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The Stock Market Has Been Weird: Here's What Warren Buffett Is Doing

The Stock Market Has Been Weird: Here's What Warren Buffett Is Doing

股市一片混亂:禾倫·巴菲特正在做什麼
The Motley Fool ·  08/18 09:15

Warren Buffett is arguably the most popular investor in the world. Also known as the Oracle of Omaha, Buffett has beaten the broader markets by a wide margin for roughly seven decades. Wall Street closely watches the investments made by Buffett as the billionaire has successfully generated significant gains over time.

禾倫•巴菲特是世界上最受歡迎的投資者,也被稱爲奧馬哈的神諭者。7個十年裏,巴菲特打敗了更廣泛的市場。華爾街密切關注巴菲特的投資,因爲這位億萬富翁成功地產生了顯著的收益。

Now, Buffett is the chairman of Berkshire Hathaway, a conglomerate that holds several investments in publicly listed companies. According to recent SEC filings, Berkshire reduced its stake in Apple and Bank of America in the second quarter (Q2) of 2024, increasing its cash pile to US$277 billion. Apple and Bank of America were Berkshire's two largest holdings and the move has surprised investors.

現在,巴菲特是伯克希爾哈撒韋公司的董事長,這是一個擁有多個上市公司投資的綜合企業。根據最近的SEC文件,伯克希爾在2024年第二季度(Q2)減少了在蘋果和美國銀行的持股,將其現金儲備增加到了270億美元。蘋果和美國銀行是伯克希爾的兩個最大持股,這一舉動讓投資者感到驚訝。

It's possible that Buffett was worried about the possibility of an upcoming recession and would have liked to have significant balance sheet cash to buy quality companies at a discount when markets pull back. For example, the unemployment rate in the U.S. has increased to 4.3% as companies continue to wrestle with headwinds such as geopolitical tensions, inflation, high interest rates, and volatile commodity prices.

巴菲特可能擔心即將到來的經濟衰退,希望有大量的資產負債表現金,以便在市場回調時以折扣價購買優質公司。例如,美國的失業率已經升至4.3%,企業繼續努力應對地緣政治矛盾、通貨膨脹、高利率和波動的商品價格等挑戰。

Alternatively, Berkshire has significantly increased its position in Occidental Petroleum (NYSE:OXY) in the last three years. In Q1 of 2024, Berkshire purchased three million shares of Occidental raising its stake in the company to almost 29%. Today, Occidental is a core position of Warren Buffett's equity portfolio. Let's see why.

或者,伯克希爾在過去的三年中顯著增加了對西方石油(NYSE:OXY)的持股。在2024年Q1,伯克希爾購買了西方石油的三百萬股,將其對該公司的持股比例提高到近29%。如今,西方石油是禾倫•巴菲特股票投資組合的核心持倉。讓我們看看原因。

An overview of Occidental Petroleum

西方石油概述

Valued at US$51.4 billion by market cap, Occidental Petroleum is engaged in the acquisition, exploration, and development of oil and gas properties in the U.S., the Middle East, and Africa. It has three business segments that include:

西方石油的市值爲514億美元,從事美國、中東和非洲石油和天然氣資源的收購、勘探和開發。它有三個業務部門,包括:

  • Oil and Gas: The business explores for, develops, and produces oil and condensate, natural gas liquids, and natural gas.
  • Chemicals: The segment manufactures and markets basic chemicals and vinyls.
  • Midstream and Marketing: It gathers, processes, transports, stores, and markets oil condensates, natural gas liquids, natural gas, carbon dioxide, and power.
  • 石油和天然氣:業務勘探、開發和生產油和凝析油、天然氣液體和天然氣。
  • 化學品:這個部門生產和銷售基礎化學品和乙烯。
  • 中游和營銷:它收集、處理、運輸、存儲和營銷油凝析油、天然氣液體、天然氣、二氧化碳和電力。

Occidental Petroleum is well-diversified

西方石油的多元化程度很高

Occidental Petroleum has a robust stream of cash-generating assets, allowing it to pay shareholders an annual dividend of US$0.88 per share, indicating a yield of 1.6%. Due to its sizeable investment in Occidental stock, Berkshire Hathaway earns close to US$225 million annually via dividends.

西方石油擁有強大的現金流資產,使其能夠向股東支付每股0.88美元的年度股息,表明股息率爲1.6%。由於在西方石油股票的投資規模很大,伯克希爾哈撒韋公司每年通過股息獲得近2.25億美元的收益。

Strong performance across business segments allowed Occidental Petroleum to report a free cash flow of over US$700 million in Q1 of 2024. Comparatively, it paid shareholders a quarterly dividend of US$332 million, indicating a payout ratio of less than 50%.

西方石油在2024年Q1表現強勁,所有業務部門均表現良好,自由現金流超過7000萬美元。相比之下,它向股東支付了3.32億美元的季度股息,表明支付比率不到50%。

The company's free cash flow in 2023 stood at US$5.5 billion, easily covering its dividend payout of US$1.3 billion. A low payout ratio allows Occidental Petroleum to target accretive acquisitions, lower balance sheet debt, and raise dividends further.

西方石油2023年的自由現金流爲55億美元,輕鬆覆蓋了其13億美元的股息支出。低的支付比率使西方石油能夠目標爲可增長的併購,降低債務和進一步提高股息。

Last December, Occidental Petroleum disclosed plans to acquire CrownRock for US$12 billion. It ended Q1 with US$1.85 billion in cash and US$18.39 billion in long-term debt, which might make investors nervous, especially if the company takes on additional debt to fund the acquisition. However, Occidental explained it would sell off non-core assets to partially repay the debt tied to the CrownRock acquisition.

去年12月,西方石油披露了以12億美元收購防禦者的計劃。它以18.5億美元的現金和183.9億美元的長期債務結束了Q1,這可能會讓投資者感到緊張,特別是如果公司負擔了爲防禦者收購融資的額外債務。然而,西方石油解釋說,它將出售非核心資產,以部分償還與防禦者收購相關的債務。

Priced at 15.6 times forward earnings, OXY stock is quite cheap and trades at a discount of 30% to consensus price target estimates.

按照前瞻性盈利的15.6倍計算,OXY股票很便宜,並以30%的折扣交易與共識價格目標估計。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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