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The 15% Return This Week Takes Micron Technology's (NASDAQ:MU) Shareholders Five-year Gains to 155%

The 15% Return This Week Takes Micron Technology's (NASDAQ:MU) Shareholders Five-year Gains to 155%

本週15%的回報使得美光科技(納斯達克代碼: MU)的股東五年的收益增長了155%。
Simply Wall St ·  08/20 12:32

It hasn't been the best quarter for Micron Technology, Inc. (NASDAQ:MU) shareholders, since the share price has fallen 15% in that time. But that scarcely detracts from the really solid long term returns generated by the company over five years. Indeed, the share price is up an impressive 150% in that time. We think it's more important to dwell on the long term returns than the short term returns. The more important question is whether the stock is too cheap or too expensive today.

美光科技股份有限公司(納斯達克代碼:MU)的股東們度過的季度並不是最好的,股價在此期間下跌了15%。但這並不能從公司在過去五年中產生的非常出色的長期回報中抹去。實際上,股價在此期間上漲了驚人的150%。我們認爲,關注長期回報而非短期回報更爲重要。更重要的問題是,這隻股票今天是太便宜還是太貴了。

After a strong gain in the past week, it's worth seeing if longer term returns have been driven by improving fundamentals.

在過去的一週之內,獲得的強勁收益是否表明了長期回報受到基本面的推動值得關注。

Micron Technology wasn't profitable in the last twelve months, it is unlikely we'll see a strong correlation between its share price and its earnings per share (EPS). Arguably revenue is our next best option. Shareholders of unprofitable companies usually desire strong revenue growth. As you can imagine, fast revenue growth, when maintained, often leads to fast profit growth.

美光科技上一年並沒有盈利,因此其股價與每股收益(EPS)之間可能不存在強相關性。我們認爲收入是我們的下一個最佳選擇。未盈利公司的股東通常會期望強勁的收入增長。如您所想象的那樣,當收入增長迅速並持續時,往往會導致利潤增長迅速。

In the last 5 years Micron Technology saw its revenue shrink by 2.4% per year. On the other hand, the share price done the opposite, gaining 20%, compound, each year. It's a good reminder that expectations about the future, not the past history, always impact share prices. Still, this situation makes us a little wary of the stock.

在過去的5年中,美光科技的營業收入每年減少2.4%。另一方面,股價卻上升了20%,每年複合增長。這表明人們對未來的期望而不是過去的歷史總是會影響股價。儘管如此,這種情況還是讓我們對股票有些戒備。

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

以下圖像顯示了公司的營業收入和盈利(隨時間變化)(單擊以查看準確的數字)。

big
NasdaqGS:MU Earnings and Revenue Growth August 20th 2024
納斯達克GS:MU盈利和營收增長2024年8月20日

Micron Technology is a well known stock, with plenty of analyst coverage, suggesting some visibility into future growth. So it makes a lot of sense to check out what analysts think Micron Technology will earn in the future (free analyst consensus estimates)

美光科技是一隻知名的股票,有充足的分析師覆蓋,這表明了一些對未來增長的可見性。因此,查看分析師對美光科技未來盈利預測(免費分析師共識預測)是非常有意義的。

What About Dividends?

那麼分紅怎麼樣呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. As it happens, Micron Technology's TSR for the last 5 years was 155%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

除了衡量股票價格的回報率,投資者還應考慮股東的總回報率(TSR)。股票價格回報率僅反映股票價格的變化,而TSR則包括股息的價值(假定它們被再投資)以及任何折價資本籌集或分拆的利益。可以說,TSR爲支付股息的股票提供了更完整的圖片。事實上,美光科技過去五年的TSR爲155%,超過了前面提到的股票價格回報率。公司支付的股息因此提高了股東的總回報率。

A Different Perspective

不同的觀點

It's nice to see that Micron Technology shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 71% over the last year. And that does include the dividend. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 21% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. Given the share price momentum remains strong, it might be worth taking a closer look at the stock, lest you miss an opportunity. If you would like to research Micron Technology in more detail then you might want to take a look at whether insiders have been buying or selling shares in the company.

很高興看到美光科技股東在過去一年中獲得了71%的總回報,其中包括股息。由於一年的總回報要比五年的總回報(後者爲每年21%)要好,因此股票的表現近期有所改善。鑑於股票價格趨勢仍然強勁,可能值得更仔細地觀察該股票,以免錯過機會。如果您想更詳細地研究美光科技,那麼可以查看公司內部人員是否一直在買賣該公司的股票。

But note: Micron Technology may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

但請注意:美光科技可能不是最好的股票。因此,不妨查看這個自由的有過去盈利增長(和進一步增長預測)的有趣公司列表。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

請注意,本文所引述的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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