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Optimism Around Cinda Real Estate (SHSE:600657) Delivering New Earnings Growth May Be Shrinking as Stock Declines 4.5% This Past Week

Optimism Around Cinda Real Estate (SHSE:600657) Delivering New Earnings Growth May Be Shrinking as Stock Declines 4.5% This Past Week

隨着股價上週下跌了4.5%,對信達地產(SHSE:600657)新的盈利增長的樂觀情緒可能正在縮減。
Simply Wall St ·  08/20 19:19

It's easy to match the overall market return by buying an index fund. While individual stocks can be big winners, plenty more fail to generate satisfactory returns. Unfortunately the Cinda Real Estate Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600657) share price slid 42% over twelve months. That's disappointing when you consider the market declined 15%. However, the longer term returns haven't been so bad, with the stock down 18% in the last three years. Furthermore, it's down 32% in about a quarter. That's not much fun for holders.

通過購買指數基金很容易匹配整體市場回報。儘管個股可以成爲大贏家,但更多股票無法產生令人滿意的回報。不幸的是,信達房地產有限公司(上海證券交易所代碼:600657)的股價在十二個月內下跌了42%。考慮到市場下跌了15%,這真是令人失望。但是,長期回報並沒有那麼糟糕,該股在過去三年中下跌了18%。此外,它在大約一個季度內下降了32%。對於持有者來說,這並不好玩。

Since Cinda Real Estate has shed CN¥371m from its value in the past 7 days, let's see if the longer term decline has been driven by the business' economics.

由於信達地產在過去7天內已從其價值下跌了37100萬元人民幣,因此讓我們看看長期下跌是否是由該企業的經濟推動的。

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

用本傑明·格雷厄姆的話來說:從短期來看,市場是一臺投票機器,但從長遠來看,它是一臺稱重機。研究市場情緒如何隨着時間的推移而變化的一種方法是研究公司股價與其每股收益(EPS)之間的相互作用。

Unhappily, Cinda Real Estate had to report a 51% decline in EPS over the last year. This fall in the EPS is significantly worse than the 42% the share price fall. So the market may not be too worried about the EPS figure, at the moment -- or it may have expected earnings to drop faster.

不幸的是,信達房地產不得不報告去年每股收益下降了51%。每股收益的下降要比股價下跌的42%嚴重得多。因此,目前市場可能不太擔心每股收益的數字,或者可能預計收益會更快地下降。

The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

該公司的每股收益(隨着時間的推移)如下圖所示(點擊查看確切數字)。

big
SHSE:600657 Earnings Per Share Growth August 20th 2024
SHSE: 600657 每股收益增長 2024 年 8 月 20 日

Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here.

在買入或賣出股票之前,我們始終建議仔細研究歷史增長趨勢,可在此處查閱。

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

While the broader market lost about 15% in the twelve months, Cinda Real Estate shareholders did even worse, losing 42%. Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 5% per year over five years. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Take risks, for example - Cinda Real Estate has 3 warning signs (and 2 which are a bit concerning) we think you should know about.

儘管整個市場在十二個月中下跌了約15%,但信達房地產股東的表現甚至更糟,下跌了42%。話雖如此,在下跌的市場中,一些股票不可避免地會被超賣。關鍵是要密切關注基本發展。遺憾的是,去年的業績結束了糟糕的表現,股東在五年內每年面臨5%的總虧損。總的來說,長期股價疲軟可能是一個壞兆頭,儘管逆勢投資者可能希望研究該股以期出現轉機。儘管市場狀況可能對股價產生的不同影響值得考慮,但還有其他因素更爲重要。例如,冒險吧——信達房地產有3個警告標誌(還有2個有點令人擔憂),我們認爲你應該知道。

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.

當然,通過尋找其他地方,你可能會找到一筆不錯的投資。因此,請看一下我們預計收益將增加的這份免費公司名單。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂嗎?請直接聯繫我們。或者,也可以發送電子郵件至編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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