Revenue Beat: Shenzhen Kedali Industry Co., Ltd. Exceeded Revenue Forecasts By 6.5% And Analysts Are Updating Their Estimates
Revenue Beat: Shenzhen Kedali Industry Co., Ltd. Exceeded Revenue Forecasts By 6.5% And Analysts Are Updating Their Estimates
Last week, you might have seen that Shenzhen Kedali Industry Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002850) released its second-quarter result to the market. The early response was not positive, with shares down 3.9% to CN¥70.22 in the past week. It was a workmanlike result, with revenues of CN¥2.9b coming in 6.5% ahead of expectations, and statutory earnings per share of CN¥1.26, in line with analyst appraisals. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. We've gathered the most recent statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their earnings models, following these results.
上週,你可能看到了深圳科達利工業股份有限公司(SZSE:002850)發佈了第二季度業績。然而,股票在過去一週中下跌了3.9%,達到了人民幣70.22元。雖然營收爲人民幣29億元,超出預期6.5%, 每股收益爲人民幣1.26元,符合分析師的評估,但市場反應不太積極。 Earnings對於投資者而言是非常重要的一段時間,他們可以追蹤公司的表現,尋找分析師對明年的預測,並查看市場情緒是否有變化。我們收集了最新的指標預測,以看看這些結果後分析師是否有更改其收益模型。
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Taking into account the latest results, the most recent consensus for Shenzhen Kedali Industry from 13 analysts is for revenues of CN¥12.6b in 2024. If met, it would imply a solid 14% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to accumulate 5.6% to CN¥5.23. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of CN¥12.8b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥5.23 in 2024. So it's pretty clear that, although the analysts have updated their estimates, there's been no major change in expectations for the business following the latest results.
考慮到最新的結果,13位分析師的最新共識預測深圳科達利工業的2024年營收爲人民幣126億元。 如果實現這一目標,則過去12個月內的營收將實現可觀的14%增長。預測的每股收益爲人民幣5.23元,累計增長5.6%。 然而,在最新的收益之前,分析師預測深圳科達利工業2024年的營收爲人民幣128億元和每股收益爲人民幣5.23元。顯然,儘管分析師已經更新了他們的預測,但在最新的結果之後,對該公司的預期並沒有產生重大變化。
The analysts reconfirmed their price target of CN¥108, showing that the business is executing well and in line with expectations. There's another way to think about price targets though, and that's to look at the range of price targets put forward by analysts, because a wide range of estimates could suggest a diverse view on possible outcomes for the business. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Shenzhen Kedali Industry at CN¥124 per share, while the most bearish prices it at CN¥92.03. Still, with such a tight range of estimates, it suggeststhe analysts have a pretty good idea of what they think the company is worth.
分析師重新確認了該公司的目標價值爲人民幣108元,表明該企業的執行情況良好,符合預期。然而,還有一種關於目標價值的思考方式,那就是查看分析師提出的價格目標範圍,因爲廣泛的預估範圍可能會暗示對企業的可能結果有多樣化的看法。 目前,最看好的分析師估值深圳科達利工業爲人民幣124元/股,而看跌值則爲人民幣92.03元/股。 儘管有如此緊密的估價範圍,但卻顯示出分析師對他們認爲該公司的價值有一個相當好的想法。
One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. It's pretty clear that there is an expectation that Shenzhen Kedali Industry's revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2024 expected to display 30% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 39% over the past five years. Juxtapose this against the other companies in the industry with analyst coverage, which are forecast to grow their revenues (in aggregate) 18% per year. Even after the forecast slowdown in growth, it seems obvious that Shenzhen Kedali Industry is also expected to grow faster than the wider industry.
獲取更多背景信息的一種方法是查看這些預測與過去表現以及同行業其他公司的表現相比。 明顯地,深圳科達利工業的營收增長預計將大幅放緩,預計截至2024年的收入將按年複合增長30%。 這與過去五年的39%的歷史增長率相比有所減緩。將其與該行業的其他涵蓋分析師的公司進行對比,後者預計其收入(總體而言)每年將增長18%。即使在預測增長放緩之後,深圳科達利工業的增長速度仍然比整個行業快得多。
The Bottom Line
最重要的事情是分析師增加了它對下一年每股虧損的估計。令人欣慰的是,營收預測未發生重大變化,業務仍有望比整個行業增長更快。共識價格目標穩定在28.50美元,最新估計不足以對價格目標產生影響。
The most obvious conclusion is that there's been no major change in the business' prospects in recent times, with the analysts holding their earnings forecasts steady, in line with previous estimates. Happily, there were no major changes to revenue forecasts, with the business still expected to grow faster than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at CN¥108, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.
最明顯的結論是,在最近的時期內,該企業的前景並未發生重大變化,分析師保持其盈利預測穩定,與之前的預計相符。令人高興的是,營收預測沒有發生重大變化,該企業仍有望比整個行業增長更快。平均目標價格保持在人民幣108元,最新的預測不足以對其價格目標產生影響。
With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have forecasts for Shenzhen Kedali Industry going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.
儘管如此,該公司長期的收益軌跡比明年來得更爲重要。我們對深圳科達利工業的預測可以延伸到2026年,您可以在我們的平台上免費查看這些預測。
You still need to take note of risks, for example - Shenzhen Kedali Industry has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
您仍然需要注意風險,例如-深圳科達利工業有1個警告信號,我們認爲您應該注意。
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