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We Think You Can Look Beyond Hang Chi Holdings' (HKG:8405) Lackluster Earnings

We Think You Can Look Beyond Hang Chi Holdings' (HKG:8405) Lackluster Earnings

我們認爲您可以超越恒指控股(HKG:8405)平淡的盈利
Simply Wall St ·  08/21 18:46

Shareholders appeared unconcerned with Hang Chi Holdings Limited's (HKG:8405) lackluster earnings report last week. We think that the softer headline numbers might be getting counterbalanced by some positive underlying factors.

上週,杭志控股有限公司(HKG:8405)的業績報告不盡如人意,但股東們似乎並不擔心。我們認爲,一些積極的基本因素可能在抵消這些較差的業績數據。

1724280387104
SEHK:8405 Earnings and Revenue History August 21st 2024
SEHK:8405 歷史收益和營業收入情況 2024年8月21日

Examining Cashflow Against Hang Chi Holdings' Earnings

分析杭志控股的現金流與業績

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

用於衡量公司將其利潤轉化爲自由現金流(FCF)的一項關鍵財務比率是應計比率。要獲得應計比率,我們首先將某一時期的FCF從利潤中減去,然後將該數字除以該時期平均經營資產。您可以將來自現金流的應計比率視爲「非FCF獲利比例」。

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

這意味着負面預提比率是一件好事,因爲它表明公司所獲得的自由現金流比其利潤所示的要多。這並不意味着我們應該擔心正面的預提比率,但值得注意的是,如果預提比率很高的話就要考慮這個問題。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年的一篇論文:「預提較高的公司未來的盈利能力較低」。

Hang Chi Holdings has an accrual ratio of -0.38 for the year to June 2024. That indicates that its free cash flow quite significantly exceeded its statutory profit. To wit, it produced free cash flow of HK$77m during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of HK$26.5m. Hang Chi Holdings shareholders are no doubt pleased that free cash flow improved over the last twelve months.

截至2024年6月,杭志控股的應計比率爲-0.38。這表明它的自由現金流明顯超過了其法定利潤。實際上,在該時期,杭志控股產生了7700萬港幣的自由現金流,而其報告的利潤爲2650萬港幣。毫無疑問,杭志控股的股東會對過去十二個月的自由現金流改善感到滿意。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Hang Chi Holdings.

注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。點擊這裏查看我們對杭志控股的資產負債表分析。

Our Take On Hang Chi Holdings' Profit Performance

關於恒志集團利潤表現的我們觀點

As we discussed above, Hang Chi Holdings' accrual ratio indicates strong conversion of profit to free cash flow, which is a positive for the company. Based on this observation, we consider it possible that Hang Chi Holdings' statutory profit actually understates its earnings potential! Unfortunately, though, its earnings per share actually fell back over the last year. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. When we did our research, we found 4 warning signs for Hang Chi Holdings (1 is significant!) that we believe deserve your full attention.

正如我們上面討論的那樣,根據恒志集團的應計比率,其利潤轉換爲自由現金流的能力強,這對公司來說是一個積極因素。根據這一觀察結果,我們認爲恒志集團的法定利潤實際上低估了其盈利潛力!然而,遺憾的是,過去一年恒志集團的每股盈利實際上有所回落。本文的目標是評估我們能夠依靠法定盈利來反映公司潛力的程度,但還有很多其他因素需要考慮。鑑於此,如果您想對該公司進行更多分析,了解其中的風險是至關重要的。在我們進行研究時,我們發現了恒志集團的4個警示信號(其中一個是重要的!),我們認爲這些信號值得您的充分關注。

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Hang Chi Holdings' profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

這個註釋只是針對揭示恒志集團利潤性質的一個因素。但是,如果您能夠把注意力放在細枝末節上,就會發現更多。有些人認爲股本回報率高是一家優質企業的良好跡象。所以您可能希望看看這個免費的高股本回報率公司集合,或者這個高內部持股的股票清單。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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