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Declining Stock and Solid Fundamentals: Is The Market Wrong About Hundsun Technologies Inc. (SHSE:600570)?

Declining Stock and Solid Fundamentals: Is The Market Wrong About Hundsun Technologies Inc. (SHSE:600570)?

股票下跌與基本面穩固:對恒生電子股份有限公司(SHSE:600570)市場判斷是否錯誤?
Simply Wall St ·  08/21 19:38

It is hard to get excited after looking at Hundsun Technologies' (SHSE:600570) recent performance, when its stock has declined 24% over the past three months. However, a closer look at its sound financials might cause you to think again. Given that fundamentals usually drive long-term market outcomes, the company is worth looking at. Specifically, we decided to study Hundsun Technologies' ROE in this article.

在查看了恒生科技(SHSE:600570)最近的表現後,要感到興奮是很難的,因爲其股價在過去三個月內下跌了24%。然而,仔細觀察其健康的財務狀況可能會讓你重新考慮。考慮到基本面通常驅動着長期的市場結果,這家公司值得關注。具體來說,我們決定在本文中研究恒生科技的ROE。

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

股東權益回報率(ROE)是測試公司如何有效地增加其價值並管理投資者資金的指標。簡而言之,它用於評估公司相對於股本資本的盈利能力。

How Is ROE Calculated?

淨資產收益率怎麼計算?

The formula for ROE is:

roe的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

淨資產收益率 = 淨利潤(從持續經營中獲得)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Hundsun Technologies is:

因此,根據上述公式,恒生科技的ROE爲:

13% = CN¥1.2b ÷ CN¥8.8b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

13% = 人民幣12億 ÷ 人民幣88億(截至2024年3月的過去十二個月)。

The 'return' is the yearly profit. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CN¥1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CN¥0.13 in profit.

「回報」是每年的利潤。可以這樣理解,每 1 元股東資本投入,公司就賺取了 0.13 元的利潤。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

roe與盈利增長有何關係?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

到目前爲止,我們已經了解到ROE是衡量公司盈利能力的指標。根據公司重新投資或「保留」的利潤數量及其有效性,我們能夠估計公司盈利增長潛力。假設其他一切保持不變,ROE和利潤保留率越高,相對於不一定擁有這些特徵的公司而言,公司的增長率就越高。

A Side By Side comparison of Hundsun Technologies' Earnings Growth And 13% ROE

和訊科技的盈利增長和13%的ROE的並列比較

To begin with, Hundsun Technologies seems to have a respectable ROE. Especially when compared to the industry average of 4.2% the company's ROE looks pretty impressive. However, for some reason, the higher returns aren't reflected in Hundsun Technologies' meagre five year net income growth average of 4.3%. That's a bit unexpected from a company which has such a high rate of return. Such a scenario is likely to take place when a company pays out a huge portion of its earnings as dividends, or is faced with competitive pressures.

首先,和訊科技的ROE似乎相當可觀。特別是與行業平均水平4.2%相比,該公司的ROE看起來相當令人印象深刻。然而,由於某種原因,高回報並未反映在和訊科技五年平均淨利潤增長率僅爲4.3%的數據上。對於一家回報如此之高的公司來說,這有點令人意外。這種情況很可能發生在公司將大部分收益支付爲股息或面臨競爭壓力時。

When you consider the fact that the industry earnings have shrunk at a rate of 3.5% in the same 5-year period, the company's net income growth is pretty remarkable.

考慮到同樣五年內行業收益率下降了3.5%,該公司的淨利潤增長非常顯著。

1724283530723
SHSE:600570 Past Earnings Growth August 21st 2024
SHSE:600570過去的盈利增長於2024年8月21日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Hundsun Technologies is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

收益增長是股票估值的一個重要因素。投資者需要判斷的下一步是預期的收益增長是否已經反映在股價中,亦或還沒有。這有助於他們判斷股票是否面臨光明或黑暗的未來。一個好的預期收益增長指標是市盈率,它根據股票的收益前景決定市場願意爲其付出的價格。所以,您可能想要檢查一下恒生技術相對於行業來說,是在高市盈率還是低市盈率交易。

Is Hundsun Technologies Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

恒生技術是否有效利用其留存收益?

Hundsun Technologies has a low three-year median payout ratio of 15% (meaning, the company keeps the remaining 85% of profits) which means that the company is retaining more of its earnings. However, the low earnings growth number doesn't reflect this as high growth usually follows high profit retention. So there might be other factors at play here which could potentially be hampering growth. For example, the business has faced some headwinds.

恒生技術的三年中位數分紅派息比率低達15%(意味着公司保留了餘下的85%利潤),這意味着公司保留了更多的利潤。然而,低的收益增長數字並未反映出這一點,因爲高增長通常緊隨高利潤保留之後。這裏可能有其他因素在起作用,可能對增長造成了阻礙。例如,該業務面臨一些不利因素。

In addition, Hundsun Technologies has been paying dividends over a period of at least ten years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is way more important to the management even if it comes at the cost of business growth. Looking at the current analyst consensus data, we can see that the company's future payout ratio is expected to rise to 19% over the next three years. Regardless, the future ROE for Hundsun Technologies is speculated to rise to 18% despite the anticipated increase in the payout ratio. There could probably be other factors that could be driving the future growth in the ROE.

此外,恒生技術在至少十年的時間內一直在支付股息,這表明即使以犧牲業務增長爲代價,保持股息支付對管理層來說更加重要。從當前分析師共識數據來看,我們可以看到公司未來的派息比率預計將在未來三年內上升到19%。不管怎樣,儘管派息比率有望增加,恒生技術的未來ROE預計將上升到18%。可能還有其他因素可能推動ROE的未來增長。

Summary

總的來說,我們對偉明環保的表現非常滿意。具體而言,我們喜歡公司以高回報率再投資了其利潤的很大一部分。當然,這導致公司的收益大幅增長。但是,最新的行業分析師預測表明,該公司的收益預計將加速增長。

In total, we are pretty happy with Hundsun Technologies' performance. Specifically, we like that the company is reinvesting a huge chunk of its profits at a high rate of return. This of course has caused the company to see substantial growth in its earnings. With that said, the latest industry analyst forecasts reveal that the company's earnings are expected to accelerate. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

總體來說,我們對恒生科技的表現非常滿意。具體來說,我們喜歡該公司以高回報率重新投資其利潤的方式。當然,這導致了公司利潤的大幅增長。然而,最新的行業分析師預測顯示,預計該公司的利潤將加速增長。這些分析師的預期是基於行業的整體預期還是公司的基本面?點擊這裏查看我們分析師對該公司的預測頁面。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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