Shenzhen Jdd Tech New Material's (SZSE:301538) Promising Earnings May Rest On Soft Foundations
Shenzhen Jdd Tech New Material's (SZSE:301538) Promising Earnings May Rest On Soft Foundations
Despite announcing strong earnings, Shenzhen Jdd Tech New Material Co., Ltd's (SZSE:301538) stock was sluggish. Our analysis uncovered some concerning factors that we believe the market might be paying attention to.
儘管宣佈了強勁的盈利,但深圳捷達德科技新材料股份有限公司(SZSE:301538)的股票走勢疲軟。我們的分析發現了一些令人擔憂的因素,我們相信市場可能會關注這些因素。
Examining Cashflow Against Shenzhen Jdd Tech New Material's Earnings
分析現金流與深圳捷達德科技新材料收益對比
In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.
在高金融中,用於衡量公司將報告的利潤轉化爲自由現金流(FCF)的關鍵比率是計提比率(從現金流量中)。要獲取計提比率,我們首先需要將一個期間的自由現金流減去利潤,然後將該數字除以該期間的平均營運資產。這個比率告訴我們公司的利潤超過了其FCF。
That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.
這意味着負的應計比率是一件好事,因爲它表明公司帶來的自由現金流比其利潤所顯示的更多。雖然擁有正的應計比率並不是問題,表明一定程度的非現金利潤,但高應計比率可能是一件壞事,因爲這表明紙面利潤不能得到現金流支持。這是因爲一些學術研究表明,高應計比率往往導致較低的利潤或利潤增長率。
For the year to June 2024, Shenzhen Jdd Tech New Material had an accrual ratio of 0.34. We can therefore deduce that its free cash flow fell well short of covering its statutory profit, suggesting we might want to think twice before putting a lot of weight on the latter. Even though it reported a profit of CN¥169.0m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CN¥37m in the last year. It's worth noting that Shenzhen Jdd Tech New Material generated positive FCF of CN¥17m a year ago, so at least they've done it in the past.
截至2024年6月,深圳捷達德科技新材料的應計比率爲0.34。因此我們可以推斷其自由現金流遠遠不足以覆蓋其法定利潤,這意味着我們在給予後者很大重視之前可能需要三思。雖然其報告了1.69億人民幣的利潤,但查看自由現金流表明它實際上在過去一年中燒掉了0.37億人民幣。值得注意的是,深圳捷達德科技新材料在一年前產生了0.17億人民幣的正自由現金流,所以至少他們過去做到了。
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Shenzhen Jdd Tech New Material.
注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。單擊此處進入我們對深圳捷達德科技新材料財務狀況的分析。
Our Take On Shenzhen Jdd Tech New Material's Profit Performance
關於深圳捷迪德科技新材料利潤表現的看法
As we have made quite clear, we're a bit worried that Shenzhen Jdd Tech New Material didn't back up the last year's profit with free cashflow. For this reason, we think that Shenzhen Jdd Tech New Material's statutory profits may be a bad guide to its underlying earnings power, and might give investors an overly positive impression of the company. But on the bright side, its earnings per share have grown at an extremely impressive rate over the last three years. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. If you want to do dive deeper into Shenzhen Jdd Tech New Material, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. While conducting our analysis, we found that Shenzhen Jdd Tech New Material has 2 warning signs and it would be unwise to ignore them.
正如我們已經明確表明的那樣,我們有點擔心深圳捷迪德科技新材料沒有用自由現金流支撐去年的利潤。因此,我們認爲深圳捷迪德科技新材料的法定利潤可能不能很好地反映其潛在盈利能力,並可能給投資者過分樂觀的印象。但值得一提的是,其每股收益在過去三年增長速度非常令人印象深刻。本文的目標是評估我們能否依賴法定收益來反映公司的潛力,但還有很多要考慮的地方。如果您想更深入地了解深圳捷迪德科技新材料,還需了解它目前面臨的風險。在進行分析時,我們發現深圳捷迪德科技新材料有2個警示信號,忽視它們是不明智的。
This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Shenzhen Jdd Tech New Material's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
本說明僅觀察了揭示深圳捷迪德科技新材料利潤本質的一個因素。但如果您能夠將注意力集中在細枝末節上,總會有更多發現。一些人認爲股東權益回報率高是優質企業的良好跡象。因此,您可能希望查看這些擁有高股東權益回報率的公司的免費收藏,或者這些擁有高內部持股的股票清單。
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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。