Brighter Outlook: Goldman Sachs Optimistic On U.S. Economy, Cuts Recession Risk Down To 20%
Brighter Outlook: Goldman Sachs Optimistic On U.S. Economy, Cuts Recession Risk Down To 20%
According to the report by Bloomberg, the U.S. economy showcased its strength with a flood of encouraging data, propelling stocks to their best week this year.In the wake of promising retail sales and jobless claims data, Goldman Sachs Group Inc. economists have revised the risk of a U.S. recession in the next year from 25% to 20%.
在有希望的零售銷售和失業救濟數據的推動下，高盛集團經濟學家將未來一年美國經濟衰退風險從25％修正爲20％。
What Happened: The team of economists at Goldman Sachs reassessed the recession risk due to positive economic data released last week.
發生了什麼：高盛的經濟學家團隊由於上週發佈了積極的經濟數據而重新評估了經濟衰退風險。
The upcoming jobs report for August, slated for release on September 6, could potentially lead to a further reduction in the recession probability to 15%, a level it maintained for nearly a year before an upward revision on August 2.
即將發佈於9月6日的8月就業報告可能潛在地導致經濟衰退概率降至15％，這是自去年8月2日上調之前就保持了近一年的水平。
According to the report by Bloomberg, the U.S. economy showcased its strength with a flood of encouraging data, propelling stocks to their best week this year.
根據彭博社的報告，美國經濟通過一系列鼓舞人心的數據表現出了其實力，推動股市實現了今年以來的最佳一週。
Retail sales in July witnessed the most significant surge since early 2023, and government statistics revealed the lowest number of unemployment benefit applications since early July.
7月份的零售銷售見證了自2023年初以來最大的激增，政府統計顯示失業救濟申請人數自今年7月初以來最少。
Goldman Sachs economists also displayed increased confidence in the Federal Reserve's potential decision to cut interest rates by 25 basis points at their September policy meeting.
高盛經濟學家還對聯邦儲備委員會9月份政策會議上削減利率25個點子的潛在決定增加了信心。
Also Read: S&P 500 Records Best Week Of The Year Amid Favorable Economic Reports: What Really Drove The Rally?
此外，標普500指數在有利經濟報告的推動下創下了年度最佳一週：真正推動了這一漲勢是什麼？
However, they cautioned that a disappointing jobs report on September 6 could still trigger a 50 basis point move.
然而，他們警告稱，9月6日發佈的令人失望的就業報告仍可能引發50個點子的波動。
Why It Matters: The revised recession risk is a positive sign for the U.S. economy, reflecting the resilience it has shown amidst global economic uncertainties. The surge in retail sales and the decrease in jobless claims indicate a robust consumer sector, a critical component of the US economy.
修正後的經濟衰退風險是美國經濟的一個積極跡象，反映出在全球經濟不確定性中所展現的韌性。零售銷售的激增以及失業救濟的減少表明消費者部門強勁，這是美國經濟的一個重要組成部分。
The potential interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve, as predicted by Goldman Sachs, could provide further stimulus to the economy, encouraging borrowing and investment.
高盛預測的聯儲局可能減息可能進一步刺激經濟，鼓勵借貸和投資。
However, the economists' caution about the upcoming jobs report underscores the delicate balance of factors influencing the economic outlook.
然而，經濟學家們對即將到來的就業報告的警告凸顯了影響經濟前景的因素之間微妙的平衡。
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This content was partially produced with the help of Benzinga Neuro and was reviewed and published by Benzinga editors.
這一內容部分藉助於本賽思神經和本賽思編輯審核並發表。