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We Think Sichuan Jiuzhou Electronic (SZSE:000801) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

We Think Sichuan Jiuzhou Electronic (SZSE:000801) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

我們認爲四川九州電子(SZSE:000801)能夠控制好其債務。
Simply Wall St ·  08/20 22:47

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Sichuan Jiuzhou Electronic Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000801) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

David Iben說得很好,'波動性不是我們關心的風險,我們關心的是避免永久損失資本。' 當你考慮到任何給定股票的風險時,需要考慮債務,因爲過多的債務可能會使一家公司倒閉。 我們可以看到四川九洲電子股份有限公司(SZSE: 000801)在其業務中使用了債務。 但股東們應該擔心其債務的使用嗎?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

爲什麼債務會帶來風險?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

當企業無法通過自由現金流或以合理價格籌集資本來輕鬆履行債務和其他負債時,債務和其他負債才會有風險。如果情況變得非常糟糕,放貸人可以接管企業。然而,一個更常見(但仍然很痛苦)的情況是,它必須以低價募集新的股權資本,從而持續稀釋股東權益。當然,負債的優點在於其往往代表着廉價的資本,尤其是當它替代具有高回報率再投資能力的公司的稀釋時。當我們考慮負債水平時,我們首先考慮現金和負債水平的總和。

What Is Sichuan Jiuzhou Electronic's Net Debt?

四川九洲電子的淨債務是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2024 Sichuan Jiuzhou Electronic had debt of CN¥815.1m, up from CN¥539.1m in one year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥1.32b in cash, so it actually has CN¥500.0m net cash.

下面的圖片(點擊可放大)顯示,截至2024年3月,四川九洲電子的債務爲8.151億元,比一年前的5.391億元增長。 然而,其資產負債表顯示其持有13.2億元現金,因此實際上淨現金爲5億元。

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SZSE:000801 Debt to Equity History August 21st 2024
SZSE:000801 債務股本比歷史數據 2024年8月21日

How Strong Is Sichuan Jiuzhou Electronic's Balance Sheet?

四川九洲電子的資產負債表有多強?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Sichuan Jiuzhou Electronic had liabilities of CN¥3.13b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥315.9m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥1.32b as well as receivables valued at CN¥2.99b due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥862.7m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

最新的資產負債表數據顯示,四川九洲電子的一年內到期的負債爲313億人民幣,而後一年到期的負債爲3159萬人民幣。抵消這些義務,它擁有132億人民幣的現金以及價值299億人民幣的應收賬款,在12個月內到期。因此,它實際上比總負債多擁有8627萬人民幣的流動資產。

This surplus suggests that Sichuan Jiuzhou Electronic has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. Simply put, the fact that Sichuan Jiuzhou Electronic has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

這一盈餘表明四川九洲電子擁有保守的資產負債表,很可能可以毫不費力地清償債務。簡而言之,事實上,四川九洲電子現金多於債務,這可能是它能夠安全管理債務的良好跡象。

It is just as well that Sichuan Jiuzhou Electronic's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 26% over the last year. When it comes to paying off debt, falling earnings are no more useful than sugary sodas are for your health. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Sichuan Jiuzhou Electronic can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

幸好,四川九洲電子的負擔不太重,因爲過去一年其EBIt下降了26%。在償還債務方面,營業額下降對健康並無益處,就像含糖汽水對健康沒有益處一樣。資產負債表顯然是在你分析債務時要重點關注的領域。但最終,業務的未來盈利能力將決定四川九洲電子能否隨着時間加強其資產負債表。因此,如果你想知道專業人士的看法,你可能會發現分析師盈利預測的這份免費報告很有趣。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. Sichuan Jiuzhou Electronic may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. In the last three years, Sichuan Jiuzhou Electronic's free cash flow amounted to 21% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

最後,一家公司只能用硬通貨而不是會計利潤償還債務。四川九洲電子可能在資產負債表上擁有淨現金,但看看業務如何將其利息前稅贏利(EBIT)轉化爲自由現金流,這一點仍然很有趣,因爲這將影響其管理債務的需要和能力。在過去三年中,四川九洲電子的自由現金流佔其EBIt的比例爲21%,低於我們的預期。這種弱的現金轉化使得處理負債更加困難。

Summing Up

總之

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Sichuan Jiuzhou Electronic has net cash of CN¥500.0m, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. So we are not troubled with Sichuan Jiuzhou Electronic's debt use. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example - Sichuan Jiuzhou Electronic has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

儘管我們理解投資者對債務感到擔憂,但您應該記住,四川九洲電子有5億元人民幣的淨現金,以及比負債更多的流動資產。因此,我們並不擔憂四川九洲電子的債務使用。當您分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是要關注的領域。但最終,每家公司都可能存在超過資產負債表之外的風險。例如-我們認爲您應該注意四川九州電子的2個警告信號。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

如果在所有這些之後,您更感興趣的是具有堅實資產負債表的快速增長公司,那麼不要拖延,查看我們的淨現金增長股票列表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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