Harris Vs. Trump: Vice President Leads 2024 Election By 4 Points, Shows Strong Support From Voters Young, Old
Harris Vs. Trump: Vice President Leads 2024 Election By 4 Points, Shows Strong Support From Voters Young, Old
A new 2024 election poll shows Vice President Kamala Harris ranking ahead of former President Donald Trump, gaining a lead for the Democratic Party after President Joe Biden dropped out of the race.
一項2024年新選舉民調顯示，副總統賀錦麗領先於前總統特朗普，在總統喬·拜登退出競選後，爲民主黨贏得領先地位。
What Happened: Harris has been surging in 2024 election polls and prediction markets, taking a lead over Trump in many cases.
賀錦麗在2024年選舉民意調查和預測市場中持續走高，在許多情況下領先於特朗普。
A new Emerson College poll shows Harris with a lead and the following results:
Emerson College的一項新調查顯示，賀錦麗領先，結果如下：
Kamala Harris: 50%
卡瑪拉賀錦麗：50%
Donald Trump: 46%
特朗普：46%
Undecided: 5%
未決定：5%
The poll is the first national survey conducted by Emerson College since Biden dropped out of the race. The previous poll showed Trump with a 48% to 47% lead over Biden, with Harris now swinging the Democratic Party to a lead.
該調查是Emerson College自拜登退出競選以來進行的首次全國調查。上次調查顯示特朗普以48%對47%領先於拜登，而現在賀錦麗則使民主黨處於領先地位。
Conducted from Aug. 12 through Aug. 14, the poll included only voters who said they are likely to vote in the 2024 election, compared to past polls which included all registered voters.
該調查是從8月12日到8月14日進行的，只包括表示他們可能在2024年選舉中投票的選民，而以往的調查包括所有已登記選民。
When undecided voters were asked to pick which way they were leaning, the poll went to Harris 52% and Trump 48%. The inclusion of third-party candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. saw the poll show 48% for Harris, 44% for Trump and 4% for Kennedy Jr.
當未決定選民被問及他們傾向於哪一方時，調查結果顯示賀錦麗獲得了52%的支持，特朗普獲得了48%的支持。第三方候選人羅伯特·F·肯尼迪也參與了調查，結果顯示賀錦麗獲得了48%的支持，特朗普獲得了44%的支持，肯尼迪獲得了4%的支持。
Why It's Important: The new poll shows Harris flipping the script and taking back a lead for the Democratic Party. Harris also shows strength across several key voter demographic groups in the latest poll.
這項新調查顯示，賀錦麗扭轉局勢，爲民主黨奪回領先地位。在最新的調查中，賀錦麗在數個關鍵選民人群中都表現出了實力。
"Likely voters under 30 have shifted toward Harris by nine points, 56% of whom supported Biden, 65% now support Harris. Voters over 70 also support Harris over Trump, 51% to 48% — last month they broke 50% to 48% for Trump," Emerson College Polling executive director Spencer Kimball said.
「年齡在30歲以下的有可能選民已經向賀錦麗轉移了9個百分點，其中56%支持拜登，現在支持賀錦麗的是65%。年齡在70歲以上的選民也支持賀錦麗勝過特朗普，是51%對48%，而上個月他們支持特朗普的比例爲50%對48%。」Emerson College民調執行主任斯賓塞·金貝爾說。
Independent voters also favored Harris in the poll with 46% backing Harris and 45% backing Trump, compared to a 45% to 44% lead for Trump over Biden last month.
獨立選民在調查中也更傾向於賀錦麗，有46%支持賀錦麗，45%支持特朗普，而上個月特朗普在拜登面前領先45%對44%。
The poll found Harris to be viewed favorable by 51% of voters and viewed unfavorable by 49% of voters. Trump's rating was 45% favorable and 54% unfavorable in the poll.
調查發現，賀錦麗在51%的選民中受到了支持，49%的選民持有不支持的態度。特朗普的評級在調查中爲45%的支持和54%的不支持。
Among 2024 vice-presidential running mates, Tim Walz has a favorable rating of 39% and unfavorable rating of 39%. J.D. Vance has a favorable rating of 39% and an unfavorable rating of 49%.
在2024年副總統競選夥伴中，蒂姆·沃爾茨擁有39%的支持率和39%的不支持率。J.D.範斯擁有39%的支持率和49%的不支持率。