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Shareholders in China Railway Signal & Communication (HKG:3969) Are in the Red If They Invested Five Years Ago

Shareholders in China Railway Signal & Communication (HKG:3969) Are in the Red If They Invested Five Years Ago

如果股東在五年前投資中國中鐵通信(HKG:3969),則現在持倉虧損。
Simply Wall St ·  08/16 00:47

For many, the main point of investing is to generate higher returns than the overall market. But the main game is to find enough winners to more than offset the losers So we wouldn't blame long term China Railway Signal & Communication Corporation Limited (HKG:3969) shareholders for doubting their decision to hold, with the stock down 36% over a half decade.

對許多人來說,投資的主要目的是獲得比整個市場更高的回報。 但是,主要的挑戰是尋找足夠的贏家超過輸家。因此,我們不會責怪長揸中國中鐵信號與通信股份有限公司(HKG:3969)的股東對他們持有的決定產生懷疑,因爲該股票在半個十年裏下跌了36%。

Since shareholders are down over the longer term, lets look at the underlying fundamentals over the that time and see if they've been consistent with returns.

由於股東們長期以來都虧損了,因此讓我們回顧過去一段時間的基本面,看看是否一直與收益相一致。

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

引用本傑明·格雷厄姆的話:在短期內,市場是投票機,但在長期內,市場是稱重機。通過比較每股收益(EPS)和股票價格的時間變化,我們可以感受到投資者對公司的態度隨時間而變化。

Looking back five years, both China Railway Signal & Communication's share price and EPS declined; the latter at a rate of 1.7% per year. This reduction in EPS is less than the 9% annual reduction in the share price. So it seems the market was too confident about the business, in the past. The low P/E ratio of 9.29 further reflects this reticence.

回顧五年,中國中鐵信號與通信的股價和每股收益均下跌;每股收益下降速度爲1.7%。EPS的降低比股價的年降幅9%要低,因此似乎市場過去過於自信。9.29的低市盈率進一步反映了這種保守態度。

You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

您可以在下面的圖片中查看每股收益如何隨時間變化(單擊圖表以查看確切的價值)。

big
SEHK:3969 Earnings Per Share Growth August 16th 2024
SEHK:3969每股收益增長2024年8月16日

We're pleased to report that the CEO is remunerated more modestly than most CEOs at similarly capitalized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on China Railway Signal & Communication's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

我們很高興地報告說,中國中鐵信號與通信的CEO的報酬比同樣資本化的公司的大多數CEO都要適當。 -CEO的薪水值得關注,但更重要的問題是公司是否會在未來多年內增長收益。查看我們有關中國中鐵信號與通信的收益,營業收入和現金流的免費報告,可能會很值得。

What About Dividends?

那麼分紅怎麼樣呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. In the case of China Railway Signal & Communication, it has a TSR of -10% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

對於任何給定的股票,重要的是考慮總股東回報以及股票的股價回報。TSR包括任何資本財務收益的價值或貼現,以及基於股息再投資的任何股息。可以說,TSR給出了股票產生的更全面的回報圖像。在中國中鐵信號與通信的情況下,它在過去五年中具有-10%的TSR。這超過了我們之前提到的股票價格回報。這主要是由於其股息支付的結果!

A Different Perspective

不同的觀點

We're pleased to report that China Railway Signal & Communication shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 22% over one year. That's including the dividend. There's no doubt those recent returns are much better than the TSR loss of 2% per year over five years. This makes us a little wary, but the business might have turned around its fortunes. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Take risks, for example - China Railway Signal & Communication has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

我們很高興地報告說,中國中鐵信號與通信的股東在過去一年中獲得了22%的總股東回報,包括股息。毫無疑問,這些最近的回報比五年內每年虧損2%的TSR要好得多。這讓我們有點擔心,但該業務可能已扭轉其命運。雖然考慮市場條件可能對股票價格產生的不同影響非常重要,但還有其他更重要的因素。例如,承擔風險-中國中鐵信號與通信有1個警告標誌,我們認爲您應該了解。

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.

當然,您可能在其他地方找到一家出色的企業進行投資。因此,請查看我們預計將實現盈利增長的公司的免費列表。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了當前在香港證券交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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