We Think Seatrium (SGX:5E2) Has A Fair Chunk Of Debt
We Think Seatrium (SGX:5E2) Has A Fair Chunk Of Debt
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Seatrium Limited (SGX:5E2) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
由伯克希爾·哈撒韋公司的查理·芒格支持的外部基金經理李露對此毫不掩飾,他說:「最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久的資本損失。」因此,當你評估公司的風險時,看來聰明的貨幣知道債務(通常涉及破產)是一個非常重要的因素。重要的是,Seatrium Limited(新加坡證券交易所股票代碼:5E2)確實有債務。但更重要的問題是:這筆債務會帶來多大的風險?
When Is Debt A Problem?
債務何時會成爲問題?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
一般而言,只有當公司無法通過籌集資金或用自己的現金流輕鬆還清債務時,債務才會成爲真正的問題。在最壞的情況下,如果公司無法向債權人付款,它可能會破產。但是,更常見(但仍然令人痛苦)的情況是,它必須以低廉的價格籌集新的股本,從而永久稀釋股東。當然,許多公司使用債務爲增長提供資金,而不會產生任何負面影響。當我們考慮公司使用債務時,我們首先將現金和債務放在一起考慮。
What Is Seatrium's Net Debt?
Seatrium 的淨負債是多少?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Seatrium had S$3.44b of debt in June 2024, down from S$3.72b, one year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of S$1.64b, its net debt is less, at about S$1.81b.
你可以點擊下圖查看歷史數字,但它顯示Seatrium在2024年6月的債務爲34.4億新元,低於一年前的37.2億新元。但是,由於其現金儲備爲16.4億新元,其淨負債有所減少,約爲18.1億新元。
A Look At Seatrium's Liabilities
看看 Seatrium 的負債
The latest balance sheet data shows that Seatrium had liabilities of S$7.76b due within a year, and liabilities of S$3.97b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of S$1.64b as well as receivables valued at S$6.51b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling S$3.57b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
最新的資產負債表數據顯示,Seatrium的負債爲77.6億新元,之後到期的負債爲39.7億新元。除這些債務外,它有16.4億新元的現金以及價值651億新元的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,它的負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款的總和多出35.7億新元。
This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of S$5.04b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Seatrium's use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Seatrium's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
相對於其50.4億新元的市值,這一赤字相當可觀,因此這確實表明股東應密切關注Seatrium的債務使用情況。如果其貸款人要求其支撐資產負債表,股東可能會面臨嚴重的稀釋。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但是,未來的收益將決定Seatrium未來維持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果您專注於未來,可以查看這份顯示分析師利潤預測的免費報告。
Over 12 months, Seatrium reported revenue of S$8.4b, which is a gain of 125%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. So its pretty obvious shareholders are hoping for more growth!
在過去的12個月中,Seatrium公佈的收入爲84億新元,增長了125%,儘管它沒有報告任何利息和稅前收益。因此,很明顯,股東們希望獲得更多的增長!
Caveat Emptor
Caveat Emptor
While we can certainly appreciate Seatrium's revenue growth, its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is not ideal. Indeed, it lost S$75m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. Another cause for caution is that is bled S$435m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So suffice it to say we consider the stock very risky. For riskier companies like Seatrium I always like to keep an eye on the long term profit and revenue trends. Fortunately, you can click to see our interactive graph of its profit, revenue, and operating cashflow.
儘管我們當然可以理解Seatrium的收入增長,但其息稅前收益(EBIT)虧損並不理想。事實上,它在息稅前利潤水平上損失了7500萬新元。考慮到除了上述負債外,我們對公司應該使用如此多的債務沒有太大的信心。坦率地說,我們認爲資產負債表遠非匹配,儘管可以隨着時間的推移而改善。另一個需要謹慎的原因是,在過去的十二個月中,自由現金流出現了4.35億新元的負自由現金流。因此,只要說我們認爲這隻股票風險很高就足夠了。對於像Seatrium這樣的風險較高的公司,我總是喜歡關注長期的利潤和收入趨勢。幸運的是,您可以點擊查看我們的利潤、收入和運營現金流的交互式圖表。
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
如果你有興趣投資能夠在沒有債務負擔的情況下增加利潤的企業,請查看這份資產負債表上有淨現金的成長型企業的免費清單。
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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。