XianheLtd (SHSE:603733) Sheds CN¥614m, Company Earnings and Investor Returns Have Been Trending Downwards for Past Three Years
XianheLtd (SHSE:603733) Sheds CN¥614m, Company Earnings and Investor Returns Have Been Trending Downwards for Past Three Years
If you love investing in stocks you're bound to buy some losers. But the long term shareholders of Xianhe Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:603733) have had an unfortunate run in the last three years. So they might be feeling emotional about the 58% share price collapse, in that time. The falls have accelerated recently, with the share price down 23% in the last three months. Of course, this share price action may well have been influenced by the 13% decline in the broader market, throughout the period.
如果您喜歡投資股票,那麼您可能會買一些虧損的股票。然而在過去的三年裏,先河股份股東們的運行非常不幸。在此期間股價已經下跌了58%。近期股價下跌加速,過去三個月股價下跌23%。當然,這一股價行動很可能受到了整個市場在這段時間內下跌13%的影響。
Given the past week has been tough on shareholders, let's investigate the fundamentals and see what we can learn.
考慮到過去一週對股東來說是艱難的,讓我們調查一下基本面並看看我們能學到什麼。
There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
市場有時毫無疑問是有效的,但股票價格並不總是反映基本業務表現。一種有缺陷但合理的方法是比較每股收益(EPS)和股票價格,以評估圍繞公司的情緒如何變化。
XianheLtd saw its EPS decline at a compound rate of 1.5% per year, over the last three years. This reduction in EPS is slower than the 25% annual reduction in the share price. So it's likely that the EPS decline has disappointed the market, leaving investors hesitant to buy. This increased caution is also evident in the rather low P/E ratio, which is sitting at 10.72.
在過去的三年裏,先河股份的每股收益以1.5%的複合率下降。然而,相比之下,股價每年下跌25%的速度更快。因此,市場對每股收益的下降感到失望,使得投資者不太願意購買。這種加強的謹慎也表現在市盈率相當低的情況下,目前市盈率只有10.72。
The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
下圖顯示了EPS隨時間變化的情況(點擊圖像以顯示確切值)。
It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on XianheLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
值得注意的是,先河股份的CEO薪酬低於同等規模的公司的薪酬中位數。雖然關注CEO的薪酬總是值得的,但更重要的問題是該公司能否在未來實現盈利增長。研究先河股份的收益、營收和現金流的免費報告可能非常值得一看。
What About Dividends?
那麼分紅怎麼樣呢?
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for XianheLtd the TSR over the last 3 years was -56%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
在考慮投資回報率時,重要的是要考慮總股東回報率(TSR)和股價回報率之間的差異。雖然股價回報只反映了股價的變化,但TSR包括股息的價值(假設它們被再投資)以及任何折扣的資本籌集或分拆的利益。可以說,TSR給出了一張更全面的股票回報圖。我們注意到,先河股份在過去的3年中的TSR爲-56%,這比上面提到的股價回報要好。這在很大程度上是其股息支付的結果!
A Different Perspective
不同的觀點
The total return of 18% received by XianheLtd shareholders over the last year isn't far from the market return of -16%. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 4%, each year, over five years. If the fundamental data remains strong, and the share price is simply down on sentiment, then this could be an opportunity worth investigating. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for XianheLtd (2 are potentially serious!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
過去一年先河股份股東獲得的總回報率爲18%,與市場回報率-16%相差不遠。長期投資者可能不會太難過,因爲在過去5年中,他們每年都能獲得4%的回報。如果基本數據保持強勁,股價僅僅由於情緒而下跌,那麼這可能是一個值得研究的機會。我認爲,以股價長期表現作爲業務績效的代理非常有趣。但爲了真正獲得洞察力,我們還需要考慮其他信息。例如,我們已經發現了先河股份的3個警示信號(其中2個可能相當嚴重!)在投資這裏之前應該注意這些警告。
But note: XianheLtd may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).
但請注意:先河股份可能不是最好的股票選擇。因此,可以查看這個免費列表,其中包含過去收益增長(以及進一步收益預測)的有趣公司。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。