share_log

We Think North Industries Group Red Arrow (SZSE:000519) Can Manage Its Debt With Ease

We Think North Industries Group Red Arrow (SZSE:000519) Can Manage Its Debt With Ease

我們認爲中兵紅箭(SZSE:000519)可以輕鬆管理其債務
Simply Wall St ·  08/14 18:45

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that North Industries Group Red Arrow Co., Ltd (SZSE:000519) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

當我們考慮一家公司的風險時,我們總是喜歡看它的債務使用情況,因爲債務過載可能導致破產。我們可以看到中兵紅箭股份有限公司(SZSE:000519)在其業務中確實使用了債務。但這筆債務是否會成爲股東的擔憂呢?David Iben說得好,「波動性不是我們關心的風險。我們關心的是避免永久性的資本損失」。

When Is Debt Dangerous?

債務何時有危險?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

當企業無法輕鬆履行債務時,債務和其他負債對企業會產生風險,無論是通過自由現金流還是以有吸引力的價格籌集資本。如果情況變得真的很糟糕,貸方可以接管企業。但是,更常見但仍然昂貴的情況是,公司必須以低廉的股票價格稀釋股東,僅爲了控制債務。 當然,債務對於企業來說可能是一個重要的工具,特別是對於資本密集型企業。在考慮企業使用多少債務時,首先要做的是將其現金和債務結合起來看。

What Is North Industries Group Red Arrow's Net Debt?

中兵紅箭的淨債務是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that North Industries Group Red Arrow had debt of CN¥206.4m at the end of March 2024, a reduction from CN¥335.0m over a year. However, it does have CN¥6.04b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥5.84b.

下面的圖片(您可以單擊以獲取更多詳細信息)顯示,中兵紅箭在2024年3月底的債務爲2.064億元人民幣,較去年的3.35億元人民幣有所減少。不過,它有60.4億元人民幣的現金抵消這一點,導致淨現金達到584億元人民幣。

big
SZSE:000519 Debt to Equity History August 14th 2024
SZSE:000519資產負債率歷史記錄截至2024年8月14日

A Look At North Industries Group Red Arrow's Liabilities

觀察中兵紅箭的負債

The latest balance sheet data shows that North Industries Group Red Arrow had liabilities of CN¥3.87b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥781.8m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥6.04b in cash and CN¥2.03b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥3.42b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

最新的資產負債表數據顯示,中兵紅箭還有38.7億元的短期債務到期,以及7818萬元的長期債務到期。相抵消的是,它有60.4億元的現金和20.3億元的應收賬款,這些賬款在12個月內到期。所以,它擁有342億元的流動資產超過總負債。

This excess liquidity suggests that North Industries Group Red Arrow is taking a careful approach to debt. Given it has easily adequate short term liquidity, we don't think it will have any issues with its lenders. Simply put, the fact that North Industries Group Red Arrow has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

這種過剩的流動性表明中兵紅箭正在謹慎處理債務。鑑於它具有足夠的短期流動性,我們認爲它不會與其債權人發生任何問題。簡而言之,中兵紅箭持有現金超過其債務,這是一個好跡象,表明它可以安全地管理其債務。

On top of that, North Industries Group Red Arrow grew its EBIT by 60% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine North Industries Group Red Arrow's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

此外,中兵紅箭在過去的十二個月中,EBIT增長了60%,這種增長將使其更容易處理其債務。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表上了解到的關於債務的信息最多。但與其它任何事情相比,未來的收益將決定中兵紅箭維持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果您專注於未來,可以查看此免費報告,以查看分析師的利潤預測。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. North Industries Group Red Arrow may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Looking at the most recent three years, North Industries Group Red Arrow recorded free cash flow of 30% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

最後,公司只能用冰冷的現金支付債務,而不能用會計利潤支付。中兵紅箭可能有淨現金在資產負債表上,但仍然有意思的是,看看公司如何將其利潤(利息和稅前利潤)轉換爲自由現金流,因爲這將影響其管理債務的需要和能力。在過去的三年中,中兵紅箭的自由現金流爲其EBIT的30%,低於我們的預期。這種弱的現金轉換使其更難以處理負債。

Summing Up

總之

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that North Industries Group Red Arrow has net cash of CN¥5.84b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. And it impressed us with its EBIT growth of 60% over the last year. So is North Industries Group Red Arrow's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. Over time, share prices tend to follow earnings per share, so if you're interested in North Industries Group Red Arrow, you may well want to click here to check an interactive graph of its earnings per share history.

雖然我們同情那些擔心債務的投資者,但您應該記住,中兵紅箭有58.4億元人民幣的淨現金,以及比負債更多的流動資產。而中兵紅箭過去一年的EBIT增長了60%。因此,中兵紅箭的債務是否存在風險?對我們來說似乎沒有。隨着時間的推移,股價往往會跟隨每股收益,因此,如果您關注中兵紅箭股票,您可能想單擊此處,查看其每股收益歷史的交互式圖表。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

說到底,有時候更容易集中精力關注根本不需要債務的公司。讀者可以免費訪問零淨債務增長股票列表。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
    搶先評論