You may think that with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.2x CIG ShangHai Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603083) is a stock worth checking out, seeing as almost half of all the Communications companies in China have P/S ratios greater than 3.8x and even P/S higher than 7x aren't out of the ordinary. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
How CIG ShangHai Has Been Performing
For instance, CIG ShangHai's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/S is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader industry in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for CIG ShangHai, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For CIG ShangHai?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like CIG ShangHai's to be considered reasonable.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 24%. This has soured the latest three-year period, which nevertheless managed to deliver a decent 13% overall rise in revenue. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 47% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.
With this in consideration, it's easy to understand why CIG ShangHai's P/S falls short of the mark set by its industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
The Final Word
Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
As we suspected, our examination of CIG ShangHai revealed its three-year revenue trends are contributing to its low P/S, given they look worse than current industry expectations. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price experience a reversal of fortunes anytime soon.
It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for CIG ShangHai that you need to take into consideration.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on CIG ShangHai, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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