3 Defensive Stocks to Buy in This Volatile Environment
3 Defensive Stocks to Buy in This Volatile Environment
Lower-than-expected inflation has raised hopes of rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and also eased recession fears, driving the global equity markets. The S&P/TSX Composite Index has bounced back strongly to trade 4.5% higher than this month's lows. However, a few economists remain cautious and are skeptical about the recent bounceback. If you also believe the equity markets will be volatile in the coming quarters, here are three top defensive stocks you should buy now.
低於預期的通貨膨脹率提高了聯儲局減息的希望,也緩解了對衰退的擔憂,推動了全球股市的發展。標準普爾/多倫多證券交易所綜合指數強勁反彈,交易價格比本月的低點高出4.5%。但是,一些經濟學家仍然持謹慎態度,並對最近的反彈持懷疑態度。如果你還認爲未來幾個季度股市將波動,那麼你現在應該買入以下三隻頂級防禦性股票。
Dollarama
多拉瑪
Dollarama (TSX:DOL) is a Canadian discount retailer that offers various consumer products at attractive prices through its superior direct sourcing and efficient logistics. It operates 1,569 stores at convenient locations across the country. Given the retailer's value offerings and a broad assortment of consumable products, the company has enjoyed healthy same-store sales even during a challenging macro environment.
Dollarama(多倫多證券交易所股票代碼:DOL)是一家加拿大折扣零售商,通過其卓越的直接採購和高效的物流以誘人的價格提供各種消費品。它在全國各地的便利地點經營着1,569家門店。鑑於該零售商的超值產品和種類繁多的消耗品,即使在充滿挑戰的宏觀環境中,該公司的同店銷售額也保持良好。
Further, management expects to expand its footprint to 2,000 stores by the end of fiscal 2031. Given its cost-effective business model, quick sales ramp-up, and a lower average payback period, these expansions could boost its top and bottom lines. Further, the discount retailer has raised its stake in Dollarcity, a retailer with extensive presence across Latin America, from 50.1% to 60.1%. Meanwhile, Dollarcity hopes to increase its store count from 547 to 1,050 by fiscal 2031. The increased stake and growing stores could boost Dollarcity's contribution towards Dollarama. Besides, it has also raised its dividends 13 times since 2011.
此外,管理層預計到2031財年末將其業務範圍擴大到2,000家門店。鑑於其具有成本效益的商業模式、快速的銷售增長以及較短的平均投資回收期,這些擴張可能會提高其收入和利潤。此外,這家折扣零售商已將其在拉丁美洲擁有廣泛業務的零售商Dollarcity的股份從50.1%提高到60.1%。同時,Dollarcity希望到2031財年將其門店數量從547家增加到1,050家。股份的增加和門店的增長可能會增加Dollarcity對Dollarama的貢獻。此外,自2011年以來,它還增加了13次股息。
Considering Dollarama's solid underlying business and healthy growth prospects, I believe Dollarama would be an excellent buy at these levels.
考慮到Dollarama穩健的基礎業務和健康的增長前景,我相信在這些水平上,Dollarama將是一個不錯的選擇。
Fortis
富通
Fortis (TSX:FTS) operates 10 highly regulated utility assets across the United States, Canada, and the Caribbean. So, its financials are less susceptible to macro factors, delivering stable cash flows and allowing it to raise its dividends for 50 consecutive years. Given its capital-intensive business, the company has witnessed healthy buying over the last few weeks amid rate cuts by the Bank of Canada. Its stock price has increased by around 15% compared to its June lows. Despite the recent surge, the company's valuation looks reasonable, with its price-to-book multiple at 1.4.
富通(多倫多證券交易所股票代碼:FTS)在美國、加拿大和加勒比地區運營着10項受到嚴格監管的公用事業資產。因此,其財務狀況不太容易受到宏觀因素的影響,從而提供了穩定的現金流,並允許其連續50年提高股息。鑑於其資本密集型業務,在加拿大銀行減息的背景下,該公司在過去幾周看到了健康的買盤。與6月份的低點相比,其股價上漲了約15%。儘管最近出現了飆升,但該公司的估值看起來還是合理的,其賬面市值倍數爲1.4。
Further, Fortis has adopted a five-year plan to make a capital investment of $25 billion from 2024 to 2028. These investments could grow its rate base at an annualized rate of 6.3% from $37.1 billion to $49.4 billion by 2028. With the company generating around 66% of these investments from the cash generated from operations and equity offerings, its debt levels would not substantially increase. Meanwhile, management expects these growth initiatives to boost its cash flows and hopes to raise its dividends by 4-6% annually. Considering all these factors, I believe Fortis would be an attractive buy at these levels.
此外,富通還通過了一項五年計劃,從2024年到2028年進行250億美元的資本投資。到2028年,這些投資可能會以6.3%的年化利率從371億美元增加到494億美元。由於該公司約有66%的投資來自運營和股票發行產生的現金,因此其債務水平不會大幅增加。同時,管理層預計這些增長舉措將增加其現金流,並希望每年將其股息提高4-6%。考慮到所有這些因素,我相信在這些水平上,富通將是一個有吸引力的買盤。
Waste Connections
廢物連接
Another top defensive stock that you should buy would be Waste Connections (TSX:WCN). This waste management company operates in exclusive and secondary markets across the United States and Canada. It is expanding its operations through organic growth and acquisitions. Year-to-date, the company has made 18 acquisitions, which can contribute $500 million to its annualized revenue. Meanwhile, management expects its M&A (merger and acquisitions) activities to continue in the second half of this year. Overall, the contribution from these acquisitions could increase to an annualized revenue of around $700 million by the end of this year.
你應該買入的另一隻頂級防禦性股票是Waste Connections(多倫多證券交易所股票代碼:WCN)。這家廢物管理公司在美國和加拿大的專屬和二級市場開展業務。它正在通過有機增長和收購擴大業務。今年迄今爲止,該公司已進行了18次收購,可爲其年化收入貢獻5億美元。同時,管理層預計其併購(合併和收購)活動將在今年下半年繼續。總體而言,到今年年底,這些收購的貢獻可能會增加到約7億美元的年化收入。
Waste Connections is also constructing several renewable natural gas and resource recovery facilities, which could become operational in the coming years. Its financial position also looks healthy, with liquidity of $1.3 billion and a debt-to-adjusted EBITDA (earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization) ratio of 2.7. Moreover, the company has raised its dividends at an annualized rate of 14% since 2010.
Waste Connections還在建造幾個可再生天然氣和資源回收設施,這些設施可能在未來幾年內投入運營。其財務狀況看起來也很健康,流動性爲13億美元,債務與調整後的息稅折舊攤銷前利潤(扣除利息、稅項、折舊和攤銷前的收益)比率爲2.7。此外,自2010年以來,該公司已以14%的年化利率提高了股息。