Shenzhen VAPEL Power Supply Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:301516) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 3.8x may not look like an appealing investment opportunity when you consider close to half the companies in the Electrical industry in China have P/S ratios below 1.9x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.
What Does Shenzhen VAPEL Power Supply Technology's Recent Performance Look Like?
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Shenzhen VAPEL Power Supply Technology over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Shenzhen VAPEL Power Supply Technology will help you shine a light on its historical performance.
How Is Shenzhen VAPEL Power Supply Technology's Revenue Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as high as Shenzhen VAPEL Power Supply Technology's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 19%. Unfortunately, that's brought it right back to where it started three years ago with revenue growth being virtually non-existent overall during that time. Therefore, it's fair to say that revenue growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.
Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 23% shows it's noticeably less attractive.
With this information, we find it concerning that Shenzhen VAPEL Power Supply Technology is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.
The Final Word
Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
Our examination of Shenzhen VAPEL Power Supply Technology revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't detracting from the P/S as much as we though, given they look worse than current industry expectations. When we observe slower-than-industry revenue growth alongside a high P/S ratio, we assume there to be a significant risk of the share price decreasing, which would result in a lower P/S ratio. Unless there is a significant improvement in the company's medium-term performance, it will be difficult to prevent the P/S ratio from declining to a more reasonable level.
It is also worth noting that we have found 4 warning signs for Shenzhen VAPEL Power Supply Technology (1 is potentially serious!) that you need to take into consideration.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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