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Zhangzhou Pientzehuang Pharmaceutical's (SHSE:600436) Profits May Not Reveal Underlying Issues

Zhangzhou Pientzehuang Pharmaceutical's (SHSE:600436) Profits May Not Reveal Underlying Issues

片仔癀製藥(SHSE:600436)的利潤可能沒有揭示其中的潛在問題
Simply Wall St ·  08/23 19:19

Zhangzhou Pientzehuang Pharmaceutical., Ltd's (SHSE:600436) healthy profit numbers didn't contain any surprises for investors. We believe that shareholders have noticed some concerning factors beyond the statutory profit numbers.

片仔癀製藥有限公司(SHSE:600436)健康的利潤數字對投資者來說並沒有什麼意外。我們認爲股東已經注意到了一些超出法定利潤數字的令人擔憂的因素。

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SHSE:600436 Earnings and Revenue History August 23rd 2024
SHSE:600436盈利和營業收入歷史數據(2024年8月23日)

A Closer Look At Zhangzhou Pientzehuang Pharmaceutical's Earnings

細看片仔癀製藥的盈利狀況

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

在高級財務中,用來衡量公司將報告的利潤轉換爲自由現金流(FCF)的主要比率是應計比率(來自現金流量表)。該應計比率從給定期間的FCF中減去利潤,並將結果除以該時間段內公司的平均營運資產。你可以將應計比率從現金流量表視爲「非自由現金流利潤比率」。

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

這意味着負的計提率是件好事,因爲它表明該公司所帶來的自由現金流比其利潤所顯示的要多。雖然高於零的計提率沒有什麼大礙,但我們認爲當公司的計提率相對較高時值得注意。這是因爲一些學術研究表明,高計提率往往導致利潤更少或者更少的利潤增長。

For the year to June 2024, Zhangzhou Pientzehuang Pharmaceutical had an accrual ratio of 0.38. Ergo, its free cash flow is significantly weaker than its profit. Statistically speaking, that's a real negative for future earnings. In fact, it had free cash flow of CN¥1.1b in the last year, which was a lot less than its statutory profit of CN¥2.98b. Zhangzhou Pientzehuang Pharmaceutical's free cash flow actually declined over the last year, but it may bounce back next year, since free cash flow is often more volatile than accounting profits. The good news for shareholders is that Zhangzhou Pientzehuang Pharmaceutical's accrual ratio was much better last year, so this year's poor reading might simply be a case of a short term mismatch between profit and FCF. As a result, some shareholders may be looking for stronger cash conversion in the current year.

截至2024年6月,片仔癀製藥的賬面比例爲0.38。因此,其自由現金流比利潤要弱得多。從統計學角度來看,這對未來的盈利是一個真正的負面因素。事實上,去年它的自由現金流僅爲11億元,遠低於其法定利潤的298億元。片仔癀製藥的自由現金流在過去一年實際上有所下降,但明年可能會反彈,因爲自由現金流通常比會計利潤更加波動。對股東來說,好消息是片仔癀製藥去年的賬面比例要好得多,所以今年的糟糕數據可能只是利潤和自由現金流之間的短期不匹配。因此,一些股東可能在今年尋找更強的現金轉化率。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

這可能會讓您想知道分析師對未來盈利能力的預測。幸運的是,您可以單擊此處查看基於其估計的未來盈利能力的互動圖表。

Our Take On Zhangzhou Pientzehuang Pharmaceutical's Profit Performance

關於片仔癀醫藥的盈利表現我們的看法

As we have made quite clear, we're a bit worried that Zhangzhou Pientzehuang Pharmaceutical didn't back up the last year's profit with free cashflow. As a result, we think it may well be the case that Zhangzhou Pientzehuang Pharmaceutical's underlying earnings power is lower than its statutory profit. But at least holders can take some solace from the 55% per annum growth in EPS for the last three. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. If you want to do dive deeper into Zhangzhou Pientzehuang Pharmaceutical, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. When we did our research, we found 2 warning signs for Zhangzhou Pientzehuang Pharmaceutical (1 is concerning!) that we believe deserve your full attention.

正如我們已經明確表示的那樣,我們有點擔心片仔癀醫藥去年的利潤沒有得到自由現金流的支持。因此,我們認爲片仔癀醫藥的基本盈利能力可能低於其法定利潤。但至少股東可以從過去三年每股收益增長55%的增長中獲得些許安慰。歸根結底,如果您想正確了解公司,重要的是要考慮不僅僅是上述因素。如果您想更深入地了解片仔癀醫藥,您還需要了解它當前面臨的風險。在我們的調研中,我們發現片仔癀醫藥有2個警示信號(其中1個令人擔憂!)我們認爲這值得您充分注意。

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Zhangzhou Pientzehuang Pharmaceutical's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

這則說明只是關注了一項能夠揭示片仔癀醫藥盈利本質的因素。但是還有很多其他方法可以了解一個公司。有些人認爲股權回報率高的公司是質量良好的標誌。雖然這可能需要您進行一些研究,但您可能會發現這份免費的高股權回報率公司收集,或者這份持有大量內部股份的股票清單會對您有所幫助。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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