The 2 Technical Analysis Scenarios For Bitcoin (And Why Ethereum Just Can't Catch A Break)
The 2 Technical Analysis Scenarios For Bitcoin (And Why Ethereum Just Can't Catch A Break)
Technical analyst CryptoCred offered insights into Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) and Ethereum (CRYPTO: ETH) price action, emphasizing the importance of futures data and market structure in crypto trading.
加密貨幣分析師CryptoCred提供了有關比特幣(加密貨幣:BTC)和以太幣(加密貨幣:ETH)價格走勢的見解,強調了期貨數據和市場結構在加密貨幣交易中的重要性。
What Happened: In the latest episode of "Monday Markets," CryptoCred noted a jump in Bitcoin's futures market quarterly to around 8%-9% annualized, which he considers "not too crazy." He emphasizes the importance of using multiple indicators to form a coherent picture of market conditions. The analyst highlights two potential scenarios for Bitcoin:
在最新一期的"星期一市場"中,CryptoCred指出比特幣期貨市場季度年化率上漲到了8%-9%,他認爲這"並不算太瘋狂"。他強調使用多個因子來形成市場狀況的連貫圖像的重要性。分析師強調了比特幣可能出現的兩種潛在情景:
1. A "steepening trend" with increasing open interest and squashed funding rates, potentially signalling fresh shorts entering the market.
1. "擴展趨勢"的出現,伴隨着增加的持倉量和被擠壓的資金費率,可能預示着新空頭進入市場。
2. Price moving lower with increasing open interest and rising funding rates, suggesting aggressive longs buying the dip with leverage.
2. 價格下跌,伴隨着增加的持倉量和上升的資金費率,表明有槓桿的多頭在買入跌勢。
From January 2024, open interest surged from around $19 billion to $33 billion currently. CryptoCred stresses the importance of context, stating, "You must use them together to come to sort of coherent picture."
自2024年1月以來,持倉量從約190億上漲到目前的330億。CryptoCred強調了情境的重要性,稱"你必須將它們結合起來,形成一種連貫的圖景。"
On Bitcoin's technical analysis, he notes the weekly timeframe showing a bearish market structure but with "emerging evidence of market structure reversal." He identifies key levels to watch, $65,200 as a potential daily trigger for bullish continuation, $61,700 as the nearest support and $64,000 as a short-term inflection point.
關於比特幣的技術面分析,他指出周線圖顯示着一個看淡的市場結構,但"出現了市場結構逆轉的新證據"。他確定了需要關注的關鍵水平,比如$65,200可能是看好續漲的日內觸發價位,$61,700是最近的壓力位,$64,000是短期拐點。
For Ethereum, CryptoCred sees fewer interesting opportunities, noting its continued bleeding against Bitcoin. He suggests potential entry points at extremities, below $2,500 for a potential bounce and above $2,800 for a stronger bullish signal.
對於以太幣,CryptoCred認爲有較少的有趣機會,指出它在與比特幣的持續下跌。他建議看好的入場點在極值處,可能在$2,500以下進行反彈,$2,800以上會有更強的看好信號。
What's Next: CryptoCred emphasizes the importance of combining multiple indicators and timeframes to make informed trading decisions, reminding viewers that "there's no risk-free trade, no free lunch" in crypto trading.
CryptoCred強調結合多個因子和不同時間框架做出明智的交易決策的重要性,並提醒觀衆在加密貨幣交易中"沒有無風險交易,沒有免費午餐"。