SurgePays, Inc. (NASDAQ:SURG) Just Reported And Analysts Have Been Cutting Their Estimates
SurgePays, Inc. (NASDAQ:SURG) Just Reported And Analysts Have Been Cutting Their Estimates
There's been a major selloff in SurgePays, Inc. (NASDAQ:SURG) shares in the week since it released its quarterly report, with the stock down 21% to US$1.90. It was a pretty bad result overall; while revenues were in line with expectations at US$15m, statutory losses exploded to US$0.66 per share. Following the result, the analysts have updated their earnings model, and it would be good to know whether they think there's been a strong change in the company's prospects, or if it's business as usual. Readers will be glad to know we've aggregated the latest statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their mind on SurgePays after the latest results.
SurgePays, Inc.(納斯達克代碼:SURG)自上週發佈季度報告以來股價大幅下跌,跌幅達21%,目前報價1.90美元。本季度業績表現不佳,儘管營業收入爲1500萬美元,符合預期,但每股收益達到了0.66美元,出現了規模性虧損。分析師們已更新了業績模型,大家想知道公司前景是否發生了巨大變化,還是一切照舊。我們已經整合了最新的營收預測,想看看分析師們在最新的業績公佈後有沒有對SurgePays改變看法的了解的讀者可以放心。
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Taking into account the latest results, the dual analysts covering SurgePays provided consensus estimates of US$68.6m revenue in 2024, which would reflect a concerning 39% decline over the past 12 months. The statutory loss per share is expected to greatly reduce in the near future, narrowing 1,263% to US$1.06. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of US$100.4m and earnings per share (EPS) of US$0.005 in 2024. So we can see that the consensus has become notably more bearish on SurgePays' outlook following these results, with a pretty serious reduction to next year's revenue estimates. Furthermore, they expect the business to be loss-making next year, compared to their previous calls for a profit.
綜合考慮最新的數據,覆蓋SurgePays公司的兩位分析師提供了預計2024年6880萬美元的營收的一體化預測,預計過去12個月的營收將出現39%的下滑。每股收益的規模性虧損預計將在不久的將來得到大幅削減,縮小到1.06美元,同比減少1,263%。此前,分析師們的營收預測爲10040萬美元,預計2024年每股收益(EPS)爲0.005美元。因此,基於最新數據,我們可以看到分析師們對SurgePays的前景持更爲看淡的看法,對明年的營收預期大幅減少。此外,他們預計公司明年將虧損,而不是之前的盈利預期。
The consensus price target fell 15% to US$5.75, with the analysts clearly concerned about the company following the weaker revenue and earnings outlook.
分析師對SurgePays公司的擔憂明顯,營收和盈利預期低迷,普遍預計其股價目標下降15美分,至5.75美元。
Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. These estimates imply that revenue is expected to slow, with a forecast annualised decline of 63% by the end of 2024. This indicates a significant reduction from annual growth of 35% over the last five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in the same industry are forecast to see their revenue grow 3.9% annually for the foreseeable future. So although its revenues are forecast to shrink, this cloud does not come with a silver lining - SurgePays is expected to lag the wider industry.
當然,還有一種方法可以將這些預測與整個行業相比較。這些預測表明,收入預計將出現下滑,到2024年底,年化下滑幅度預計爲63%。這表明,在過去的五年中,年增長率從35%下降至目前的預測水平。相反,我們的數據表明,同一行業中的其他上市公司(有分析師跟蹤)預計在可預見的未來內將年增長率爲3.9%。雖然SurgePays的營收預計將縮水,但這一趨勢並不會成爲它的優勢,相反,公司將落後於整個行業板塊。
The Bottom Line
最重要的事情是分析師增加了它對下一年每股虧損的估計。令人欣慰的是,營收預測未發生重大變化,業務仍有望比整個行業增長更快。共識價格目標穩定在28.50美元,最新估計不足以對價格目標產生影響。
The biggest low-light for us was that the forecasts for SurgePays dropped from profits to a loss next year. On the negative side, they also downgraded their revenue estimates, and forecasts imply they will perform worse than the wider industry. The consensus price target fell measurably, with the analysts seemingly not reassured by the latest results, leading to a lower estimate of SurgePays' future valuation.
對我們來說最大的問題是,SurgePays的預測從明年的盈利變爲了虧損。消極的一面是,他們還下調了營收預期,並預計它們將表現比整個行業更爲不佳。分析師們普遍認爲此公司未來的估值有所下降。
With that in mind, we wouldn't be too quick to come to a conclusion on SurgePays. Long-term earnings power is much more important than next year's profits. At least one analyst has provided forecasts out to 2025, which can be seen for free on our platform here.
因此,我們不應急於對SurgePays作出結論。長期的盈利能力比明年的利潤更加重要。有至少一位分析師提供了到2025年的預測。感興趣的讀者可以在我們的平台上免費查看。
That said, it's still necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 5 warning signs with SurgePays , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
雖然如此,考慮到投資風險的普遍存在,更確保謹慎是必要的。我們已經發現了SurgePays的5個投資風險警告,了解這些警告應該成爲您投資過程的一部分。
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