Gold Nears Record Highs Amid Geopolitical Uncertainty And Fed Speculations
Gold Nears Record Highs Amid Geopolitical Uncertainty And Fed Speculations
By RoboForex Analytical Department
由RoboForex分析部門提供
The price of gold continues its impressive ascent, balancing around $2500 per troy ounce early this week, hovering near record peaks. The primary catalyst driving this rally is the intensified demand for safe-haven assets amid ongoing geopolitical tensions.
黃金價格持續上升,本週早期每盎司約2500美元平衡,靠近創紀錄的高點。推動這一漲勢的主要因素是由於持續的地緣政治緊張局勢導致的對避險資產需求增強。
The spotlight remains on the Middle East conflict, with U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken slated to participate in ceasefire talks between Israel and Gaza. However, the fluctuating news from the region casts doubt on the success of these negotiations, thereby boosting gold's appeal as a secure investment.
中東衝突仍然備受關注,美國國務卿布林肯計劃參加以色列和加沙的停火談判。但是,該地區動盪不定的消息使這些談判成功的前景存在疑慮,從而提高了黃金作爲安全投資的吸引力。
Further supporting gold's rally are the market expectations surrounding the U.S. Federal Reserve's upcoming actions. Despite robust economic indicators, inflation is inching closer to the Fed's target, prompting speculation of forthcoming interest rate reductions. Investors are currently anticipating a 25 basis point cut in September, with potential for additional cuts at the year's remaining meetings, summing up to 75-100 basis points.
支持黃金漲勢的進一步因素是市場對聯儲局即將採取的行動的預期。儘管經濟多個指標強勁,通脹正在逐漸接近聯儲局的目標,引發了即將減息的猜測。投資者目前預計9月將會有25個點子的減息,並有可能在今年剩餘的會議上進行額外的減息,總計達到75-100個點子。
This week is pivotal for gold investors, with the Federal Reserve set to release the minutes from its latest meeting and a scheduled speech by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell. These events are expected to clarify the Fed's stance on monetary policy, influencing XAU/USD's price forecast trajectory.
本週對於黃金投資者具有重要意義,聯儲局將公佈最新會議紀要,並安排聯儲局主席鮑威爾的講話。預計這些事件將澄清聯儲局在貨幣政策上的立場,影響黃金/美元價格預測軌跡。
Technical Analysis Of XAU/USD
黃金/美元的技術面分析
![](https://uspost.moomoo.com/news-editor-imgs/20240820/public/17241235995639070649573.png)
Gold has completed a growth structure reaching $2509.00 on the H4 chart. Currently, a consolidation pattern is forming below this peak, with expectations leaning towards a downward breakout initiating a decline towards $2426.44, potentially extending down to $2347.55. This bearish outlook is technically supported by the MACD indicator, where the signal line is set for a downward trajectory from above the zero level.
黃金在H4圖表上形成了達到2509.00美元的增長結構。目前,在此高峰下形成了一種整理模式,預計會向下突破,導致下降至2426.44美元,並有可能進一步下跌至2347.55美元。這種看跌的前景在技術上受到MACD指標的支持,信號線從零以上向下趨勢。
![](https://uspost.moomoo.com/news-editor-imgs/20240820/public/17241235995642495335998.png)
On the H1 chart, gold has achieved the upper boundary of its latest growth wave at $2509.77, followed by a formation of a tight consolidation range. Anticipations are set for a downward movement, targeting a decline to $2468.00 with a further potential to reach $2426.90. This bearish perspective aligns with the Stochastic oscillator's signal line, which is poised to drop from below 80 to 20, suggesting a potential selloff in the near term.
在H1圖表上,黃金已經達到最新的增長波的上限,在2509.77美元處形成了一種緊密的整理區間。預期它會向下運動,目標下降至2468.00美元,並有可能進一步下跌至2426.90美元。這種看跌的觀點與隨機振盪器的信號線相一致,該信號線已準備從80以下降至20,表明近期可能會有出售的風險。
As geopolitical events unfold and the Federal Reserve's monetary policy becomes clearer, gold's price dynamics are expected to remain a focal point for investors seeking stability in uncertain times.
隨着地緣政治事件的發展和聯儲局貨幣政策的明朗化,黃金價格的動態預計仍將是尋求不確定時期穩定性的投資者的焦點。
Disclaimer
免責聲明
Any forecasts contained herein are based on the author's particular opinion. This analysis may not be treated as trading advice. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations and reviews contained herein.
本分析僅代表作者個人觀點,不得視爲交易建議。RoboForex不承擔基於本文所含交易建議和評論所產生的任何交易結果的責任。
This article is from an unpaid external contributor. It does not represent Benzinga's reporting and has not been edited for content or accuracy.
本文來自非報酬的外部投稿人。它不代表Benzinga的報道,並且沒有因爲內容或準確性而被編輯。