Does Chongqing Changan Automobile (SZSE:000625) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Does Chongqing Changan Automobile (SZSE:000625) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Chongqing Changan Automobile Company Limited (SZSE:000625) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
伯克希爾哈撒韋支持的外部基金經理李錄(Charlie Munger)毫不掩飾地表示:「最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受資本的永久損失。」 當我們考慮一家公司的風險性時,我們總是喜歡看它的債務使用情況,因爲過重的債務可能導致破產。正如許多其他公司一樣,長安汽車公司(SZSE:000625)也利用了債務。但是股東們應該擔心它的債務使用嗎?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
債務何時有危險?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
債務是幫助企業成長的工具,但是如果企業無法償還其債權人,那麼它將生存在債權人的慈悲之下。 在最壞的情況下,公司如果無法償還債權人,可能會破產。 然而,一個更常見的(但仍然耗費昂貴的)情況是,一個公司必須以便宜的股價稀釋股東以方便控制債務。 然而,通過替代稀釋,債務可以成爲企業的一種極好的工具,以便爲需要以高回報率投資增長的企業提供資本。 當我們考慮一個公司使用債務時,我們首先要看現金和債務的情況。
What Is Chongqing Changan Automobile's Net Debt?
重慶長安汽車的淨債務是多少?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2024 Chongqing Changan Automobile had debt of CN¥1.21b, up from CN¥1.13b in one year. However, it does have CN¥70.2b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥69.0b.
下面的圖片(點擊可放大)顯示,截至2024年3月,重慶長安汽車的債務爲12.1億元,比一年前的11.3億元增加。然而,它有702億元的現金償還,抵消了這筆債務,導致淨現金爲690億元。
How Strong Is Chongqing Changan Automobile's Balance Sheet?
重慶長安汽車的資產負債表有多強大?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Chongqing Changan Automobile had liabilities of CN¥101.9b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥12.9b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥70.2b as well as receivables valued at CN¥38.5b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥6.09b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
從最近的資產負債表可以看出,重慶長安汽車一年內到期的負債爲1019億元,超過一年到期的負債爲129億元。與此同時,它有702億元的現金以及385億元的應收賬款,期限爲12個月內。因此,它的負債總額比現金和短期應收賬款總和多60.9億元。
Since publicly traded Chongqing Changan Automobile shares are worth a very impressive total of CN¥103.3b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Chongqing Changan Automobile boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
由於上市的重慶長安汽車股票總值爲1033億元,所以看起來這種程度的負債可能不會對其構成重大威脅。話雖如此,我們應該繼續監控其資產負債表,以防情況變得更糟。儘管有顯著的負債,但重慶長安汽車擁有淨現金,所以可以說它負債不重!
Shareholders should be aware that Chongqing Changan Automobile's EBIT was down 63% last year. If that earnings trend continues then paying off its debt will be about as easy as herding cats on to a roller coaster. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Chongqing Changan Automobile's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
股東們應該知道,重慶長安汽車去年的息稅前利潤下降了63%。如果這種盈利趨勢持續下去,償還債務將會如同把貓咪帶上過山車一樣困難。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中可以了解到最多關於債務的信息。然而,未來的盈利,更甚於其他任何因素,將決定重慶長安汽車維持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果你想知道專業人士的看法,你可能會發現分析師盈利預測的免費報告有趣。
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. While Chongqing Changan Automobile has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, Chongqing Changan Automobile actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.
最後,雖然稅務部門可能喜歡會計利潤,但債權人只接受冰冷的現金。雖然重慶長安汽車的資產負債表上有淨現金,但我們仍然應該看一下它將息稅前利潤(EBIT)轉化爲自由現金流的能力,以幫助我們了解它是如何迅速地積累(或侵蝕)現金餘額的。在過去的三年裏,重慶長安汽車實際上產生的自由現金流比EBIT更多。這種強大的現金轉換讓我們像大衆舞曲發佈時的人群那樣興奮。
Summing Up
總之
While it is always sensible to look at a company's total liabilities, it is very reassuring that Chongqing Changan Automobile has CN¥69.0b in net cash. The cherry on top was that in converted 317% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in CN¥19b. So we don't have any problem with Chongqing Changan Automobile's use of debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Chongqing Changan Automobile .
儘管查看公司的總負債是明智的,但令人放心的是,長安b現金淨額達690億人民幣。最令人欣慰的是,將這筆利潤轉化爲自由現金流,達到了EBIt的317%,帶來190億人民幣。因此,我們對長安b的債務使用沒有任何問題。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中了解債務的大部分內容。然而,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中 - 遠非如此。爲此,您應該注意我們在長安b發現的3個警示信號。
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
如果在所有這些之後,您更感興趣的是具有堅實資產負債表的快速增長公司,那麼不要拖延,查看我們的淨現金增長股票列表。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。