Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical (SHSE:600618) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet
Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical (SHSE:600618) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600618) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
伯克希爾哈撒韋背書的外部基金經理李錄對此毫不隱瞞,當他說'最大的投資風險不是價格波動,而是你是否會遭受永久的資本損失。' 當我們考慮一家公司有多大風險時,我們總是喜歡看看它的債務使用情況,因爲債務過載可能會導致破產。我們注意到上海氯鹼b股(SHSE:600618)在資產負債表上確實有債務。但更重要的問題是:這些債務帶來了多大的風險?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
債務帶來了什麼風險?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
一般來說,只有當公司無法輕鬆償還債務時,即無法通過籌集資本或自有現金流償還債務時,債務才會成爲真正的問題。資本主義的一部分是「創造性破壞」的過程,即債權人無情地清算失敗的企業。雖然這不太常見,但我們經常看到負債公司因貸款人在困境價格上強制他們籌集資本而永久稀釋股東利益。當然,債務可以是企業的重要工具,特別是對於資本密集型企業。當我們考慮公司的債務利用時,我們首先將現金和債務放在一起考慮。
How Much Debt Does Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical Carry?
上海氯鹼b股承擔了多少債務?
As you can see below, Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical had CN¥621.0m of debt at June 2024, down from CN¥1.78b a year prior. But it also has CN¥1.95b in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥1.33b net cash.
正如您下面所看到的,2024年6月,上海氯鹼b股的債務爲62100萬,比前一年的17.8億減少。但它也有195億現金來抵消,意味着它有133億的淨現金。
How Healthy Is Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical's Balance Sheet?
上海氯鹼b股的資產負債表健康狀況如何?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical had liabilities of CN¥2.07b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥211.6m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥1.95b in cash and CN¥392.9m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥64.1m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
從最新的資產負債表可以看出,上海氯鹼b股目前有20.7億人民幣的短期到期負債,以及21160萬人民幣的超過一年到期負債。與此相抵消,其有19.5億人民幣的現金和39290萬人民幣的應收賬款在12個月內到期。因此,它比總負債多了6410萬人民幣的流動資產。
Having regard to Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical's size, it seems that its liquid assets are well balanced with its total liabilities. So it's very unlikely that the CN¥7.34b company is short on cash, but still worth keeping an eye on the balance sheet. Simply put, the fact that Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.
就上海氯鹼b股的規模而言,其流動資產與總負債看起來是很平衡的。因此,這家73.4億人民幣的公司很不可能資金短缺,但仍值得關注其資產負債表。簡單地說,上海氯鹼b股擁有比債務更多的現金,可以認爲是它能夠安全管理債務的一個好跡象。
And we also note warmly that Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical grew its EBIT by 13% last year, making its debt load easier to handle. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
我們還熱情地注意到,上海氯鹼b股去年的綜合企業稅後利潤增長了13%,這使得其負債負擔更容易應對。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是一個顯而易見的起點。但上海氯鹼b股的盈利情況將會影響其資產負債表在未來的保持情況。因此,在考慮債務時,着眼於盈利趨勢絕對是值得的。單擊此處查看交互式快照。
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. In the last three years, Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical created free cash flow amounting to 3.4% of its EBIT, an uninspiring performance. For us, cash conversion that low sparks a little paranoia about is ability to extinguish debt.
但我們最後的考慮也很重要,因爲公司無法通過紙質利潤來償還債務,而是需要現金。儘管上海氯鹼b股在資產負債表上有淨現金,但仍值得研究其將利息和稅前利潤(EBIT)轉化爲自由現金流的能力,以幫助我們了解它在增加(或侵蝕)現金餘額的速度。在過去三年中,上海氯鹼b股創造了相當於其EBIT的3.4%的自由現金流,表現平平。對於我們來說,這麼低的現金轉換率讓人對其清償債務的能力產生了一點擔憂。
Summing Up
總之
While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical has CN¥1.33b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. And it also grew its EBIT by 13% over the last year. So we are not troubled with Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical's debt use. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical .
儘管調查一家公司的債務是明智的,但在這種情況下,氯鹼b股的淨現金爲13.3億元人民幣,資產負債表看起來不錯。它還在過去一年中將EBIt增長了13%。所以我們對氯鹼b股的債務使用並不擔憂。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是明顯的起點。然而,並不是所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中 - 遠非如此。爲此,您應該注意到我們發現的氯鹼b股的1個警告信號。
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
如果在所有這些之後,您更感興趣的是具有堅實資產負債表的快速增長公司,那麼不要拖延,查看我們的淨現金增長股票列表。
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