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Is CICT Mobile Communication Technology (SHSE:688387) A Risky Investment?

Is CICT Mobile Communication Technology (SHSE:688387) A Risky Investment?

CICt移動通信科技(SHSE:688387)是一項風險投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  08/21 20:22

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that CICT Mobile Communication Technology Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688387) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

當你說『最大的投資風險不是價格的波動性,而是你是否會遭受到資本的永久損失』時,作爲巴菲特的投資經理後盾的李錄大膽地表達了這一觀點。當你考慮一家公司的資產負債表時,這是很自然的,因爲企業倒閉時通常涉及到債務。我們可以看到中國鐵建通信科技股份有限公司(SHSE:688387)在業務中使用了債務。但真正的問題是,這筆債務是否使公司變得有風險。

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

爲什麼債務會帶來風險?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

一般來說,只有當企業不能輕易償還其債務時,債務才會成爲真正的問題,無論是通過籌集資本還是利用自身的現金流。最終,如果公司無法執行其法律義務償還債務,股東可能會一無所獲。雖然這不太常見,但我們經常看到負債的公司永久地稀釋股東的權益,因爲貸款人會強制以危機價格提高他們的資本。當然,債務對於企業來說也是很重要的工具,特別是對於資本密集型企業來說。考慮企業使用多少債務時,首先要做的就是查看其現金和債務的總體情況。

What Is CICT Mobile Communication Technology's Net Debt?

中國鐵建通信科技的淨債務是多少?

As you can see below, CICT Mobile Communication Technology had CN¥1.74b of debt at June 2024, down from CN¥2.06b a year prior. However, it does have CN¥4.12b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥2.39b.

正如你下面所看到的,截至2024年6月,中國鐵建通信科技的債務爲17.4億元,比去年同期的20.6億元有所下降。然而,它有41.2億元的現金來抵消這筆債務,從而導致淨現金爲23.9億元。

1724280875455
SHSE:688387 Debt to Equity History August 22nd 2024
SHSE:688387股債比歷史數據於2024年8月22日

A Look At CICT Mobile Communication Technology's Liabilities

審視CICt移動通信科技的負債

The latest balance sheet data shows that CICT Mobile Communication Technology had liabilities of CN¥6.39b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥691.0m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥4.12b in cash and CN¥6.33b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥3.37b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

最新資產負債表數據顯示,CICt移動通信科技的短期負債爲人民幣63.9億,長期負債爲人民幣69100萬。抵消這一點的是,它手頭有412億現金和633億應收款項分別在12個月內到期。因此,它的流動資產比總負債多337億。

This surplus suggests that CICT Mobile Communication Technology is using debt in a way that is appears to be both safe and conservative. Given it has easily adequate short term liquidity, we don't think it will have any issues with its lenders. Succinctly put, CICT Mobile Communication Technology boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine CICT Mobile Communication Technology's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

這一盈餘表明CICt移動通信科技在債務使用上既安全又保守。考慮到它有足夠的短期流動性,我們認爲它不會與債權人發生任何問題。簡而言之,CICt移動通信科技擁有淨現金,因此可以說它沒有沉重的債務負擔!當分析債務水平時,資產負債表是明顯的起點。但更重要的是,未來收入將決定CICt移動通信科技維持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果你專注於未來,可以查看分析師盈利預測的免費報告。

Over 12 months, CICT Mobile Communication Technology made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to CN¥7.4b, which is a fall of 4.2%. That's not what we would hope to see.

在過去12個月裏,CICt移動通信科技在EBIt水平上出現虧損,並且其營業收入降至人民幣74億,下降了4.2%。這不是我們希望看到的。

So How Risky Is CICT Mobile Communication Technology?

那麼CICt移動通信科技的風險究竟有多大?

By their very nature companies that are losing money are more risky than those with a long history of profitability. And in the last year CICT Mobile Communication Technology had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss, truth be told. Indeed, in that time it burnt through CN¥858m of cash and made a loss of CN¥346m. But the saving grace is the CN¥2.39b on the balance sheet. That kitty means the company can keep spending for growth for at least two years, at current rates. Overall, its balance sheet doesn't seem overly risky, at the moment, but we're always cautious until we see the positive free cash flow. For riskier companies like CICT Mobile Communication Technology I always like to keep an eye on the long term profit and revenue trends. Fortunately, you can click to see our interactive graph of its profit, revenue, and operating cashflow.

從本質上講,虧損公司比長期盈利歷史的公司更具風險。而且在過去一年裏,CICt移動通信科技在利息和稅前收益(EBIT)上出現了虧損。事實上,那段時間它燃燒了8580萬現金,虧損了3.46億。但好在資產負債表上有239億。這筆資金意味着公司至少可以保持按照當前速度的增長支出兩年。總體而言,目前來看,它的資產負債表似乎並不過於冒險,但在我們看到正面的自由現金流之前,我們總是持謹慎態度。對於像CICt移動通信科技這樣的高風險公司,我總是喜歡關注長期盈利和收入趨勢。幸運的是,你可以點擊查看我們的盈利、收入和經營現金流的互動圖表。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

說到底,有時候更容易集中精力關注根本不需要債務的公司。讀者可以免費訪問零淨債務增長股票列表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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