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Huadong Medicine Co., Ltd's (SZSE:000963) Fundamentals Look Pretty Strong: Could The Market Be Wrong About The Stock?

Huadong Medicine Co., Ltd's (SZSE:000963) Fundamentals Look Pretty Strong: Could The Market Be Wrong About The Stock?

華東醫藥有限公司(SZSE:000963)的基本面看起來相當強勁:市場對該股是否存在錯誤看法?
Simply Wall St ·  08/24 20:49

It is hard to get excited after looking at Huadong Medicine's (SZSE:000963) recent performance, when its stock has declined 4.9% over the past three months. However, stock prices are usually driven by a company's financials over the long term, which in this case look pretty respectable. In this article, we decided to focus on Huadong Medicine's ROE.

華東醫藥(SZSE:000963)最近表現不佳,股價在過去三個月下跌了4.9%,這讓人難以激動起來。然而,股價通常受到公司長期的財務情況的影響,在這種情況下,華東醫藥的財務情況看起來相當可觀。在本文中,我們決定關注華東醫藥的roe。

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

股東權益回報率ROE是測試公司增值能力和管理股東投資的有效性的指標。更簡單地說,它衡量公司在股東權益中的盈利能力。

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

怎樣計算ROE?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

股東權益報酬率可以使用以下公式計算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

淨資產收益率 = 淨利潤(從持續經營中獲得)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Huadong Medicine is:

因此,根據上述公式,華東醫藥的roe爲13%。

14% = CN¥3.1b ÷ CN¥22b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).

14% = CN¥31億 ÷ CN¥220億(基於截至2024年6月的過去十二個月).

The 'return' is the yearly profit. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CN¥1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CN¥0.14 in profit.

「回報」是每年的利潤。一個理解這個概念的方法是,對於每1元的股東資本,公司獲得了0.14元的利潤。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

ROE爲什麼對淨利潤增長很重要?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

到目前爲止,我們已經了解到ROE衡量了公司有效地利用其利潤的能力。根據公司再投資或「保留」的利潤量以及公司再投資利潤的效果,我們就能評估公司的盈利增長潛力。一般來說,其他條件相同,ROE高和盈利保留公司的成長率比沒有這些屬性的公司更高。

Huadong Medicine's Earnings Growth And 14% ROE

華東醫藥的盈利增長和14%的roe

To begin with, Huadong Medicine seems to have a respectable ROE. Further, the company's ROE compares quite favorably to the industry average of 6.4%. However, we are curious as to how the high returns still resulted in flat growth for Huadong Medicine in the past five years. Based on this, we feel that there might be other reasons which haven't been discussed so far in this article that could be hampering the company's growth. Such as, the company pays out a huge portion of its earnings as dividends, or is faced with competitive pressures.

首先,華東醫藥的roe似乎是可觀的。此外,該公司的roe與行業平均水平6.4%相比相當有利。然而,我們對過去五年華東醫藥高回報卻導致增長平穩的原因感到好奇。根據這一點,我們覺得可能還有其他原因在這篇文章中尚未討論,可能影響了該公司的增長。例如,該公司將其收益的一大部分作爲股息支付,或者面臨競爭壓力。

As a next step, we compared Huadong Medicine's net income growth with the industry and discovered that the industry saw an average growth of 5.1% in the same period.

作爲下一步,我們將華東醫藥的淨利潤增長與行業進行了比較,發現行業在同一時期的平均增長率爲5.1%。

1724546983245
SZSE:000963 Past Earnings Growth August 25th 2024
SZSE:000963 過去的盈利增長 2024年8月25日

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. If you're wondering about Huadong Medicine's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

給公司附加價值的基礎在很大程度上與其盈利增長相關。投資者需要判斷的是預期的盈利增長是否已經反映在股價中,這有助於他們判斷股票未來是光明還是暗淡。如果你想了解華東醫藥的估值,請查看其市盈率的表現,與同行業相比。

Is Huadong Medicine Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

華東醫藥是否有效利用了保留利潤?

Huadong Medicine has a low three-year median payout ratio of 21% (or a retention ratio of 79%) but the negligible earnings growth number doesn't reflect this as high growth usually follows high profit retention.

華東醫藥的三年中位數派息比率爲21%(或留存比率爲79%),但微不足道的盈利增長數字並未反映出這一點,因爲通常高利潤留存會在高增長之後出現。

Additionally, Huadong Medicine has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years, which means that the company's management is determined to pay dividends even if it means little to no earnings growth. Looking at the current analyst consensus data, we can see that the company's future payout ratio is expected to rise to 33% over the next three years. However, the company's ROE is not expected to change by much despite the higher expected payout ratio.

此外,華東醫藥在至少十年的時間內支付了股息,這意味着公司管理層決心支付股息,即使這意味着幾乎沒有盈利增長。從當前分析師共識數據來看,我們可以看到公司未來的派息比率預計將在未來三年上升到33%。然而,儘管預期派息比率較高,公司的roe預計變化不大。

Conclusion

結論

In total, it does look like Huadong Medicine has some positive aspects to its business. However, given the high ROE and high profit retention, we would expect the company to be delivering strong earnings growth, but that isn't the case here. This suggests that there might be some external threat to the business, that's hampering its growth. Having said that, looking at current analyst estimates, we found that the company's earnings growth rate is expected to see a huge improvement. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

總的來看,華東醫藥的業務確實有一些積極因素。然而,考慮到高ROE和高利潤保留,我們本希望公司能夠交出強勁的盈利增長,但事實並非如此。這表明可能存在一些外部威脅,阻礙了其增長。即便如此,根據目前的分析師預測,我們發現公司的盈利增長率預計將會有巨大改善。這些分析師的預期是基於行業廣泛預期,還是基於公司的基本面?點擊這裏查看我們的分析師預測頁面。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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