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Don't Race Out To Buy Wharf Real Estate Investment Company Limited (HKG:1997) Just Because It's Going Ex-Dividend

Don't Race Out To Buy Wharf Real Estate Investment Company Limited (HKG:1997) Just Because It's Going Ex-Dividend

不要僅因其將進入除淨日就貿然買入九龍倉地產投資有限公司(HKG:1997)的股票
Simply Wall St ·  08/18 20:22

Wharf Real Estate Investment Company Limited (HKG:1997) stock is about to trade ex-dividend in 3 days. The ex-dividend date is usually set to be one business day before the record date which is the cut-off date on which you must be present on the company's books as a shareholder in order to receive the dividend. The ex-dividend date is important as the process of settlement involves two full business days. So if you miss that date, you would not show up on the company's books on the record date. In other words, investors can purchase Wharf Real Estate Investment's shares before the 23rd of August in order to be eligible for the dividend, which will be paid on the 10th of September.

九龍倉地產投資有限公司(HKG:1997)股票將在3天后除息。除息日通常設定爲錄得日期的前一個工作日,而錄得日期則是公司股東名冊截止日期,您必須在該日期之前持有該公司的股份,才能獲得分紅。除息日非常重要,因爲結算過程涉及兩個完整的工作日,所以如果您錯過了該日期,則會在記錄日期未顯示在公司股東名冊上。換言之,投資者可以在8月23日之前購買九龍倉地產投資的股票,以有權獲得於9月10日支付的股息。

The company's next dividend payment will be HK$0.64 per share, on the back of last year when the company paid a total of HK$1.28 to shareholders. Based on the last year's worth of payments, Wharf Real Estate Investment stock has a trailing yield of around 6.0% on the current share price of HK$21.30. Dividends are a major contributor to investment returns for long term holders, but only if the dividend continues to be paid. We need to see whether the dividend is covered by earnings and if it's growing.

該公司的下一個股息支付將爲每股0.64港元,與去年公司向股東支付總計1.28港元的情況相對應。基於去年的支付金額,九龍倉地產投資股票的現價爲21.30港元,有約6.0%的股息收益率。長揸者,分紅是投資回報的主要貢獻來源,但前提是分紅持續發放,我們需要查看分紅是否被收益所覆蓋並且其是否在增長。

Dividends are typically paid out of company income, so if a company pays out more than it earned, its dividend is usually at a higher risk of being cut. Wharf Real Estate Investment paid out 199% of profit in the past year, which we think is typically not sustainable unless there are mitigating characteristics such as unusually strong cash flow or a large cash balance. That said, even highly profitable companies sometimes might not generate enough cash to pay the dividend, which is why we should always check if the dividend is covered by cash flow. Dividends consumed 66% of the company's free cash flow last year, which is within a normal range for most dividend-paying organisations.

普遍情況下,分紅是通過公司收入支付的,因此,如果公司支付的股息超過其盈利,則其股息通常面臨較高的風險。在過去一年中,九龍倉地產投資支付的利潤比例爲199%,我們認爲這通常是不可持續的,除非存在某些緩解特徵,例如異常強勁的現金流或大量的現金餘額。儘管如此,即便是高盈利的公司,有時也可能無法產生足夠的現金用於支付股息,這就是爲什麼我們始終應該檢查股息是否由自由現金流覆蓋。去年,分紅消耗了該公司66%的自由現金流,這是大多數發放股息的組織的正常範圍內。

It's good to see that while Wharf Real Estate Investment's dividends were not covered by profits, at least they are affordable from a cash perspective. If executives were to continue paying more in dividends than the company reported in profits, we'd view this as a warning sign. Very few companies are able to sustainably pay dividends larger than their reported earnings.

很高興看到九龍倉地產投資的股息雖然未被利潤覆蓋,但至少從現金角度可以承受得起。如高管繼續以支付比利潤報告更高的股息,則我們將視其爲警示信號。很少有公司可以持續支付超過其報告利潤的股息。

Click here to see the company's payout ratio, plus analyst estimates of its future dividends.

點擊此處查看公司的支付比率以及未來分紅的分析師預期。

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SEHK:1997 Historic Dividend August 19th 2024
SEHK:1997歷史紅利2024年8月19日

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

收益和股息一直在增長嗎?

When earnings decline, dividend companies become much harder to analyse and own safely. Investors love dividends, so if earnings fall and the dividend is reduced, expect a stock to be sold off heavily at the same time. Wharf Real Estate Investment's earnings have collapsed faster than Wile E Coyote's schemes to trap the Road Runner; down a tremendous 36% a year over the past five years.

當收益下降時,分紅公司就變得更難分析和安全擁有。投資者喜歡股息,因此如果收益下降並且分紅被減少,那麼股票將在同一時間大量拋售。在過去的五年中,九龍倉地產投資的收益已經迅速下降了36%,快得比怪獸威利·科亞特設計用來捉住小路易鳥的計劃還快。

Many investors will assess a company's dividend performance by evaluating how much the dividend payments have changed over time. Wharf Real Estate Investment has delivered an average of 5.1% per year annual increase in its dividend, based on the past six years of dividend payments. The only way to pay higher dividends when earnings are shrinking is either to pay out a larger percentage of profits, spend cash from the balance sheet, or borrow the money. Wharf Real Estate Investment is already paying out a high percentage of its income, so without earnings growth, we're doubtful of whether this dividend will grow much in the future.

許多投資者將通過評估股息支付在時間上發生了多少變化來評估公司的股息表現。根據過去六年的分紅支付情況,九龍倉地產投資每年的平均股息增長率爲5.1%。當收益縮水時,付出更高的股息唯一的方式是要麼支付更高比例的利潤,從資產負債表中花費現金,或借入資金。由於九龍倉地產投資已經支付了高比例的收入,所以在沒有收益增長的情況下,我們懷疑這種分紅是否會大幅增長。

To Sum It Up

總結一下

From a dividend perspective, should investors buy or avoid Wharf Real Estate Investment? Earnings per share have been shrinking in recent times. Worse, Wharf Real Estate Investment's paying out a majority of its earnings and more than half its free cash flow. Positive cash flows are good news but it's not a good combination. It's not that we think Wharf Real Estate Investment is a bad company, but these characteristics don't generally lead to outstanding dividend performance.

從分紅的角度來看,投資者應該買入或避免九龍倉地產投資?近年來,每股收益正在下降。更糟糕的是,九龍倉地產投資支付了大部分的收益和一半以上的自由現金流。財務狀況良好是好消息,但這並不是一個好組合。我們並不認爲九龍倉地產投資是一家糟糕的公司,但這些特徵通常不會導致卓越的分紅表現。

Having said that, if you're looking at this stock without much concern for the dividend, you should still be familiar of the risks involved with Wharf Real Estate Investment. For example, we've found 2 warning signs for Wharf Real Estate Investment that we recommend you consider before investing in the business.

話雖如此,如果您看待該股票時不太關心分紅,您仍應熟悉九龍倉地產投資所涉及的風險。例如,我們在這裏發現了2個九龍倉地產投資的警示信號,建議您在投資該業務之前考慮。

If you're in the market for strong dividend payers, we recommend checking our selection of top dividend stocks.

如果你在尋找強勁的股息支付者,我們建議查看我們的頂級股息股票選擇。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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