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Hunan Aihua Group Co., Ltd (SHSE:603989) Stock's Been Sliding But Fundamentals Look Decent: Will The Market Correct The Share Price In The Future?

Hunan Aihua Group Co., Ltd (SHSE:603989) Stock's Been Sliding But Fundamentals Look Decent: Will The Market Correct The Share Price In The Future?

艾華集團股份有限公司(SHSE:603989)的股價有所下跌,但基本面看起來不錯:未來市場是否會糾正股價?
Simply Wall St ·  08/17 07:35

It is hard to get excited after looking at Hunan Aihua Group's (SHSE:603989) recent performance, when its stock has declined 20% over the past three months. However, the company's fundamentals look pretty decent, and long-term financials are usually aligned with future market price movements. Specifically, we decided to study Hunan Aihua Group's ROE in this article.

在看了湖南艾華集團(上海證券交易所:603989)最近的表現之後,很難感到興奮,因爲其股票在過去三個月裏下跌了20%。然而,公司的基本面看起來相當不錯,長期財務狀況通常與未來的市場價格動態相一致。具體來說,我們決定在本文中研究湖南艾華集團的roe。

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

股東權益回報率(roe)是一種關鍵指標,用於評估公司管理層如何有效利用公司資本。更簡單地說,它衡量了公司相對股東權益的盈利能力。

How Is ROE Calculated?

淨資產收益率怎麼計算?

The formula for return on equity is:

權益回報率的計算公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

淨資產收益率 = 淨利潤(從持續經營中獲得)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Hunan Aihua Group is:

因此,根據上述公式,湖南艾華集團的roe爲:

7.7% = CN¥283m ÷ CN¥3.7b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

7.7% = 2.83億元人民幣 ÷ 37億元人民幣 (基於截至2024年3月的過去12個月)

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CN¥1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CN¥0.08 in profit.

'回報'是上一年度稅後收入。從一個角度來看,對於每一元股東的資本,公司賺取了0.08元的利潤。

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

ROE與盈利增長之間的關係是什麼?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

我們已經意識到,ROE作爲公司未來盈利的有效衡量值。根據公司重新投資或「保留」這些利潤的程度,以及公司有效地運用這些利潤的程度,我們就能評估公司的盈利增長潛力。假設其他所有因素保持不變,ROE和利潤保留越高,增長率就會越高,相比於沒有這些特點的公司,公司的增長率就會更高。

Hunan Aihua Group's Earnings Growth And 7.7% ROE

艾華集團的盈利增長和7.7%的roe

On the face of it, Hunan Aihua Group's ROE is not much to talk about. However, the fact that the company's ROE is higher than the average industry ROE of 6.3%, is definitely interesting. However, Hunan Aihua Group's five year net income growth was quite low averaging at only 4.6%. Bear in mind, the company does have a low ROE. It is just that the industry ROE is lower. Hence, this goes some way in explaining the low earnings growth.

乍一看,艾華集團的roe並不值得一提。然而,公司的roe高於平均行業roe的6.3%,這確實很有趣。然而,艾華集團的五年淨利潤增長相當低,僅平均爲4.6%。請記住,公司的roe較低。只是行業roe更低。因此,這在一定程度上解釋了低盈利增長。

We then compared Hunan Aihua Group's net income growth with the industry and found that the company's growth figure is lower than the average industry growth rate of 6.4% in the same 5-year period, which is a bit concerning.

然後,我們將艾華集團的淨利潤增長與行業進行了比較,發現公司的增長數據低於同期5年平均行業增長率的6.4%,這有點令人擔憂。

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SHSE:603989 Past Earnings Growth August 16th 2024
SHSE:603989過去盈利增長2024年8月16日

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. If you're wondering about Hunan Aihua Group's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

在估值一隻股票時,收益增長是一個重要的指標。投資者需要判斷的是,預期的收益增長,或者缺乏,是否已經反映在股價中。通過這樣做,他們將會知道股票是朝着明朗的未來還是即將面臨困境。如果您想了解艾華集團的估值,請參考與行業相比的市盈率。

Is Hunan Aihua Group Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

艾華集團是否有效利用其保留收益?

Despite having a normal three-year median payout ratio of 28% (or a retention ratio of 72% over the past three years, Hunan Aihua Group has seen very little growth in earnings as we saw above. So there could be some other explanation in that regard. For instance, the company's business may be deteriorating.

儘管艾華集團過去三年的中位數派息比率爲28%(保留比率爲72%),但其盈利增長非常有限,如上所述。因此,可能有其他解釋。例如,公司的業務可能正在惡化。

Moreover, Hunan Aihua Group has been paying dividends for nine years, which is a considerable amount of time, suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth.

此外,艾華集團已經連續九年支付股息,這是相當長的一段時間,這表明管理層認爲股東更偏好股息而不是盈利增長。

Summary

總的來說,我們對偉明環保的表現非常滿意。具體而言,我們喜歡公司以高回報率再投資了其利潤的很大一部分。當然,這導致公司的收益大幅增長。但是,最新的行業分析師預測表明,該公司的收益預計將加速增長。

Overall, we feel that Hunan Aihua Group certainly does have some positive factors to consider. Although, we are disappointed to see a lack of growth in earnings even in spite of a moderate ROE and and a high reinvestment rate. We believe that there might be some outside factors that could be having a negative impact on the business. That being so, the latest analyst forecasts show that the company will continue to see an expansion in its earnings. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

總的來說,我們認爲湖南艾華集團確實有一些積極因素需要考慮。儘管我們對於在適度roe和高再投資率情況下利潤沒有增長感到失望。我們相信可能有一些外部因素可能對業務產生負面影響。即便如此,最新的分析師預測顯示,公司將繼續看到利潤擴張。要了解更多關於公司未來盈利增長預測的信息,請查閱該免費的分析師預測報告。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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