How Does Bitcoin Perform Ahead Of US Presidential Elections? 'Another 400 Days Of Upward Price Expansion Left,' Says Analyst
How Does Bitcoin Perform Ahead Of US Presidential Elections? 'Another 400 Days Of Upward Price Expansion Left,' Says Analyst
Max, CEO and founder of media platform Because Bitcoin, offers a unique perspective on Bitcoin's (CRYPTO: BTC) potential performance leading up to and following the upcoming U.S. presidential election.
媒體平台Because Bitcoin的首席執行官兼創始人Max對比特幣（加密貨幣：BTC）在即將到來的美國總統大選之前和之後的潛在表現提供了獨特的視角。
What Happened: In his latest podcast, Max examined Bitcoin's historical price action around past U.S. elections, identifying a consistent trend: bear markets tend to bottom well before elections, followed by a gradual upward movement into election day.
發生了什麼：在他最新的播客中，馬克斯研究了過去美國大選前後比特幣的歷史價格走勢，確定了一個持續的趨勢：熊市往往在選舉前很久就觸底，然後逐漸上漲到選舉日。
The analyst notes that regardless of whether a new president takes office or an incumbent remains, Bitcoin has shown similar behavior across multiple election cycles. Max observes, "You put in a bear market bottom, you grind up into the election, and then you have an aggressive expansion to the upside immediately following."
這位分析師指出，無論是新總統上任還是現任總統留任，比特幣在多個選舉週期中都表現出類似的行爲。馬克斯觀察到：「你在熊市觸底，進入選舉，然後緊隨其後的是向上擴張。」
Interestingly, Max points out that post-election rallies have lasted approximately one year in previous cycles. He calculates that Bitcoin reached its peak 393, 404, and 372 days after the 2012, 2016, and 2020 elections, respectively.
有趣的是，馬克斯指出，在之前的週期中，選舉後的集會持續了大約一年。他計算出，比特幣在2012年、2016年和2020年大選後分別達到了393、404和372天的峯值。
Also Read: A Donald Trump Win Could Be Seen As Bullish, Harris Victory As Bearish For Crypto: Bernstein
另請閱讀：唐納德·特朗普的勝利可能被視爲看漲，賀錦麗的勝利可能看跌加密貨幣：伯恩斯坦
Why It Matters: Max suggests that Bitcoin could potentially see a bull market peak between October and December 2025 if history repeats. He emphasizes, "That would mean that from right now because we're not at the election yet, we potentially have another 400 days left of upward price expansion."
爲何重要：馬克斯認爲，如果歷史重演，比特幣可能會在2025年10月至12月之間出現牛市峯值。他強調說：「這意味着從現在起，由於我們還沒有參加選舉，我們可能還剩400天的價格上漲。」
Max also highlights the curious alignment of Bitcoin halvings with U.S. elections, noting that recent halvings have occurred just before elections, often coinciding with choppy price action. On April 20, Bitcoin prices stood at $63,850 and then rallied to $71,400 exactly one month later on May 20.
Max還強調了比特幣減半與美國大選之間奇怪的一致性，他指出，最近的減半發生在選舉之前，通常與價格波動相吻合。4月20日，比特幣價格爲63,850美元，然後在整整一個月後的5月20日上漲至71,400美元。
While cautioning that past performance doesn't guarantee future results, Max's analysis provides a thought-provoking framework for understanding Bitcoin's potential trajectory about political cycles.
在警告過去的表現並不能保證未來的結果的同時，Max的分析爲理解比特幣的潛在政治週期軌跡提供了一個發人深省的框架。
What's Next: The influence of Bitcoin as an institutional asset class is expected to be thoroughly explored at Benzinga's upcoming Future of Digital Assets event on Nov. 19.
下一步是什麼：Benzinga即將於11月19日舉行的數字資產未來活動預計將全面探討比特幣作爲機構資產類別的影響力。
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This content was partially produced with the help of AI tools and was reviewed and published by Benzinga editors.
該內容部分是在人工智能工具的幫助下製作的，並由Benzinga編輯審查和發佈。
Image created using artificial intelligence with Midjourney.
使用 Midjourney 使用人工智能創建的圖像。