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FutureFuel's (NYSE:FF) 7.3% CAGR Outpaced the Company's Earnings Growth Over the Same Five-year Period

FutureFuel's (NYSE:FF) 7.3% CAGR Outpaced the Company's Earnings Growth Over the Same Five-year Period

在同樣的五年期間內,FutureFuel(紐交所:FF)的年複合增長率爲7.3%,超過了公司盈利增長。
Simply Wall St ·  08/14 08:51

FutureFuel Corp. (NYSE:FF) shareholders should be happy to see the share price up 25% in the last week. But that doesn't change the fact that the returns over the last five years have been less than pleasing. After all, the share price is down 45% in that time, significantly under-performing the market.

過去一週,FutureFuel公司(NYSE:FF)的股價上漲了25%,股東應感到高興。 但是,過去五年的回報率並不令人滿意。 畢竟,股價在此期間下跌了45%,明顯表現不佳。

On a more encouraging note the company has added US$53m to its market cap in just the last 7 days, so let's see if we can determine what's driven the five-year loss for shareholders.

更令人振奮的是,公司市值在過去7天內增加了5300萬美元,讓我們看看是什麼推動了股東五年的虧損。

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

儘管市場是一個強大的價格機制,但股票價格反映的不僅是潛在業務績效,還反映了投資者的情緒。 了解市場情緒隨時間的變化的一種方法是查看公司的股價與每股收益(EPS)之間的互動。

During the unfortunate half decade during which the share price slipped, FutureFuel actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) improve by 14% per year. Given the share price reaction, one might suspect that EPS is not a good guide to the business performance during the period (perhaps due to a one-off loss or gain). Alternatively, growth expectations may have been unreasonable in the past.

在這個不幸的半個十年內,雖然股價下跌,FutureFuel實際上每年的每股收益(EPS)增長了14%。 鑑於股價的反應,人們可能會懷疑EPS在此期間業務績效方面不是一個好的指導 (可能由於一次性收益或損失)。 或者,以往的增長預期可能過高。

Due to the lack of correlation between the EPS growth and the falling share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics to try to understand the share price movement.

由於每股收益增長與股價下跌之間缺乏相關性,值得關注其他指標來嘗試了解股價的走勢。

We note that the dividend has remained healthy, so that wouldn't really explain the share price drop. While it's not completely obvious why the share price is down, a closer look at the company's history might help explain it.

我們注意到分紅派息仍然健康,因此這並不能真正解釋股價下跌。雖然股價下跌的原因不完全明顯,但更仔細地查看公司歷史記錄可能有助於解釋。

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下面的圖表顯示了收益和營收隨時間的變化情況(通過單擊圖像揭示確切的值)。

big
NYSE:FF Earnings and Revenue Growth August 14th 2024
NYSE:FF營收和收入增長於2024年8月14日

It's probably worth noting we've seen significant insider buying in the last quarter, which we consider a positive. On the other hand, we think the revenue and earnings trends are much more meaningful measures of the business. This free interactive report on FutureFuel's earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

值得注意的是,在過去的一個季度中,FutureFuel股票出現了顯着的內部買盤,我們認爲這是一個積極的因素。 另一方面,我們認爲收入和盈利趨勢更具業務意義。 如果您想進一步調查股票,FutureFuel的免費互動報告將提供有關其收益,營收和現金流的信息。

What About Dividends?

那麼分紅怎麼樣呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of FutureFuel, it has a TSR of 43% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

除了測量股價回報外,投資者還應考慮總股東回報(TSR)。 TSR是一種返回計算,將現金股息的價值(假設任何股息均被再投資)和任何折扣後的股本增發和剝離的計算價值計算在內。 因此,對於支付高額股息的公司,TSR往往比股價回報高得多。 對於FutureFuel來說,過去5年的TSR爲43%。 這超過了我們先前提到的股價回報。 這很大程度上是其分紅支付的結果!

A Different Perspective

不同的觀點

FutureFuel's TSR for the year was broadly in line with the market average, at 20%. Most would be happy with a gain, and it helps that the year's return is actually better than the average return over five years, which was 7%. Even if the share price growth slows down from here, there's a good chance that this is business worth watching in the long term. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for FutureFuel (1 doesn't sit too well with us) that you should be aware of.

FutureFuel今年的TSR與市場平均水平基本持平,爲20%。 大多數人會對收益感到高興,很幸運的是,該年的回報實際上比過去五年的平均回報率7%還要好。 即使在這裏,股價增長放緩的情況下,這也是值得長期關注的企業。 儘管考慮到市場狀況可能對股價產生不同的影響,但其他更重要的因素。 例如,我們已經確定了2個FutureFuel的警示信號(有1個並不太符合我們的要求),您應該注意這些信號。

FutureFuel is not the only stock that insiders are buying. For those who like to find lesser know companies this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

FutureFuel不是唯一一個內部人員正在購買的公司股票。 對於那些喜歡尋找不知名公司的人,這個免費的增長公司列表具有最近的內部購買,可以是一個好選擇。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

請注意,本文所引述的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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