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Is GEPIC Energy Development Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:000791) Recent Price Movement Underpinned By Its Weak Fundamentals?

Is GEPIC Energy Development Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:000791) Recent Price Movement Underpinned By Its Weak Fundamentals?

甘肅能源發展股份有限公司(SZSE:000791)的最近股價運動是否由其基本面薄弱所支撐?
Simply Wall St ·  08/20 21:55

GEPIC Energy Development (SZSE:000791) has had a rough three months with its share price down 23%. It is possible that the markets have ignored the company's differing financials and decided to lean-in to the negative sentiment. Fundamentals usually dictate market outcomes so it makes sense to study the company's financials. In this article, we decided to focus on GEPIC Energy Development's ROE.

甘肅能源(SZSE:000791)在過去三個月中股價下跌23%。可能市場忽略了該公司不同的財務狀況,決定加大對負面情緒的傾向。基本面通常決定市場結果,因此研究公司的財務狀況是有意義的。在這篇文章中,我們決定重點關注甘肅能源的roe。

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

ROE,即淨資產收益率,測試一家公司有效增加價值和管理股東資金的能力。換句話說,它揭示了公司將股東投資轉化爲利潤的成功程度。

How Is ROE Calculated?

淨資產收益率怎麼計算?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

股東權益報酬率可以使用以下公式計算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

淨資產收益率 = 淨利潤(從持續經營中獲得)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for GEPIC Energy Development is:

因此,根據上述公式,甘肅能源的roe爲:

6.5% = CN¥641m ÷ CN¥9.9b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).

6.5% = CN¥64100萬 ÷ CN¥99億 (基於截至2024年6月的過去十二個月)

The 'return' is the yearly profit. So, this means that for every CN¥1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of CN¥0.06.

'回報'是每年的利潤。因此,這意味着對於每個股東的1元投資,公司可以產生0.06元的利潤。

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

ROE與盈利增長之間的關係是什麼?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

到目前爲止,我們已經了解了roe衡量公司利潤產生效率的程度。現在我們需要評估公司爲未來增長而重新投資或「保留」的利潤數量,然後了解公司的增長潛力。假設其他一切不變,roe和利潤保留率越高,公司的增長率就越高,而與不一定具備這些特徵的公司相比,這種增長率的相對性就越高。

GEPIC Energy Development's Earnings Growth And 6.5% ROE

甘肅能源發展的盈利增長和6.5%的roe

At first glance, GEPIC Energy Development's ROE doesn't look very promising. However, its ROE is similar to the industry average of 7.7%, so we won't completely dismiss the company. Still, GEPIC Energy Development has seen a flat net income growth over the past five years. Remember, the company's ROE is not particularly great to begin with. Hence, this provides some context to the flat earnings growth seen by the company.

乍一看,甘肅能源發展的roe看起來並不太令人期待。然而,它的roe與行業平均水平7.7%相似,所以我們不會完全對該公司忽視不論。然而,甘肅能源發展在過去五年中看到了平穩的淨利潤增長。請記住,公司的roe從一開始就並不是特別好。因此,這爲公司所見到的平穩盈利增長提供了一些背景。

We then compared GEPIC Energy Development's net income growth with the industry and found that the company's growth figure is lower than the average industry growth rate of 9.7% in the same 5-year period, which is a bit concerning.

然後我們將甘肅能源發展的淨利潤增長與行業進行了比較,並發現該公司在同樣的五年期間的增長率低於行業平均增長率9.7%,這有點令人擔憂。

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SZSE:000791 Past Earnings Growth August 21st 2024
SZSE:000791過去的盈利增長2024年8月21日

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Is GEPIC Energy Development fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

收益增長是估值股票時要考慮的重要指標。投資者應該嘗試確定預期的收益增長或下降是否已經定價。通過這樣做,他們將了解股票是否走向清澈的藍色水域,還是等待着泥濘的水域。與其他公司相比,甘肅能源的估值是否公平?這3個估值指標可能會幫助您做出決定。

Is GEPIC Energy Development Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

甘肅能源是否有效利用其留存收益?

Despite having a moderate three-year median payout ratio of 27% (meaning the company retains73% of profits) in the last three-year period, GEPIC Energy Development's earnings growth was more or les flat. So there could be some other explanation in that regard. For instance, the company's business may be deteriorating.

儘管在過去三年中,甘肅能源的三年中位數分紅比率爲27%(意味着公司留存了73%的利潤),但其收益增長基本上是平平無奇的。因此,這方面可能存在其他解釋。例如,公司的業務可能正在惡化。

Moreover, GEPIC Energy Development has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth.

此外,甘肅能源至少已經連續十年支付股息,這表明管理層必須已經意識到股東更喜歡股息而不是收益增長。

Conclusion

結論

In total, we're a bit ambivalent about GEPIC Energy Development's performance. Even though it appears to be retaining most of its profits, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. The low earnings growth suggests our theory correct. Having said that, looking at the current analyst estimates, we found that the company's earnings are expected to gain momentum. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

總的來說,我們對甘肅能源的表現有些矛盾。儘管它似乎保留了大部分利潤,但由於ROE低,投資者可能並未從所有的再投資中獲益。低盈利增長表明了我們的理論是正確的。話雖如此,從當前分析師的預期來看,我們發現該公司的收益有望增長。這些分析師的預期是基於行業的廣泛預期,還是基於公司的基本面呢?點擊這裏查看我們對該公司的分析師預測頁面。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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