Bitcoin Down 10% In August—Here's What Traders Expect For September
Bitcoin Down 10% In August—Here's What Traders Expect For September
— Jelle (@CryptoJelleNL) August 15, 2024Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) is down 7% over the past 30 days, with traders to predicting further downside in September.
比特幣（CRYPTO: BTC）過去30天下跌了7％，交易員預測9月會進一步下跌。
What Happened: Crypto trader Jelle noted that Bitcoin is down around 10% this month, in line with its August performance in the past two years. He predicts September to be a rough month that could see Bitcoin drop another 5%.
發生了什麼：加密貨幣交易員Jelle指出，比特幣本月下跌約10％，與過去兩年的8月表現相符。他預測9月將是一個艱難的月份，可能會導致比特幣下跌另外5％。
Halfway through August, #Bitcoin is down roughly 10% — in line with the previous two years.
September tends to be a rough month as well, with price generally losing ±5%.
Q4 is a completely different story though, with major gains on the seasonal menu.
Survive until then. pic.twitter.com/Lhyth3ihwh— Jelle (@CryptoJelleNL) August 15, 2024
八月中旬，# 比特幣下跌了約10％-與前兩年相符。
9月也往往是艱難的月份，價格通常會下跌±5％。
但 Q4 的情況則完全不同，季節菜單上有大幅收益。
堅持到那時。pic.twitter.com/Lhyth3ihwh— Jelle（@CryptoJelleNL）2024年8月15日
In another tweet, Jelle stated that Bitcoin flipped a technical indicator, confirming the "sell in May" crowd. He predicted, "Mean reversion almost complete, slow season almost behind us. Onwards & upwards, soon."
Jelle在另一條推文中表示，比特幣翻轉了一個技術指標，證實了「五月賣出」人群的說法。他預測：「均值回歸幾乎完成，淡季即將結束。向前邁進，往上攀升，不久後。」
Trader Scalping Pro noted that Bitcoin printed a bearish cross on the daily chart, with its 50-day moving average falling below the 200-day moving average, indicating short-team weakness. There was only one previous bearish cross in September 2023 when the price was trading around $25,000. Prices went sideways for some weeks before a bullish cross and a strong rally. He added, "If the pattern repeats we might see a few weeks of choppy PA here. The bullish confirmation will be a reclaim of the MA's followed by a nice bullish cross."
交易員Scalping Pro指出，比特幣在日線圖上打印出了看淡的十字星形態，其50日移動均線跌破了200日移動均線，表明短期弱勢。在2013年9月，價格約爲25000美元時，只有一次看淡的十字星形態。價格在經過幾周的橫盤後出現看漲的十字星形態和強勁的上漲。他補充說：「如果模式重複，我們可能會在這裏看到幾周的波動PA。看漲的確認將是重新奪回MA，然後是美好的看漲十字星。」
The Bitcoin Archive reported that two of the biggest banks in the U.S. declared owning more than $600 million BTC. Around $418 million BTC is owned by Goldman Sachs and $187 million by Morgan Stanley. The latter also has 15,000 wealth advisors, who have started to market Bitcoin ETFs to clients.
比特幣歸檔報告稱，美國最大的兩家銀行聲明擁有超過60000萬比特幣。高盛擁有大約41800萬比特幣，摩根士丹利擁有18700萬比特幣。後者還擁有15000名財富顧問，他們已經開始向客戶推銷比特幣etf。
Crypto industry expert Quinten Francois noted that the Norwegian Sovereign Wealth Fund increased its indirect Bitcoin holdings to 2,446 BTC as of June 2024 compared to 1,507 BTC in 2023.
加密貨幣行業專家Quinten Francois指出，挪威主權財富基金將其間接比特幣持有量從2023年的1507 BTC增加到2024年的2446 BTC。
IntoTheBlock data shows a 3% increase in large transaction volume and a 355.8% spike in exchange netflows.
IntoTheBlock數據顯示，大手交易量增加了3％，交易所淨流入量增加了355.8％。