Shenzhen VMAX New Energy's (SHSE:688612) Earnings Are Weaker Than They Seem
Shenzhen VMAX New Energy's (SHSE:688612) Earnings Are Weaker Than They Seem
Shenzhen VMAX New Energy Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:688612) robust earnings report didn't manage to move the market for its stock. We did some digging, and we found some concerning factors in the details.
深圳新能母基有限公司(SHSE:688612)強勁的盈利報告未能推動其股票的市場。我們進行了一些調查,並在細節中發現了一些令人擔憂的因素。
Examining Cashflow Against Shenzhen VMAX New Energy's Earnings
審查深圳新能母基的現金流與盈利相比
One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.
用於衡量公司將其利潤轉化爲自由現金流(FCF)的一項關鍵財務比率是應計比率。要獲得應計比率,我們首先將某一時期的FCF從利潤中減去,然後將該數字除以該時期平均經營資產。您可以將來自現金流的應計比率視爲「非FCF獲利比例」。
Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".
因此,當公司的應計比率爲負時,實際上是一件好事,但如果其應計比率爲正,則是一件壞事。雖然應計比率爲零以上的事情無關緊要,但我們認爲當公司的應計比率相對較高時,值得注意。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年發表的一篇論文:「應計越高的公司未來利潤率越低」。
For the year to June 2024, Shenzhen VMAX New Energy had an accrual ratio of 0.43. As a general rule, that bodes poorly for future profitability. And indeed, during the period the company didn't produce any free cash flow whatsoever. Even though it reported a profit of CN¥506.3m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CN¥79m in the last year. We also note that Shenzhen VMAX New Energy's free cash flow was actually negative last year as well, so we could understand if shareholders were bothered by its outflow of CN¥79m.
2024年6月止的一年時間裏,深圳新能母基的應計比例爲0.43。通常情況下,這對未來的盈利能力不利。事實上,在這段時間內,該公司根本沒有產生任何自由現金流。儘管它報告了人民幣50630萬的利潤,但自由現金流的情況顯示,該公司實際上在過去一年裏虧損了人民幣7900萬。我們還注意到,深圳新能母基去年的自由現金流實際上也是負的,所以我們可以理解如果股東對其7900萬人民幣的流出感到困擾。
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
這可能會讓您想知道分析師對未來盈利能力的預測。幸運的是,您可以單擊此處查看基於其估計的未來盈利能力的互動圖表。
Our Take On Shenzhen VMAX New Energy's Profit Performance
我們對深圳華量新能源盈利表現的觀點
As we discussed above, we think Shenzhen VMAX New Energy's earnings were not supported by free cash flow, which might concern some investors. For this reason, we think that Shenzhen VMAX New Energy's statutory profits may be a bad guide to its underlying earnings power, and might give investors an overly positive impression of the company. But on the bright side, its earnings per share have grown at an extremely impressive rate over the last three years. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. If you'd like to know more about Shenzhen VMAX New Energy as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Shenzhen VMAX New Energy (including 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable).
正如我們上面討論的,我們認爲深圳華量新能源的盈利不由自由現金流支持,這可能會讓一些投資者感到擔憂。因此,我們認爲深圳華量新能源的法定利潤可能不能正確反映其基本盈利能力,並可能給投資者一種過於樂觀的印象。但是,好的方面是,其每股盈利在過去三年中增長了一個極爲令人印象深刻的速度。歸根結底,如果您想正確了解該公司,不僅僅要考慮以上因素。如果您想更了解作爲一家企業的深圳華量新能源,了解其面臨的任何風險非常重要。爲此,您應該了解我們在深圳華量新能源發現的2個警示信號(其中有一個使我們有些不舒服)。
Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Shenzhen VMAX New Energy's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.
今天,我們聚焦一項數據點,以更好地了解深圳華量新能源的利潤性質。但是,如果您能專注於細枝末節,還有很多可以發現的。例如,許多人認爲高股本回報是良好商業經濟的指標,而其他人則喜歡「追蹤資金」,尋找內部人員正在購買的股票。雖然這可能需要您做一些研究,但您可能會發現這個免費的高股本回報公司集合或者這個擁有重要內部持股的股票清單很有用。
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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。