American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings, Inc. Beat Analyst Estimates: See What The Consensus Is Forecasting For This Year
American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings, Inc. Beat Analyst Estimates: See What The Consensus Is Forecasting For This Year
American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:AXL) defied analyst predictions to release its quarterly results, which were ahead of market expectations. It was overall a positive result, with revenues beating expectations by 2.5% to hit US$1.6b. American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings also reported a statutory profit of US$0.15, which was an impressive 53% above what the analysts had forecast. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. With this in mind, we've gathered the latest statutory forecasts to see what the analysts are expecting for next year.
American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings, Inc. (NYSE: AXL)公佈業績,營業收入優於市場預期,整體上市場反應積極。營業收入達16億美元,超出預期2.5%。公司的每股收益爲0.15美元,比分析師預測的高出53%。作爲投資者,收益季是了解公司企業表現、查看分析師對公司明年業績預測的重要時間節點,同時也能了解市場對該公司的看法。因此,我們收集了最新的預測數據,以了解分析師對明年的預測。
![big](https://usnewsfile.moomoo.com/public/MM-PersistNewsContentImage/7781/20240812/0-c035eb77d25d7f80d52c0bed637ab9ed-0-85e9efbecb1bd42835bf3443c8e960d4.png/big)
Taking into account the latest results, American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings' nine analysts currently expect revenues in 2024 to be US$6.23b, approximately in line with the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to shoot up 2,310% to US$0.20. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of US$6.23b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$0.20 in 2024. The consensus analysts don't seem to have seen anything in these results that would have changed their view on the business, given there's been no major change to their estimates.
結合最新的結果,American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings的9位分析師預計2024年營業收入達到623億美元,與過去12個月基本持平。每股收益預計將飆升2310%至0.20美元。在此之前,分析師預計2024年營業收入爲623億美元,每股收益爲0.20美元。綜合分析,分析師似乎並沒有因爲這些業績結果發生了重大變化而改變對業務的看法,因爲他們的預測沒有發生重大變化。
There were no changes to revenue or earnings estimates or the price target of US$8.06, suggesting that the company has met expectations in its recent result. There's another way to think about price targets though, and that's to look at the range of price targets put forward by analysts, because a wide range of estimates could suggest a diverse view on possible outcomes for the business. There are some variant perceptions on American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at US$10.00 and the most bearish at US$6.00 per share. As you can see, analysts are not all in agreement on the stock's future, but the range of estimates is still reasonably narrow, which could suggest that the outcome is not totally unpredictable.
營收和收益預測或目標股價(8.06美元)未發生變化,這表明公司已滿足近期的預期。但還有另一種看待目標股價的方式,就是查看分析師提出的價格目標範圍,因爲廣泛預測範圍可能暗示業務可能產生不同的結果。對於American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings,分析師存在不同的看法,其中看好的分析師將其估值爲10.00美元,而看淡的則將其估值爲6.00美元。如你所見,分析師並不完全對該股票的未來看法達成一致,但預測範圍仍然相對狹窄,這可能意味着結果並不是完全不可預測的。
Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. We would highlight that revenue is expected to reverse, with a forecast 0.7% annualised decline to the end of 2024. That is a notable change from historical growth of 0.1% over the last five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in the same industry are forecast to see their revenue grow 9.6% annually for the foreseeable future. So although its revenues are forecast to shrink, this cloud does not come with a silver lining - American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings is expected to lag the wider industry.
從更宏觀的角度來看,我們可以通過將這些預測與公司過去的業績以及行業增長預測進行比較來理解這些預測的意義。我們注意到,預計公司的營業收入將會減少,到2024年末預計每年下降0.7%。這與過去5年0.1%的歷史增長相比相當明顯。相比之下,我們的數據表明,在同行業(被分析師覆蓋)中,其他公司的營業收入預計將以每年9.6%的速度增長。因此,儘管公司的營收預計將減少,其情況並不樂觀。
The Bottom Line
最重要的事情是分析師增加了它對下一年每股虧損的估計。令人欣慰的是,營收預測未發生重大變化,業務仍有望比整個行業增長更快。共識價格目標穩定在28.50美元,最新估計不足以對價格目標產生影響。
The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with the analysts reconfirming that the business is performing in line with their previous earnings per share estimates. On the plus side, there were no major changes to revenue estimates; although forecasts imply they will perform worse than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.
最重要的是,沒有主要的情緒變化,分析師重申該業務的表現符合他們以前的每股盈利預期。好的一面是,營業收入預測沒有發生重大變化,儘管預測表明他們的表現將低於整個行業。對共識股價目標沒有真正的改變,表明最新的估計值沒有使該業務的內在價值發生重大變化。
Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. We have forecasts for American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.
考慮到這一點,我們仍然認爲公司的長期發展軌跡對投資者來說更爲重要。我們對American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings的預測延伸至2026年,並可在此處免費查看。
Plus, you should also learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings (including 1 which is a bit concerning) .
此外,您還應該了解我們發現的3個警告信號:American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings(包括其中一個有點讓人擔憂的警告信號)。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。