Yixintang Pharmaceutical Group (SZSE:002727) Sheds CN¥375m, Company Earnings and Investor Returns Have Been Trending Downwards for Past Three Years
Yixintang Pharmaceutical Group (SZSE:002727) Sheds CN¥375m, Company Earnings and Investor Returns Have Been Trending Downwards for Past Three Years
The truth is that if you invest for long enough, you're going to end up with some losing stocks. But the last three years have been particularly tough on longer term Yixintang Pharmaceutical Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002727) shareholders. Sadly for them, the share price is down 59% in that time. And over the last year the share price fell 48%, so we doubt many shareholders are delighted. Shareholders have had an even rougher run lately, with the share price down 43% in the last 90 days.
事實上,如果您長期投資,最終會擁有一些虧損的股票。但最近三年對於長期股東,一心堂製藥集團股份有限公司(SZSE:002727)的情況尤爲嚴峻。遺憾的是,該公司的股價在此期間下跌了59%。在過去一年中,股價下跌了48%,因此我們懷疑許多股東都感到不滿意。最近的股東們跑輸了市場,過去90天的股價下跌了43%。
Since Yixintang Pharmaceutical Group has shed CN¥375m from its value in the past 7 days, let's see if the longer term decline has been driven by the business' economics.
由於一心堂製藥集團在過去7天內市值縮水了37500萬人民幣,讓我們看看是不是公司經濟狀況導致了長期的下降。
In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
在他的《格雷厄姆和道德斯維爾的超級投資者》一文中,禾倫·巴菲特描述了股價並不總是合理反映企業價值的方法。檢驗市場情緒如何隨時間變化的一種方法是觀察公司股價和每股收益(EPS)之間的互動關係。
Yixintang Pharmaceutical Group saw its EPS decline at a compound rate of 14% per year, over the last three years. The share price decline of 26% is actually steeper than the EPS slippage. So it's likely that the EPS decline has disappointed the market, leaving investors hesitant to buy.
在過去三年中,一心堂製藥集團的每股收益以複合年率下降了14%。股價下跌了26%,實際上比每股收益下降更嚴重。因此,每股收益下降令市場失望,使投資者猶豫不決。
The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
該公司的每股收益(隨時間的推移)如下圖所示(單擊可查看確切數字)。
Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here.
在購買或出售股票之前,我們始終建議對歷史增長趨勢進行仔細研究,可以在這裏找到相關信息。
What About Dividends?
那麼分紅怎麼樣呢?
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, Yixintang Pharmaceutical Group's TSR for the last 3 years was -57%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.
除了衡量股價回報之外,投資者還應考慮總股東回報(TSR)。雖然股價回報只反映了股價的變化,但TSR包括股息的價值(假設它們被再投資)以及任何折價融資或剝離的好處。因此,對於支付慷慨股息的公司,TSR通常比股價回報高得多。恰巧一心堂製藥集團過去3年的TSR爲-57%,超過了前面提到的股價回報。公司支付的股息因此提高了總股東回報。
A Different Perspective
不同的觀點
We regret to report that Yixintang Pharmaceutical Group shareholders are down 47% for the year (even including dividends). Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 18%. However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 8% per year over five years. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Yixintang Pharmaceutical Group that you should be aware of before investing here.
我們很遺憾地報告,一心堂製藥集團股東(包括股息)今年已經下跌了47%。不幸的是,這比更廣泛的市場下跌18%還要糟糕。然而,股價可能受到更廣泛市場的恐慌情緒的影響。如果有好的機會,值得關注公司的基本面。遺憾的是,去年的表現爲這些股東們結束了長達五年的慘淡收益。我們知道,羅斯柴爾德男爵曾表示投資者應該「在街上流血時買入股票」,但我們提醒投資者首先要確信自己正在購買一家高質量的企業。雖然考慮市場狀況可能會對股價產生不同的影響,但還有其他更重要的因素。例如,我們發現了兩個對一心堂製藥集團產生警示的因素,在此投資之前,您應該了解這些情況。
If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.
如果您願意查看另一家公司(具有潛在的更好財務狀況),請不要錯過這個免費的公司列表,證明它們可以增長收益。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。