Is Zhejiang Hechuan Technology (SHSE:688320) Using Too Much Debt?
Is Zhejiang Hechuan Technology (SHSE:688320) Using Too Much Debt?
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Zhejiang Hechuan Technology Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688320) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
有人說,作爲投資者,我們應該以波動性而不是債務來思考風險,但是禾倫·巴菲特曾經說過:「波動性與風險遠非同義詞。」 當我們考慮一家公司的風險性時,我們總是喜歡看看它的債務使用情況,因爲債務超載可能導致滅亡。與許多其他公司一樣,浙江橫川科技股份有限公司(SHSE:688320)利用債務。但真正的問題是,這筆債務是否使公司具有風險。
When Is Debt A Problem?
什麼時候負債才是一個問題?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
債務對於企業來說是有幫助的,直到企業因新資本或自由現金流還清債務爲止。資本主義的一個方面是「創造性破壞」過程,銀行家們無情地清算失敗的企業。雖然這不太常見,但我們經常看到負債公司因放貸人強制它們以苦澀的價格籌集資本而永久稀釋股東。雖然債務可以取代股權稀釋,但對於需要資本以高回報率投資增長的企業來說,債務可以是一種非常有用的工具。當我們考慮公司使用債務的情況時,首先看現金和債務的總體情況。
What Is Zhejiang Hechuan Technology's Debt?
浙江橫川科技的債務是什麼?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2024 Zhejiang Hechuan Technology had debt of CN¥206.1m, up from CN¥148.2m in one year. On the flip side, it has CN¥124.4m in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥81.7m.
下面的圖像(可點擊以獲取更多詳細信息)顯示,2024年3月,浙江橫川科技的債務爲人民幣20610萬,比一年前的人民幣14820萬增加。與此相反,它擁有人民幣12440萬的現金,因此淨債務約爲人民幣8170萬。
How Healthy Is Zhejiang Hechuan Technology's Balance Sheet?
浙江合川科技的資產負債表有多健康?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Zhejiang Hechuan Technology had liabilities of CN¥483.7m due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥51.3m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥124.4m and CN¥672.1m worth of receivables due within a year. So it actually has CN¥261.4m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
根據最近公佈的資產負債表顯示,浙江合川科技有48370萬人民幣的債務到期,5130萬人民幣的長期債務。另一方面,它手頭有12440萬人民幣的現金和67210萬人民幣的應收賬款,其中一年內到期。因此,它實際擁有26140萬人民幣的流動資產多於總負債。
This short term liquidity is a sign that Zhejiang Hechuan Technology could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Zhejiang Hechuan Technology's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
這種短期流動性表明,浙江合川科技很可能可以輕鬆償還債務,因爲它的資產負債表遠未拉伸。分析債務時要着重關注資產負債表。但更重要的是未來的收入,這將判斷浙江合川科技未來能否保持健康的資產負債表。所以如果你關注未來,可以查看這份顯示分析師利潤預測的免費報告。
In the last year Zhejiang Hechuan Technology's revenue was pretty flat, and it made a negative EBIT. While that hardly impresses, its not too bad either.
在過去一年中,浙江合川科技的營業收入基本持平,而稅息前虧損。雖然這並不令人印象深刻,但也還過得去。
Caveat Emptor
買方自負。
Importantly, Zhejiang Hechuan Technology had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. Indeed, it lost CN¥8.9m at the EBIT level. Looking on the brighter side, the business has adequate liquid assets, which give it time to grow and develop before its debt becomes a near-term issue. But we'd want to see some positive free cashflow before spending much time on trying to understand the stock. This one is a bit too risky for our liking. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Zhejiang Hechuan Technology is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...
重要的是,浙江合川科技在過去一年裏稅息前虧損。的確,它在稅息前虧損了890萬人民幣。但從積極的一面看,該企業擁有足夠的流動資產,這給了它擴張和發展的時間,直到債務成爲近期問題。但我們希望在花費大量時間來理解這支股票之前能看到一些正面的自由現金流。這對我們來說有些太冒險了。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。然而,並非所有投資風險都源於資產負債表——遠非如此。請注意,我們的投資分析顯示浙江合川科技有3個警示信號,你應該知道……
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
如果您有興趣投資能夠在不負債的情況下增長利潤的企業,請查看這份免費列表,其中列出了在資產負債表上擁有淨現金的成長型企業。
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