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We Think Shenzhen Urban Transport Planning Center (SZSE:301091) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

We Think Shenzhen Urban Transport Planning Center (SZSE:301091) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

我們認爲深圳城市交通規劃中心(SZSE:301091)可以應對其債務問題。
Simply Wall St ·  08/24 21:02

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Shenzhen Urban Transport Planning Center Co., Ltd. (SZSE:301091) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

巴菲特投資的外部基金經理、李錄(Li Lu)坦言,"最大的投資風險不是價格波動,而是你是否會遭受永久性的資本損失。" 當我們考慮一家公司的風險時,我們總是喜歡看它的負債使用情況,因爲負債過大會導致滅亡。 我們可以看到深圳市城市交通規劃中心有限公司(SZSE:301091)在業務中確實使用了債務。 但這筆債務是否會讓股東擔憂呢?

When Is Debt A Problem?

什麼時候負債才是一個問題?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

債務是幫助企業增長的一種工具,但如果一個企業無法償還債務,那麼它就完全受制於債權人。如果情況變得非常糟糕,債權人可以接管企業。然而,一個更常見的(但仍然痛苦的)情況是,企業不得不以低價籌集新的股權資本,從而永久性地稀釋股東的股份。當然,債務可以成爲企業的重要工具,特別是重資產的企業。當我們考慮一個公司的債務使用時,首先看的是現金和債務的總和。

What Is Shenzhen Urban Transport Planning Center's Net Debt?

深圳市城市交通規劃中心的淨債務是多少?

As you can see below, Shenzhen Urban Transport Planning Center had CN¥49.3m of debt at March 2024, down from CN¥70.9m a year prior. But it also has CN¥987.2m in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥937.9m net cash.

如下圖所示,到2024年3月,深圳市城市交通規劃中心負債4930萬人民幣,較一年前的7090萬人民幣減少。 但它還有98720萬人民幣的現金來抵消這筆債務,意味着它的淨現金爲93790萬人民幣。

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SZSE:301091 Debt to Equity History August 25th 2024
SZSE:301091資產負債率歷史數據2024年8月25日

How Strong Is Shenzhen Urban Transport Planning Center's Balance Sheet?

深圳市城市交通規劃中心的資產負債表有多強?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Shenzhen Urban Transport Planning Center had liabilities of CN¥708.3m falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥93.8m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥987.2m as well as receivables valued at CN¥1.14b due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥1.33b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

從最近的資產負債表中,我們可以看到深圳市城市交通規劃中心有短期到期的負債爲70830萬人民幣,以及超過一年到期的負債爲9380萬人民幣。 抵消這些義務,它有98720萬人民幣的現金以及價值114億人民幣的應收賬款,其中12個月內到期。 因此,它實際上比總負債多出13.3億人民幣的流動資產。

This surplus suggests that Shenzhen Urban Transport Planning Center has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. Succinctly put, Shenzhen Urban Transport Planning Center boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

這份盈餘表明深圳市城市交通規劃中心的資產負債表比較保守,可能可以輕鬆清除債務。 簡而言之,深圳市城市交通規劃中心擁有淨現金,所以可以說它沒有沉重的債務負擔!

In addition to that, we're happy to report that Shenzhen Urban Transport Planning Center has boosted its EBIT by 45%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Shenzhen Urban Transport Planning Center can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

除此之外,我們很高興地宣佈,深圳市城市交通規劃中心已經將其EBIt增加了45%,從而降低了未來債務償還的威脅。 毫無疑問,我們通過資產負債表了解債務的大部分情況。 但最終業務的未來盈利能力將決定深圳市城市交通規劃中心是否能夠隨着時間加強其資產負債表。 因此,如果您專注於未來,您可以查看這份顯示分析師盈利預測的免費報告。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. Shenzhen Urban Transport Planning Center may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last three years, Shenzhen Urban Transport Planning Center burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

但是,我們的最終考慮也很重要,因爲公司不能用紙面利潤償還債務;它需要現實的冷硬現金。 深圳市城市交通規劃中心在資產負債表上可能有淨現金,但查看業務如何將其息稅前利潤(EBIT)轉化爲自由現金流仍然很有趣,因爲這將影響其管理債務的需要和能力。 在過去的三年中,深圳市城市交通規劃中心消耗了大量現金。 雖然投資者無疑期待該情況很快逆轉,但這顯然意味着其債務的使用更加風險。

Summing Up

總之

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Shenzhen Urban Transport Planning Center has net cash of CN¥937.9m, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. And it impressed us with its EBIT growth of 45% over the last year. So we don't have any problem with Shenzhen Urban Transport Planning Center's use of debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Shenzhen Urban Transport Planning Center (1 is significant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

雖然我們對發現債務令投資者感到同情,但你應該記住深圳市城市交通規劃中心擁有人民幣93790萬元的淨現金,以及比負債更多的流動資產。過去一年內,其EBIT增長了45%,給我們留下了深刻的印象。因此,我們對深圳市城市交通規劃中心使用債務並不感到擔憂。在分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是需要關注的區域。但最終,每家公司都可能存在超越資產負債表之外的風險。例如,我們發現了深圳市城市交通規劃中心的2個警示信號(其中1個非常重要!)在你投資之前,你應該意識到這些風險。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果您有興趣投資能夠在不負債的情況下增長利潤的企業,請查看這份免費列表,其中列出了在資產負債表上擁有淨現金的成長型企業。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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