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Declining Stock and Decent Financials: Is The Market Wrong About Inspur Digital Enterprise Technology Limited (HKG:596)?

Declining Stock and Decent Financials: Is The Market Wrong About Inspur Digital Enterprise Technology Limited (HKG:596)?

股票下跌,公司財務不錯:市場是否對浪潮數字企業科技有誤評估?(港交所代碼:596)
Simply Wall St ·  08/12 18:04

Inspur Digital Enterprise Technology (HKG:596) has had a rough three months with its share price down 18%. But if you pay close attention, you might find that its key financial indicators look quite decent, which could mean that the stock could potentially rise in the long-term given how markets usually reward more resilient long-term fundamentals. In this article, we decided to focus on Inspur Digital Enterprise Technology's ROE.

浪潮數字企業科技(HKG: 596)經歷了艱難的三個月,其股價下跌了18%。但是,如果你密切關注,你可能會發現其關鍵財務指標看起來相當不錯,考慮到市場通常會獎勵更具彈性的長期基本面,這可能意味着該股有可能在長期內上漲。在本文中,我們決定重點關注浪潮數字企業技術的投資回報率。

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

投資回報率或股本回報率是評估公司如何有效地從股東那裏獲得投資回報的有用工具。換句話說,它是衡量公司股東提供的資本回報率的盈利比率。

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

你如何計算股本回報率?

The formula for return on equity is:

股本回報率的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回報率 = 淨利潤(來自持續經營業務)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Inspur Digital Enterprise Technology is:

因此,根據上述公式,浪潮數字企業技術的投資回報率爲:

10% = CN¥210m ÷ CN¥2.1b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2023).

10% = 21000萬元人民幣 ÷ 21元人民幣(基於截至2023年12月的過去十二個月)。

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. So, this means that for every HK$1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of HK$0.10.

「回報」 是指公司去年的收益。因此,這意味着該公司每投資1港元,就會產生0.10港元的利潤。

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

投資回報率與收益增長之間有什麼關係?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

我們已經確定,投資回報率是衡量公司未來收益的有效利潤創造指標。我們現在需要評估公司爲未來增長再投資或 「保留」 了多少利潤,這樣我們就可以了解公司的增長潛力。假設其他一切都保持不變,那麼與不一定具有這些特徵的公司相比,投資回報率和利潤保留率越高,公司的增長率就越高。

Inspur Digital Enterprise Technology's Earnings Growth And 10% ROE

浪潮數字企業技術的收益增長和10%的投資回報率

On the face of it, Inspur Digital Enterprise Technology's ROE is not much to talk about. Although a closer study shows that the company's ROE is higher than the industry average of 5.4% which we definitely can't overlook. But then again, seeing that Inspur Digital Enterprise Technology's net income shrunk at a rate of 12% in the past five years, makes us think again. Bear in mind, the company does have a slightly low ROE. It is just that the industry ROE is lower. So that could be one of the factors that are causing earnings growth to shrink.

從表面上看,浪潮數字企業技術的投資回報率沒什麼好談的。儘管一項更仔細的研究表明,該公司的投資回報率高於行業平均水平的5.4%,但我們絕對不能忽視。但話又說回來,看到浪潮數字企業技術的淨收入在過去五年中以12%的速度萎縮,讓我們重新思考。請記住,該公司的投資回報率確實略低。只是行業的投資回報率較低。因此,這可能是導致收益增長萎縮的因素之一。

So, as a next step, we compared Inspur Digital Enterprise Technology's performance against the industry and were disappointed to discover that while the company has been shrinking its earnings, the industry has been growing its earnings at a rate of 24% over the last few years.

因此,下一步,我們將浪潮數字企業技術的表現與行業的表現進行了比較,失望地發現,儘管該公司一直在縮減收益,但該行業在過去幾年中一直以24%的速度增長收益。

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SEHK:596 Past Earnings Growth August 12th 2024
SEHK: 596 過去的收益增長 2024 年 8 月 12 日

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Inspur Digital Enterprise Technology is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

收益增長是對股票進行估值時要考慮的重要指標。對於投資者來說,重要的是要知道市場是否對公司的預期收益增長(或下降)進行了定價。通過這樣做,他們將知道股票是走向清澈的藍色海水還是沼澤水域在等着呢。衡量預期收益增長的一個很好的指標是市盈率,它根據收益前景決定了市場願意爲股票支付的價格。因此,您可能需要檢查一下浪潮數字企業技術相對於其行業是高市盈率還是低市盈率。

Is Inspur Digital Enterprise Technology Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

浪潮數字企業技術是否有效地將其利潤再投資?

When we piece together Inspur Digital Enterprise Technology's low three-year median payout ratio of 15% (where it is retaining 85% of its profits), calculated for the last three-year period, we are puzzled by the lack of growth. The low payout should mean that the company is retaining most of its earnings and consequently, should see some growth. It looks like there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.

當我們將浪潮數字企業技術在過去三年中計算的低三年派息率中位數15%(保留了85%的利潤)彙總在一起時,我們對缺乏增長感到困惑。低支出應意味着該公司保留了大部分收益,因此應該會出現一些增長。看來可能還有其他一些原因可以解釋這方面的不足。例如,業務可能會下滑。

Moreover, Inspur Digital Enterprise Technology has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth.

此外,浪潮數字企業技術已經派發股息至少十年或更長時間,這表明管理層一定已經意識到股東更喜歡股息而不是收益增長。

Conclusion

結論

Overall, we feel that Inspur Digital Enterprise Technology certainly does have some positive factors to consider. However, while the company does have a decent ROE and a high profit retention, its earnings growth number is quite disappointing. This suggests that there might be some external threat to the business, that's hampering growth. Having said that, looking at current analyst estimates, we found that the company's earnings growth rate is expected to see a huge improvement. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

總體而言,我們認爲浪潮數字企業技術確實有一些積極因素需要考慮。但是,儘管該公司的投資回報率確實不錯,利潤保留率很高,但其收益增長數字令人失望。這表明業務可能面臨一些外部威脅,這阻礙了增長。話雖如此,從分析師目前的估計來看,我們發現該公司的收益增長率預計將出現巨大改善。要詳細了解分析師對公司的最新預測,請查看該公司的分析師預測的可視化。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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