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We Think Ribbon Communications (NASDAQ:RBBN) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

We Think Ribbon Communications (NASDAQ:RBBN) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

我們認爲Ribbon Communications (納斯達克:ribbon communications) 有些冒險,負債較高。
Simply Wall St ·  08/20 07:53

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Ribbon Communications Inc. (NASDAQ:RBBN) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

禾倫•巴菲特曾經說過:「波動性遠非風險的同義詞。」當我們考慮一家公司有多大的風險時,我們總是喜歡看看它的債務使用情況,因爲債務過載可能會導致災難。我們注意到Ribbon Communications Inc.(NASDAQ:RBBN)的資產負債表上確實有債務。但股東們是否應該擔心它的債務使用呢?

When Is Debt A Problem?

什麼時候負債才是一個問題?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

當企業無法通過自由現金流或以有吸引力的價格籌集資本時,債務和其他負債將會讓商業風險升高。資本主義中的重要組成部分是「創造性破壞」,其中銀行家會無情地清算破產的企業。然而,更常見(但仍然令人痛苦)的情況是它必須以低價籌集新的股權資本,從而永久性地稀釋股東的權益。當然,有很多公司利用債務資金來獲得增長,而不會受到任何負面後果。考慮公司的債務水平時,第一步是同時考慮其現金和債務。

How Much Debt Does Ribbon Communications Carry?

Ribbon Communications的負債量有多大?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2024 Ribbon Communications had debt of US$337.5m, up from US$292.0m in one year. On the flip side, it has US$64.6m in cash leading to net debt of about US$272.9m.

下面的圖像(單擊可放大查看)顯示,截至2024年6月,Ribbon Communications的債務爲3.375億美元,比一年前的2.92億美元增加了820萬美元。與此相反,它擁有6,460萬美元的現金,導致淨債務約爲2.729億美元。

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NasdaqGS:RBBN Debt to Equity History August 20th 2024
NasdaqGS:RBBN的債權股本歷史記錄截至2024年8月20日

How Healthy Is Ribbon Communications' Balance Sheet?

Ribbon Communications的資產負債表有多健康?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Ribbon Communications had liabilities of US$272.6m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$427.9m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$64.6m in cash and US$211.0m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$424.9m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

仔細查看最新的資產負債表數據後,我們可以看到Ribbon Communications在12個月內有272.6百萬美元的到期負債,427.9億美元的長期負債。相應地,它擁有6,460萬美元的現金和2,110萬美元的應收賬款,這些應收賬款在12個月內到期。因此,其負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款的組合多4,249萬美元。

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of US$558.5m, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Ribbon Communications' use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.

與其市值相比,這個虧損規模相當大,爲5,585萬美元,因此它確實建議股東們關注Ribbon Communications的債務使用情況。這表明,如果公司需要緊急整頓資產負債表,股東們將非常受到稀釋。

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

爲了衡量公司相對於其收益的債務情況,我們計算其淨負債除以利息、稅項、折舊和攤銷前收益(EBITDA)和其利息支出除以利息前收益(EBIT)的比例(其利息覆蓋率)。這種方法的優點是,我們既考慮了債務的絕對量(淨負債與 EBITDA),又考慮到了與該債務相關的實際利息支出(其利息覆蓋率)。

While Ribbon Communications's debt to EBITDA ratio (3.3) suggests that it uses some debt, its interest cover is very weak, at 0.46, suggesting high leverage. It seems that the business incurs large depreciation and amortisation charges, so maybe its debt load is heavier than it would first appear, since EBITDA is arguably a generous measure of earnings. It seems clear that the cost of borrowing money is negatively impacting returns for shareholders, of late. One redeeming factor for Ribbon Communications is that it turned last year's EBIT loss into a gain of US$14m, over the last twelve months. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Ribbon Communications's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

儘管Ribbon Communications的負債/EBITDA比率(3.3)表明其使用了一些債務,但其利息盈利比非常低,只有0.46,表明其槓桿率很高。看來這家公司產生了大量的折舊和攤銷費用,因此它的債務負擔可能比它的表面上看起來的要重,因爲EBITDA可能是盈利的一種寬鬆的衡量方法。顯然,借貸成本對股東的回報有負面影響。Ribbon Communications的一個彌贖因素是,它將去年的EBIt虧損轉化爲了過去12個月的1400萬美元的收益。分析債務水平時,資產負債表是一個明顯的起點。但最終,比起任何東西,都是未來收益決定了Ribbon Communications的維持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果您想看看專業人士的想法,您可以查看這份有關分析師盈利預測的免費報告。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it is important to check how much of its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) converts to actual free cash flow. In the last year, Ribbon Communications created free cash flow amounting to 4.0% of its EBIT, an uninspiring performance. For us, cash conversion that low sparks a little paranoia about is ability to extinguish debt.

但我們最終的考慮也很重要,因爲一家公司無法用虛擬利潤來還債;它需要真金白銀。因此,檢查它的利息和稅前收入(EBIT)有多少轉化爲實際的自由現金流非常重要。在過去的一年裏,Ribbon Communications創造了相當於其EBIt的4.0%的自由現金流,表現平平。對我們來說,如此低的現金轉換率會對它還債的能力產生一些懷疑。

Our View

我們的觀點

We'd go so far as to say Ribbon Communications's interest cover was disappointing. Having said that, its ability to grow its EBIT isn't such a worry. Overall, it seems to us that Ribbon Communications's balance sheet is really quite a risk to the business. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Ribbon Communications that you should be aware of.

我們不得不說,Ribbon Communications的利息盈利比非常令人失望。儘管如此,它增長EBIt的能力並不足爲慮。總體而言,我們認爲Ribbon Communications的資產負債表對業務構成了相當大的風險。因此,我們對這個股票感到非常警惕,就像一個飢餓的小貓對主人的魚塘非常警惕:一朝被蛇咬,十年怕井繩。分析債務水平時,資產負債表是一個明顯的起點。但是最終,每家公司都可能面臨超出資產負債表以外的風險。例如,我們已經確定了Ribbon Communications存在1個風險警告標誌,您應該了解這一點。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

歸根結底,專注於沒有淨債務的公司往往更好。您可以訪問我們的特別列表,其中包括所有表現出盈利增長軌跡的公司。這是免費的。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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