迅速加強資產負債表,股東將會受到嚴重稀釋。儘管它確實有一些需要注意的負債,但金可太陽能的現金超過債務,我們相當有信心它能夠安全地管理債務。

On top of that, Jinko Solar grew its EBIT by 96% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Jinko Solar's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

此外,金可太陽能在過去十二個月內將其息稅前利潤(EBIt)增長了96%,這種增長將使其更容易應對債務。在分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是需要重點關注的領域。但最重要的還是未來的盈利,它將決定金可太陽能是否能夠保持健康的資產負債表。所以,如果您想了解專業人士的看法,您可能會對這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告感興趣。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. Jinko Solar may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last three years, Jinko Solar burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

最後,雖然稅務部門可能喜歡會計利潤,但債權人只接受冰冷的現金。金可太陽能的資產負債表可能有淨現金,但關注業務如何將息稅前利潤(EBIT)轉化爲自由現金流是有意義的,因爲這將影響它對債務的需求和管理能力。在過去的三年中,金可太陽能燒掉了大量現金。儘管投資者無疑期望這種情況很快會逆轉,但這顯然意味着它使用債務的風險更大。

Summing Up

總之

While Jinko Solar does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of CN¥7.85b. And we liked the look of last year's 96% year-on-year EBIT growth. So we don't have any problem with Jinko Solar's use of debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Jinko Solar you should be aware of.

儘管晶科能源的負債比流動資產多,但它也有78.5億人民幣的淨現金。而且我們喜歡去年96%的年增長率的EBIt。所以我們對晶科能源的債務使用沒有任何問題。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是明顯的起點。但最終,每家公司都可能存在超出資產負債表之外的風險。舉例來說:我們發現了晶科能源存在一個警示信號,您應該注意。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

說到底,有時候更容易集中精力關注根本不需要債務的公司。讀者可以免費訪問零淨債務增長股票列表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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