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Global Gold Demand Hits Record in Q2 As Investors Push Price Higher

Global Gold Demand Hits Record in Q2 As Investors Push Price Higher

投資者推動金價上漲,全球黃金需求在Q2創下記錄。
Benzinga ·  15:00

Despite a sharp drop in jewelry demand and record mine production, global gold demand and prices hit record highs in the second quarter, the World Gold Council said in its latest survey of demand trends for the precious metal.

世界黃金協會在其最新貴金屬需求趨勢調查中表示,儘管珠寶需求急劇下降,金礦產量創歷史新高,但全球黃金需求和價格在第二季度創下歷史新高。

Global demand for the precious metal rose 4% year-on-year to its highest second quarter on record, and the London Bullion Market Association gold price jumped 18% year-on-year to a record quarterly average $2,338 per ounce, the industry group said.

該行業組織表示,全球對貴金屬的需求同比增長4%,達到有記錄以來的最高第二季度,倫敦金銀市場協會的金價同比上漲18%,至創紀錄的季度平均水平每盎司2338美元。

Gold mining companies took advantage of the record gold price by increasing production by 3% year-on-year, the council said.

該委員會表示,金礦開採公司利用創紀錄的黃金價格,將產量同比提高了3%。

"Mine production is still poised to surpass its previous high as the output from several regions – led by Africa – benefits from ramp-ups and expansions, as well as higher grades," the council said.

該委員會表示:「由於以非洲爲首的幾個地區的產量受益於提振和擴張以及更高的等級,礦山產量仍有望超過先前的高點。」

The high price discouraged jewelry buyers, with second quarter jewelry consumption volumes declining 19% year-on-year to a four-year low of 391 metric tons.

高昂的價格使珠寶買家望而卻步,第二季度珠寶消費量同比下降19%,至391公噸的四年低點。

"Q2 saw price sensitivity bite into jewelry demand and it may be a while before consumers fully adjust to higher prices," the industry group said.

該行業組織表示:「第二季度價格敏感性影響了珠寶需求,消費者可能需要一段時間才能完全適應更高的價格。」

Despite the downturn in jewelry demand, a 53% increase in over the counter and other investment pushed total demand into positive territory. Over-the-counter transactions involve a network of participants who trade directly with each other without the oversight of a formal exchange.

儘管珠寶需求下滑,但場外投資和其他投資增長了53%,使總需求進入正值區間。場外交易涉及一個參與者網絡,他們在沒有正式交易所監督的情況下直接進行交易。

"Estimating and attributing this investment buying is difficult due to its opaque nature, but field research strongly supports the data available that puts this at 329t – the strongest quarter since Q4'20," the council said. "Demand from this sector has been in response to concern over the U.S. debt burden, geopolitical risks and attraction to the strong price rise."

該委員會表示:「由於其不透明的性質,很難估算和歸因這種投資購買,但實地研究強烈支持現有數據,該數據爲329萬英鎊——這是自2020年第四季度以來最強勁的季度。」「該行業的需求是對美國債務負擔、地緣政治風險和價格強勁上漲吸引力的擔憂的回應。」

Meanwhile, central bank buying rose 6% year-on-year to hit 184 metric tons. That marked a slowdown from a record-breaking start to the year.

同時,央行的購買量同比增長6%,達到184公噸。這標誌着今年從破紀錄的開局放緩。

But this is still a very healthy level of buying, 3% above the five-year quarterly average of 179t," the council said. "Combined with Q1 net purchases, central bank gold demand in H1 totaled 483t, the highest first half year in our data series."

但這仍然是一個非常健康的購買水平,比179萬英鎊的五年季度平均水平高出3%,” 該委員會說。「加上第一季度的淨購買量,上半年中央銀行的黃金需求總額爲483萬英鎊,是我們數據系列中上半年的最高水平。」

Buying from physically backed gold exchange-traded funds pared their declines, with their holdings dropping by seven metric tons in the second quarter compared to a 21-metric ton drop in the same quarter last year.

從實物支持的黃金交易所交易基金的買入縮減了跌幅,其持有量在第二季度下降了7公噸,而去年同期下降了21公噸。

"The pace of outflows from gold ETFs slowed sharply in Q2," the council said. "A continuation of the nascent positive trajectory of gold ETFs, along with further strength in futures positioning, is still likely in our view given a number of catalysts."

該委員會表示:「黃金ETF的流出步伐在第二季度急劇放緩。」「鑑於多種催化劑,我們認爲,黃金ETF新興的積極走勢仍有可能延續,期貨頭寸進一步走強。」

Those catalysts are:

這些催化劑是:

• A clearer path to lower policy rates in the United States and Europe

• 降低美國和歐洲政策利率的更明確途徑

• A large current and forecast U.S. fiscal deficit

• 美國當前和預測的巨額財政赤字

• Increased market volatility, with U.S. elections in the second half of the year

• 市場波動加劇,美國大選將於下半年舉行

• Global geopolitical risk that curtails some recycling and bolsters retail demand

• 全球地緣政治風險限制了部分回收並提振了零售需求

• Support from the trend of central bank buying.

• 來自央行購買趨勢的支持。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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