What Does Polaris Inc.'s (NYSE:PII) Share Price Indicate?
What Does Polaris Inc.'s (NYSE:PII) Share Price Indicate?
Polaris Inc. (NYSE:PII), is not the largest company out there, but it saw a decent share price growth of 16% on the NYSE over the last few months. The recent rally in share prices has nudged the company in the right direction, though it still falls short of its yearly peak. With many analysts covering the mid-cap stock, we may expect any price-sensitive announcements have already been factored into the stock's share price. But what if there is still an opportunity to buy? Today we will analyse the most recent data on Polaris's outlook and valuation to see if the opportunity still exists.
Polaris公司(紐交所:PII)雖然不是最大的公司,但在過去幾個月裏,其股價在紐交所上漲了16%。股價的最近反彈使公司在正確的發展方向上取得了進展,儘管仍未達到年度高點。由於有許多分析師對這隻中型股進行了覆蓋,我們可能預計任何對股價敏感的公告已經被計入了股價。但是,如果仍有購買的機會呢?今天我們將分析Polaris公司的最新前景和估值數據,以確定機會是否仍然存在。
Is Polaris Still Cheap?
Polaris是否仍然便宜?
The share price seems sensible at the moment according to our price multiple model, where we compare the company's price-to-earnings ratio to the industry average. We've used the price-to-earnings ratio in this instance because there's not enough visibility to forecast its cash flows. The stock's ratio of 14.43x is currently trading slightly below its industry peers' ratio of 16.95x, which means if you buy Polaris today, you'd be paying a reasonable price for it. And if you believe that Polaris should be trading at this level in the long run, then there's not much of an upside to gain over and above other industry peers. Is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Since Polaris's share price is quite volatile, we could potentially see it sink lower (or rise higher) in the future, giving us another chance to buy. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for how much the stock moves relative to the rest of the market.
根據我們的價格倍數模型,目前股價似乎是合理的。我們將公司的市盈率與行業平均值進行比較。在這種情況下,我們使用了市盈率,因爲沒有足夠的可見性來預測其現金流。目前,該股的市盈率爲14.43倍,略低於其行業同行的市盈率16.95倍,這意味着如果今天購買Polaris,你將以合理的價格購買。如果你相信Polaris在長期內應該交易在這個水平上,那麼相對於其他行業同行,你不會有太多的盈利空間。還有沒有未來降低成本的機會?由於Polaris的股價相當波動,我們有可能在未來看到它下跌(或上漲),從而給我們另一個購買的機會。這是基於它的高貝塔,它是一個衡量股票相對於整個市場的波動程度的好指標。
What kind of growth will Polaris generate?
Polaris將產生什麼樣的增長?
Future outlook is an important aspect when you're looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it's the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. With profit expected to grow by a double-digit 12% over the next couple of years, the outlook is positive for Polaris. It looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.
未來前景是購買股票時需要考慮的重要因素,特別是如果你是尋找投資組合增長的投資者。雖然價值投資者會認爲最重要的是內在價值與股價的相對關係,但一個更具說服力的投資論點是高增長潛力和廉價的股價。預計未來幾年,該公司的利潤將增長12%,Polaris的前景是積極的。看起來該股票的現金流將增加,並反映在更高的股價估值中。
What This Means For You
這對您意味着什麼?
Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has already priced in PII's positive outlook, with shares trading around industry price multiples. However, there are also other important factors which we haven't considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at PII? Will you have enough conviction to buy should the price fluctuate below the industry PE ratio?
您是股東嗎?市場似乎已經將PII的積極前景定價進去了,股票交易在行業估值區間。然而,還有其他重要因素,今天我們沒有考慮到,比如管理團隊的業績。這些因素自上次您對PII進行觀察以來發生了變化嗎?如果價格波動低於行業市盈率,您是否有足夠的信心買入?
Are you a potential investor? If you've been keeping tabs on PII, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around industry price multiples. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for PII, which means it's worth further examining other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.
您是潛在投資者嗎?如果您一直在關注PII,現在可能不是最合適的買入時機,因爲它的價格接近行業估值。然而,積極的前景對PII來說是鼓舞人心的,這意味着值得進一步考慮其他因素,比如其資產負債表的強度,以便在下次價格下跌時抓住機會。
Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. For example - Polaris has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.
請記住,在分析一隻股票時,值得注意其中的風險。例如,Polaris有兩個警示信號,我們認爲您應該意識到。
If you are no longer interested in Polaris, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.
如果您對Polaris不再感興趣,您可以使用我們的免費平台查看超過50只其他具有高增長潛力的股票的列表。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。