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We Think Constellation Energy (NASDAQ:CEG) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

We Think Constellation Energy (NASDAQ:CEG) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

我們認爲Constellation Energy(納斯達克:CEG)在承擔債務方面存在一定的風險
Simply Wall St ·  15:12

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Constellation Energy Corporation (NASDAQ:CEG) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

大衛·伊本說得好,他說:「波動性不是我們關心的風險。我們關心的是避免資本的永久損失。」當你檢查公司的資產負債表的風險時,考慮它的資產負債表是很自然的,因爲企業倒閉時通常會涉及債務。重要的是,星座能源公司(納斯達克股票代碼:CEG)確實有債務。但是這筆債務是股東關心的問題嗎?

When Is Debt A Problem?

債務何時會成爲問題?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

債務是幫助企業增長的工具,但是如果企業無法還清貸款人的債務,那麼債務就任其擺佈。資本主義的組成部分是 「創造性破壞」 過程,在這種過程中,倒閉的企業被銀行家無情地清算。但是,更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司爲了控制債務,必須以低廉的股價稀釋股東。當然,債務可以成爲企業的重要工具,尤其是資本密集型企業。當我們考慮公司使用債務時,我們首先將現金和債務放在一起考慮。

What Is Constellation Energy's Net Debt?

星座能源的淨負債是多少?

As you can see below, at the end of June 2024, Constellation Energy had US$9.12b of debt, up from US$7.20b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have US$311.0m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$8.81b.

如下所示,截至2024年6月底,星座能源的債務爲91.2億美元,高於去年同期的72.0億美元。點擊圖片查看更多細節。但是,它確實有3.11億美元的現金抵消了這一點,淨負債約爲88.1億美元。

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NasdaqGS:CEG Debt to Equity History August 23rd 2024
NASDAQGS: CEG 債務與股本的比率歷史記錄 2024 年 8 月 23 日

How Healthy Is Constellation Energy's Balance Sheet?

星座能源的資產負債表有多健康?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Constellation Energy had liabilities of US$5.80b due within 12 months and liabilities of US$33.8b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$311.0m as well as receivables valued at US$2.79b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$36.5b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

放大最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到,Constellation Energy在12個月內到期的負債爲58.0億美元,之後到期的負債爲338億美元。除了這些債務外,它還有3.11億美元的現金以及價值27.9億美元的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,其負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款的總額高出365億美元。

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Constellation Energy has a huge market capitalization of US$61.5b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

儘管這可能看起來很多,但還不錯,因爲Constellation Energy的市值高達615億美元,因此如果需要,它可能會通過籌集資金來加強其資產負債表。但很明顯,我們一定要仔細研究它能否在不稀釋的情況下管理債務。

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

爲了擴大公司相對於收益的負債規模,我們計算其淨負債除以利息、稅項、折舊和攤銷前的收益(EBITDA),將其利息和稅前收益(EBIT)除以利息支出(利息保障)。這樣,我們既考慮債務的絕對數量,也考慮爲債務支付的利率。

Constellation Energy's net debt is sitting at a very reasonable 1.6 times its EBITDA, while its EBIT covered its interest expense just 5.7 times last year. While these numbers do not alarm us, it's worth noting that the cost of the company's debt is having a real impact. Notably, Constellation Energy's EBIT launched higher than Elon Musk, gaining a whopping 582% on last year. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Constellation Energy can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

去年,Constellation Energy的淨負債相當合理,爲其息稅折舊攤銷前利潤的1.6倍,而其息稅前利潤僅爲利息支出的5.7倍。儘管這些數字並沒有使我們感到震驚,但值得注意的是,公司的債務成本正在產生實際影響。值得注意的是,Constellation Energy的息稅前利潤高於埃隆·馬斯克,比去年增長了582%。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但最終,該業務未來的盈利能力將決定Constellation Energy能否隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。因此,如果您專注於未來,可以查看這份顯示分析師利潤預測的免費報告。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, Constellation Energy burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

最後,公司只能用冷硬現金償還債務,不能用會計利潤償還債務。因此,我們總是檢查該息稅前利潤中有多少轉化爲自由現金流。在過去的三年中,星座能源消耗了大量現金。儘管投資者無疑預計這種情況將在適當的時候逆轉,但這顯然意味着其使用債務的風險更大。

Our View

我們的觀點

Neither Constellation Energy's ability to convert EBIT to free cash flow nor its level of total liabilities gave us confidence in its ability to take on more debt. But the good news is it seems to be able to grow its EBIT with ease. It's also worth noting that Constellation Energy is in the Electric Utilities industry, which is often considered to be quite defensive. We think that Constellation Energy's debt does make it a bit risky, after considering the aforementioned data points together. Not all risk is bad, as it can boost share price returns if it pays off, but this debt risk is worth keeping in mind. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Constellation Energy that you should be aware of before investing here.

Constellation Energy將息稅前利潤轉換爲自由現金流的能力及其總負債水平都沒有使我們對其承擔更多債務的能力充滿信心。但好消息是,它似乎能夠輕鬆增長其息稅前利潤。還值得注意的是,Constellation Energy屬於電力公用事業行業,人們通常認爲該行業具有很強的防禦性。綜合考慮上述數據點後,我們認爲Constellation Energy的債務確實使其有點風險。並非所有風險都是壞的,因爲如果得到回報,它可以提高股價回報,但是這種債務風險值得牢記。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。例如,我們發現了Constellation Energy的兩個警告信號,在投資這裏之前,你應該注意這些信號。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

畢竟,如果你對一家資產負債表堅如磐石的快速成長型公司更感興趣,那麼請立即查看我們的淨現金增長股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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