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Declining Stock and Decent Financials: Is The Market Wrong About Gree Electric Appliances, Inc. of Zhuhai (SZSE:000651)?

Declining Stock and Decent Financials: Is The Market Wrong About Gree Electric Appliances, Inc. of Zhuhai (SZSE:000651)?

股票下跌但財務穩健:市場是否對珠海格力電器股份有限公司(SZSE:000651)判斷錯誤?
Simply Wall St ·  08/12 20:52

Gree Electric Appliances of Zhuhai (SZSE:000651) has had a rough three months with its share price down 5.4%. However, stock prices are usually driven by a company's financials over the long term, which in this case look pretty respectable. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Gree Electric Appliances of Zhuhai's ROE today.

珠海格力電器(SZSE:000651)股價已經下跌了5.4%的整整三個月。然而,股票價格通常是長期受公司財務狀況驅動的,在這種情況下,相當值得尊重。今天我們將特別關注珠海格力電器的roe。

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

roe,即淨資產收益率,是一種評估公司如何有效地從股東手中獲取投資回報的有用工具。換句話說,它是一種盈利能力比率,衡量公司股東提供的資本的回報率。

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何計算股東權益報酬率?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

股東權益報酬率可以使用以下公式計算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

淨資產收益率 = 淨利潤(從持續經營中獲得)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Gree Electric Appliances of Zhuhai is:

因此,根據上述公式,珠海格力電器的roe爲:

23% = CN¥28b ÷ CN¥125b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

23%= CN¥280億 ÷ CN¥1250億 (截至2024年3月的過去十二個月數據)。

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. So, this means that for every CN¥1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of CN¥0.23.

『回報率』是企業過去一年所賺取的收入。這意味着,對於每1元股東的投資,公司可以獲得0.23元的利潤。

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

ROE與盈利增長之間的關係是什麼?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

到目前爲止,我們已經了解了roe衡量公司利潤產生效率的程度。現在我們需要評估公司爲未來增長而重新投資或「保留」的利潤數量,然後了解公司的增長潛力。假設其他一切不變,roe和利潤保留率越高,公司的增長率就越高,而與不一定具備這些特徵的公司相比,這種增長率的相對性就越高。

Gree Electric Appliances of Zhuhai's Earnings Growth And 23% ROE

珠海格力電器的盈利增長和23%的roe。

To start with, Gree Electric Appliances of Zhuhai's ROE looks acceptable. On comparing with the average industry ROE of 9.8% the company's ROE looks pretty remarkable. Yet, Gree Electric Appliances of Zhuhai has posted measly growth of 3.3% over the past five years. This is interesting as the high returns should mean that the company has the ability to generate high growth but for some reason, it hasn't been able to do so. Such a scenario is likely to take place when a company pays out a huge portion of its earnings as dividends, or is faced with competitive pressures.

首先,珠海格力電器的roe看起來是可以接受的。與平均行業roe爲9.8%相比,公司的roe看起來相當可觀。然而,在過去的五年中,珠海格力電器的增長甚微,僅爲3.3%。這是有趣的,因爲高回報率應該意味着公司有能力實現高增長,但出於某種原因,它未能做到。這種情況可能會在公司將大量利潤支付爲股息,或受到競爭壓力時發生。

As a next step, we compared Gree Electric Appliances of Zhuhai's net income growth with the industry and were disappointed to see that the company's growth is lower than the industry average growth of 5.7% in the same period.

作爲下一步,我們將珠海格力電器的淨利潤增長與行業進行了比較,並發現公司的增長低於該時期行業平均增長5.7%。

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SZSE:000651 Past Earnings Growth August 13th 2024
SZSE:000651過去的盈利增長2024年8月13日。

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Gree Electric Appliances of Zhuhai is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

盈利增長是股票估值的一個重要因素。投資者知道市場是否已經將公司的預期盈利增長(或下降)價格化。這將有助於他們確定股票的未來是否看好還是不利。期望盈利增長的一個良好指標是市盈率,它根據股票的盈利前景確定市場願意支付多少價格。因此,您可能希望檢查珠海格力電器是否在相對於行業的高市盈率或低市盈率上交易。

Is Gree Electric Appliances of Zhuhai Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

珠海格力電器是否有效利用其利潤?

Despite having a moderate three-year median payout ratio of 46% (implying that the company retains the remaining 54% of its income), Gree Electric Appliances of Zhuhai's earnings growth was quite low. Therefore, there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.

儘管珠海格力電器的三年中位數支付比率爲46%(表明公司保留其剩餘54%的收入),但該公司的盈利增長相當低。因此,可能有其他原因來解釋這種不足。例如,企業可能已經陷入衰退。

Additionally, Gree Electric Appliances of Zhuhai has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years, which means that the company's management is determined to pay dividends even if it means little to no earnings growth. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company is expected to keep paying out approximately 48% of its profits over the next three years. As a result, Gree Electric Appliances of Zhuhai's ROE is not expected to change by much either, which we inferred from the analyst estimate of 20% for future ROE.

此外,珠海格力電器已經連續十年支付股息,這意味着即使企業盈利增長很小,公司管理層仍然決心支付股息。在研究最新的分析師共識數據時,我們發現公司預計在未來三年中將繼續支付約48%的利潤。因此,我們從未來roe的分析師估計20%推斷,珠海格力電器的roe預計不會有太大的變化。

Summary

總的來說,我們對偉明環保的表現非常滿意。具體而言,我們喜歡公司以高回報率再投資了其利潤的很大一部分。當然,這導致公司的收益大幅增長。但是,最新的行業分析師預測表明,該公司的收益預計將加速增長。

In total, it does look like Gree Electric Appliances of Zhuhai has some positive aspects to its business. Yet, the low earnings growth is a bit concerning, especially given that the company has a high rate of return and is reinvesting ma huge portion of its profits. By the looks of it, there could be some other factors, not necessarily in control of the business, that's preventing growth. That being so, the latest analyst forecasts show that the company will continue to see an expansion in its earnings. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

總而言之,珠海格力電器的業務具有一些積極的方面。然而,低增長的盈利增長有點令人擔憂,特別是考慮到該公司的高回報率並且正在投資其巨大利潤。看起來,還有其他一些因素,不一定在企業控制之下,正在阻止增長。儘管如此,最新的分析師預測顯示,公司的盈利仍將繼續擴張。要了解該公司的最新分析師預測,請查看該公司的分析師預測可視化。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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