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Is Huayi Brothers Media (SZSE:300027) A Risky Investment?

Is Huayi Brothers Media (SZSE:300027) A Risky Investment?

華誼兄弟傳媒(SZSE:300027)是否是一項高風險的投資?
Simply Wall St ·  08/14 20:29

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Huayi Brothers Media Corporation (SZSE:300027) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

作爲一個投資者,有人認爲波動性而不是債務是思考風險的最佳方式,但禾倫·巴菲特曾經說過:「波動性與風險千差萬別。」因此,當您考慮某個股票的風險時,需要考慮債務,因爲過多的債務可能會導致公司破產。與許多其他公司一樣,華誼兄弟(股票代碼:300027)利用債務。但股東們是否應該擔心華誼兄弟的債務使用呢?

When Is Debt A Problem?

什麼時候負債才是一個問題?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

當債務和其他負債變得對業務風險時,當公司無法輕鬆履行這些義務時,會出現風險,無論是通過自由現金流還是以有吸引力的價格籌集資本。在最壞的情況下,如果公司無法償還債權人的債務,它可能會破產。儘管這不是太普遍,但我們經常看到企業因負債累累而「永久性稀釋」股東,因爲借款人迫使它們以苦澀的價格籌集資本。當然,債務的好處是它通常代表着便宜的資本,特別是當它代替了公司在具有高投資回報率的能力時的稀釋。當我們檢查債務水平時,我們首先考慮現金和債務水平。

What Is Huayi Brothers Media's Net Debt?

華誼兄弟媒體的淨債務是什麼?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Huayi Brothers Media had CN¥989.4m of debt in March 2024, down from CN¥1.58b, one year before. However, it also had CN¥276.8m in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥712.6m.

您可以單擊下面的圖形查看歷史數據,但它顯示,華誼兄弟在2024年3月份的債務爲98940萬人民幣,比一年前的1580萬元人民幣減少。但是,它也有27680萬人民幣的現金,因此其淨債務爲71260萬人民幣。

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SZSE:300027 Debt to Equity History August 15th 2024
SZSE: 300027 負債股本比歷史數據 2024年8月15日

A Look At Huayi Brothers Media's Liabilities

華誼兄弟媒體的負債情況

The latest balance sheet data shows that Huayi Brothers Media had liabilities of CN¥2.18b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥969.2m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥276.8m in cash and CN¥388.4m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥2.49b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

最新的資產負債表數據顯示,華誼兄弟媒體有21.8億人民幣的短期負債,96920萬元的長期負債。而其現金爲27680萬元,應收賬款爲38840萬元,這些都是在12個月內到期的。因此,它的負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款總額高出249000萬元人民幣。

Huayi Brothers Media has a market capitalization of CN¥5.44b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Huayi Brothers Media's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

華誼兄弟媒體的市值爲54.4億人民幣,因此如果需要,它很有可能籌集資金來改善其資產負債表。但我們一定要密切關注其債務是否帶來了過多的風險。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是一個顯而易見的起點。但是,未來的收益,更多的是決定華誼兄弟媒體能否保持健康的資產負債表。因此,如果您關注未來,可以查看這份自由報告,其中顯示了分析師的利潤預測。

In the last year Huayi Brothers Media wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 4.9%, to CN¥528m. We usually like to see faster growth from unprofitable companies, but each to their own.

在過去的一年中,華誼兄弟媒體在EBIT水平上並沒有盈利,但其營業收入增長了4.9%,達到52800萬元人民幣。我們通常希望看到未盈利的公司實現更快的增長,但因人而異。

Caveat Emptor

買方自負。

Importantly, Huayi Brothers Media had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. Indeed, it lost CN¥70m at the EBIT level. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. For example, we would not want to see a repeat of last year's loss of CN¥547m. So to be blunt we do think it is risky. When we look at a riskier company, we like to check how their profits (or losses) are trending over time. Today, we're providing readers this interactive graph showing how Huayi Brothers Media's profit, revenue, and operating cashflow have changed over the last few years.

重要的是,華誼兄弟媒體在過去一年中的利潤之前的利息和稅前虧損,即EBIT虧損了7000萬元人民幣。當我們看到這一點並回想起其資產負債表上的負債相對於現金的情況時,我們認爲公司有任何債務都是不明智的。因此,我們認爲資產負債表有點緊張,但仍有可行性。例如,我們不希望看到去年54700萬元人民幣的虧損重演。所以坦白地說,我們認爲它是有風險的。我們喜歡檢查風險較高的公司的利潤(或損失)在一段時間內的趨勢。今天,我們爲讀者提供這個交互圖表,顯示華誼兄弟媒體的利潤、收入和營運現金流在過去幾年中的變化。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果您有興趣投資能夠在不負債的情況下增長利潤的企業,請查看這份免費列表,其中列出了在資產負債表上擁有淨現金的成長型企業。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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