The StarGlory Holdings Company Limited (HKG:8213) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 27%. To make matters worse, the recent drop has wiped out a year's worth of gains with the share price now back where it started a year ago.
Even after such a large drop in price, given close to half the companies operating in Hong Kong's Hospitality industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 0.6x, you may still consider StarGlory Holdings as a stock to potentially avoid with its 2.1x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
SEHK:8213 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 16th 2024
What Does StarGlory Holdings' Recent Performance Look Like?
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at StarGlory Holdings over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on StarGlory Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow.
Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For StarGlory Holdings?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as high as StarGlory Holdings' is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 39%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 47% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 19% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.
In light of this, it's alarming that StarGlory Holdings' P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Bottom Line On StarGlory Holdings' P/S
There's still some elevation in StarGlory Holdings' P/S, even if the same can't be said for its share price recently. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
Our examination of StarGlory Holdings revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards and underperforming the industry forecasts, we feel the possibility of the share price declining is very real, bringing the P/S back into the realm of reasonability. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 3 warning signs for StarGlory Holdings (2 are concerning!) that we have uncovered.
If you're unsure about the strength of StarGlory Holdings' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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近一個月以來,StarGlory Holdings Company Limited (HKG:8213)的股票價格表現非常糟糕,大幅下跌了27%。更糟糕的是,最近的下跌已經抹掉了一年的收益,股票價格現在回到了一年前的水平。