Those holding Hony Media Group (HKG:419) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 29% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 26% in the last twelve months.
Even after such a large jump in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Hony Media Group's P/S ratio of 0.9x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Hospitality industry in Hong Kong is also close to 0.6x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.
SEHK:419 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 23rd 2024
What Does Hony Media Group's Recent Performance Look Like?
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Hony Media Group over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to put the disappointing revenue performance behind them over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from falling. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Hony Media Group, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Hony Media Group would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 15% decrease to the company's top line. Spectacularly, three year revenue growth has ballooned by several orders of magnitude, despite the drawbacks experienced in the last 12 months. Accordingly, shareholders will be pleased, but also have some serious questions to ponder about the last 12 months.
Comparing that to the industry, which is only predicted to deliver 17% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is stronger based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.
With this information, we find it interesting that Hony Media Group is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.
The Key Takeaway
Its shares have lifted substantially and now Hony Media Group's P/S is back within range of the industry median. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
To our surprise, Hony Media Group revealed its three-year revenue trends aren't contributing to its P/S as much as we would have predicted, given they look better than current industry expectations. When we see strong revenue with faster-than-industry growth, we can only assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/S ratio. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued if recent medium-term revenue trends continue, but investors seem to think future revenue could see some volatility.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Hony Media Group (1 is a bit unpleasant) you should be aware of.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content?Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
持有Hony Media Group(HKG:419)股票的人會爲股價在過去三十天回升了29%而感到欣慰,但它需要繼續走高以修復近期對投資者投資組合造成的損害。並非所有股東都會感到歡欣,因爲股價在過去十二個月仍然下跌了令人非常失望的26%。
即使股價大幅上漲後,您可能對Hony Media Group的市銷率達到0.9倍感到漠不關心,因爲香港酒店行業的中位數市銷率約爲0.6倍。然而,如果沒有市銷率的合理基礎,投資者可能正在忽視一個明顯的機會或潛在的挫折。
SEHK:419市銷率vs行業板塊2024年8月23日
Hony Media Group最近的表現如何?
以示例,Hony Media Group的營業收入在過去一年裏出現了惡化,這一點都不理想。許多人可能期望該公司能在未來一段時間內擺脫令人失望的營業收入表現,這一點使市銷率沒有下降。如果您喜歡這家公司,至少希望情況是如此,這樣您就可以在它不太受青睞的時候買入一些股票。
儘管關於Hony Media Group沒有分析師預測,但請查看這個免費的數據豐富的可視化圖表,了解該公司在收入、營業收入和現金流方面的表現。
其股票價格大幅上漲,現在Hony Media Group 的市銷率又回到了行業中位數的範圍內。一般來說,我們更傾向於把市銷率的使用限制在了解市場對公司整體健康狀況的看法上。
令我們驚訝的是,Hony Media Group 揭示的其三年的營業收入趨勢對其市銷率的影響沒有我們預測的那麼大,儘管這些趨勢看起來比當前的行業預期要好。當我們看到強勁的營業收入和超過行業增長的速度時,我們只能假設潛在風險對市銷率造成了壓力。至少,如果最近的中期營業收入趨勢持續下去,股價下跌的風險似乎被抑制了,但投資者似乎認爲未來的營業收入可能會有一些波動。
不要忘記還可能存在其他風險。例如,我們已經發現了2個Hony Media Group的警示信號(其中1個有點不愉快),你應該注意。